Contents

1 / 23
About This Presentation
Title:

Contents

Description:

CA IB Corporate Finance. Presentation to Prague Stock Exchange ... Sell tranche of say 20 25% now. Commit NOT to sell further shares for say 4 years ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:38
Avg rating:3.0/5.0

less

Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: Contents


1
Presentation to Prague Stock Exchange
Privatisation IPOs in Central Eastern
Europe 18th November 2004
2
Table of contents
  • CEE companies privatised through the public
    markets
  • Overview
  • Individual company track records
  • MOL / PKN
  • Handlowy / Pekao
  • Richter / OTP
  • Pliva / KGHM
  • Cesky Telecom / TPSA / Matav
  • Case Studies
  • Gedeon Richter anti takeover mechanism
  • Bank Handlowy w Warzsawie independence through
    tri-partite structure
  • Conclusions
  • Criteria for success
  • Lessons for the Czech Republic
  • A Czech solution?
  • Credentials

3
What is special about a public markets
transaction?
  • It is NOT a strategic sale to a trade buyer
  • who would seek to control the board, management
    and the business directly
  • who might be expected to bring in management,
    technological and business expertise
  • Neither is it a sale to a private equity investor
    who might also
  • seek management control
  • bring in expertise
  • plan on a medium term exit
  • Including though the public markets
  • Offer for sale on the stock exchange to financial
    investors who
  • make portfolio investments, spreading their risk
    across a variety of companies shares
  • invest relatively small amounts of their
    portfolio in relatively small shareholding
    percentages in any one company
  • and so have no time, interest or ability on their
    own to influence or control the company in
    question
  • Two categories of investors
  • retail - important for liquidity
  • they have 2 votes
  • - vote as a shareholder at general
    meetings of the company
  • - vote as a member of the public in
    a general election for the new government
    (important to remember in privatisations)
  • institutional
  • - mostly global emerging markets and dedicated
    emerging European funds for CEE stocks plus
    hedge funds
  • - larger stocks can also attract general
    European and global funds

4
Initial Public Offerings in CEE since 1990
5
Initial Public Offerings in CEE since 1990
6
Initial Public Offerings in CEE since 1990
  • Privatisation by IPO is clearly normal in CEE
  • Maintaining independence has been possible, abuse
    rare
  • IPO can be done after or before strategic sale
  • Overall experience has been positive
  • The process has driven the development of stock
    markets across the region
  • Liquid, transparent markets
  • Spread of popular share ownership
  • Facilitated pension reform and the development of
    private pension funds

7
MOL and PKN share price since privatisation
80
70
60
50
MAR 1998 SPO
FEB 2004 ABB
  • PKN Orlen
  • Regional champion?

40
(USD)
MAY 1997 SPO
30
20
10
0
28/11/98
28/11/99
28/11/00
28/11/01
28/11/02
28/11/03
28/11/95
28/11/96
28/11/97
JUN 2000 SPO
MOL
  • MOL
  • Regional champion?
  • 10 voting limits
  • Gas prices

8
Bank Handlowy and Pekao share price since
privatisation
  • Bank Handlowy
  • Independence on privatisation
  • IPO
  • Strategic investor
  • Special convertible bonds
  • Citigroup
  • A real strategic investor
  • Not 100 owned
  • Keeping own name
  • Keeping listing

9
Richter, OTP share price since privatisation
MAY 1997 SPO
140
  • OTP
  • 5 limit on (foreign) shareholdings 10 on
    others
  • Strong management influence

120
100
80
NOV 1995 SPO
USD
60
40
30
20
25
0
20
OCT 1999 SPO
09/11/01
09/11/02
09/11/03
09/11/04
09/11/94
09/11/95
09/11/96
09/11/97
09/11/98
09/11/99
09/11/00
15
USD
OCT 1997 SPO
10
Gedeon Richter
5
  • Gedeon Richter
  • Shareholder protection measures/
  • anti-takeover mechanism 1995
  • Exchangeable bond 2004
  • Pharmaceutical reimbursement rates

0
10/08/95
10/08/96
10/08/97
10/08/98
10/08/99
10/08/00
10/08/01
10/08/02
10/08/03
10/08/04
OTP
10
Pliva, KGHM share price since privatisation
120
100
80
60
USD
40
20
12
0
10
25/01/98
25/01/99
25/01/00
25/01/01
25/01/02
25/01/03
25/01/04
25/01/95
25/01/96
25/01/97
8
6
USD
Pliva
4
2
0
18/07/97
18/07/98
18/07/99
18/07/00
18/07/01
18/07/02
18/07/03
18/07/04
KGHM
11
Cesky Telecom, TPSA, Matav share price since
privatisation
30
  • Cesky Telecom
  • Sale to strategic investors
  • Exit by strategic investors (ABB)

