How Transportation Technology Can Limit the Impact of Future Climate Change

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How Transportation Technology Can Limit the
Impact of Future Climate Change
Robert L. BertiniPortland State UniversityCE
351February 24, 2009
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• Introduction
• Transportation Trends
• Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends
• We Have a Problem
• Technology Solutions
• What Can You Do?

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Transportations Vital Role
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Transportations Vital Role
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More People
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More Vehicles
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Vehicle Ownership/1000 People
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We Have a Lot of Vehicles
Source 2007 Portland Metropolitan Region
Transportation System Performance Report,
Portland State University
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We Want Power
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and Big Cars
Source Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas
Emissions and Sinks 1990-2006, USEPA
430-R-08-005
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Flat Fuel Economy Trends
Climate-Change Policy and CO2 Emissions from
Passenger Vehicles, Congressional Budget Office,
October