25
NOV 2003 ABB
ABB
20
DEC 2002 ABB
15
USD
10
5
0
14/03/95
14/03/96
14/03/97
14/03/98
14/03/99
14/03/00
14/03/01
14/03/02
14/03/03
14/03/04
Cesky Telecom
  • Matav
  • Management control ceded too early and too
    cheaply
  • Deutsche Telekom/Ameritech
  • IPO
  • Public offerings difficult
  • TPSA
  • IPO
  • France Telecom

JUN 1999 SPO
12
Gedeon Richter anti- take over provisions
The Second Offering
  • Autumn 1995, 49m, State's shareholding reduced
    below 50
  • premium of 20 to the IPO
  • awarded Best Offering in CEE in 1995 by
    Euromoney
  • CA IB Joint Global Co-ordinator Joint
    Bookrunner for all 3 Offerings of Gedeon Richter

Privatisation strategy
  • Gedeon Richter the sole major Hungarian
    pharmaceutical company to be independently
    floated on BSE
  • only small investors, no strategic partner
  • to develop as an independent company
  • Shareholder protection and take-over measures
    protect against vulnerability to predators
    gaining control
  • by stealth, i.e. with no prior notification of
    the company or its shareholders
  • without having to acquire more than 50 1
    share and
  • without having to pay to minority investors a
    fair market price reflecting a premium for control

The Problem
  • To reinforce shareholder's rights in the
    Company's Statutes, mimicking UK Takeover Code
  • notification of shareholdings at certain levels
    starting at 10
  • 25 limit on voting rights
  • mandatory take-over offer open to all
    shareholders once a shareholding level above 25
    is reached (at a premium of 50 to the average
    market price and
  • acceptance from holders of at least 75 of the
    total shares for the bidder to acquire control
    over and exercise more than 25 of the voting
    rights present at General Assembly

The Solution
The Reality
  • The reality. So long as APV held 251 they could
    block a takeover
  • 2004 EU Accession articles changed
  • Exchangeable Bond see David Jennison, JPM

13
Bank Handlowy w Warszawie SA Case Study
independence through tri-partite transaction
structure
Objectives
  • prevent single foreign shareholder acquiring
    control
  • raise revenues (for planned state pension scheme)
  • core investor group to assist strategic
    development
  • minimise Governments voting rights post-
  • privatisation
  • develop mass retail shareholder base
  • Government
  • Bank Handlowy
  • Common

Solution
  • Reconciliation
  • Tri-partite transaction structure to reconcile
  • objectives
  • public offering
  • core investor group sale
  • creation of non-voting convertible Special
  • Bonds

14
Bank Handlowy w Warszawie SA Case Study
independence through tri-partite transaction
structure
  • IPO
  • Institutional offering in Europe and US
  • PLN 838m (211m) proceeds
  • 17.4x subscribed

Transaction
  • PLN 628m (194m)
  • 139,766 investors
  • 3x subscribed
  • Polish Retail
  • Offering
  • Core Investor
  • Sale
  • Group (24 fully diluted)
  • JP Morgan (12) - investment banking
  • Swedbank (6) - retail banking
  • Zurich Group (6) - insurance
  • Parallel auction
  • 22.5m Special Bonds convertible into 24.3 of
  • Bank Handlowys share capital issued to State
  • can only convert once sold
  • in the event, destined for PZU rather than
  • pension scheme
  • Special Bonds

15
Bank Handlowy w Warszawie SA Case Study
  • First Polish parallel domestic and
  • international offering
  • price range set in advance
  • Polish retail investors subscribe at
  • Maximum Price in 3 week offer period
  • incentives price discount and preferential
  • allocation
  • Objectives Achieved
  • PLN 2bn (600m) raised for
  • Ministry of State Treasury
  • Special Bonds contributed to
  • Ministry of State Treasury
  • (c250m)
  • Re-awakening interest in the
  • markets of Central and Eastern
  • Europe
  • Time constraints
  • aim to close before KGHM (450m)
  • (starting one year after)
  • conclude core investor sale in parallel with IPO

16
Bank Handlowy Postscript Citigroup take-over in
2000
Transaction
  • 90 share acquired
  • BUT
  • Tender offer
  • Conditions
  • 75 maximum permitted by regulator
  • Citigroup obliged to sell down to 75 by end 2004
    (extended?)
  • Bank Handlowy name to be preserved
  • Listing to be maintained

The most independent subsidiary of Citigroup in
the world?
NB Nick Kaufmann was Project Manager of the Bank
Handlowy IPO while he was at Schroders
17
Criteria for success for market privatisations in
CEE
Conclusions
  • Functional stock market
  • Liquidity
  • Transparency
  • Public confidence
  • "Public" fund managers and pension funds
  • Cash purchases vs vouchers
  • Political support
  • national interest
  • potential to be a national/regional 'champion
  • Clarity on shareholding policy
  • Leadership and vision of senior management
  • Clear business and equity strategy
  • Managing in the interests of all stakeholders,
    particularly outside (foreign portfolio,
    financial) investors
  • Focus on share price
  • cannot over-emphasise how important this is!

18
Lessons for the Czech Republic
  • Years of uncertainty over Government intentions
  • Continuing overhang
  • 35 initial combined stake sufficient to attract
    strategic investor and partners
  • Desirability of non strategic partner?
  • 1990s Western telcos hot on CEE incumbents
  • 2000s focus now on mobiles
  • If and when fixed line valuations fall, telcos
    interest may increase
  • Enhance free cash flow yield
  • 2000s Private Equity attracted by cash flow
  • will they invest for the future?
  • will service quality be maintained/improved?
  • they are only in it for one thing.

TPSA
CEE Telco privatisations
19
A Possible Czech Solution?
  • Unlike Hungary in 1990s, Czech Republic has a
    secret weapon
  • its expensive but it works
  • its re-usable
  • it retains negative control
  • It can retain a premium
  • Czech 'takeover code' requires tender offers at
    40, 50, 66 and 75
  • approved valuation
  • Minimum price
  • Opinion of targets Board
  • No limit on number of acceptances
  • Government can always keep 251 share as a
    blocking minority
  • if monetisation desired, exchangeable bond to
    raise money while retaining voting rights (cf
    Gedeon Richter)
  • Limitation on voting rights to individual
    shareholders?
  • Mitigate overhang
  • Sell tranche of say 20 25 now
  • Commit NOT to sell further shares for say 4 years
  • Enhance share price performance and retain
    control premium

Conclusions
20
What sets CA IB apart
CA IB has
  • lead managed or co-lead managed more than 80 ECM
    transactions and completed more than 300
    corporate finance deals in Emerging Europe
  • completed more than 300 corporate finance
    transactions in Emerging Europe
  • been ranked 2 for equity offerings in its core
    markets since 2003
  • high quality and respected team of 19 equity
    research analysts
  • quality of our research recognised by numerous
    awards including Extel (2003 1 CEE Research)
    and Institutional Investor (2004 1 research
    teams in Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic)
  • a leading position in secondary market (sales and
    trading) in the region (including GDRs) selling
    to key institutional investors
  • depth of coverage in the region unmatched by any
    other bank
  • a highly experienced team of more than 100
    corporate finance professionals dedicated
    exclusively to the region
  • long term client relationships, evidenced by
    regular repeat business
  • been consistently recognised as a leading equity
    house and advisor in Emerging Europe

No other investment bank has made the same
strategic commitment to CEE and its capital
markets
21
ECM credentials Hungary 1
Joint Global Coordinator and Joint Bookrunner in
the secondary offering of OTP Bank
OTP
MOL
Joint Global Coordinator and Joint Bookrunner in
the secodary offering of MOL
US162m
US315m
1999
1998
Joint Global Coordinator and Joint Bookrunner in
the secondary offering of OTP Bank
Joint Global Coordinator and Joint Bookrunner in
the secodary offering of MOL
US213m
US301m
1997
1997
Joint Global Coordinator and Joint Bookrunner in
the Initial Public Offering of OTP Bank
Joint Global Coordinator and Joint Bookrunner in
the Initial Public Offering of MOL
US230m
US89m
1995
1995
22
ECM credentials Hungary 2
Joint Bookrunner in the secondary offering of
Matav
Richter
Matav
US348 million
1999
Joint Bookrunner in the Initial Public Offering
of Matav
US1,040m
1997
23
ECM credentials - Poland
Joint Global Co-ordinator, Joint Bookrunner in
the secondary offering of PKN Orlen
Softbank
PKN
Financial Adviser and Global Co-ordinator of the
convertible bonds issue
US8m
US509m
2002
2000
Adviser to the majority shareholder of Softbank
on the increase of its Softbank stake
Co Manager in the IPO of PKN Orlen
PLN20m
US547m
2002
1999
Financial Adviser and Lead Manager of the
convertible bonds issue (Management Option
Programme)
Lead Manager, Bookrunner and Domestic Lead
Manager of the IPO of Softbank
N/A
1999
US38m
1998
Write a Comment
User Comments (0)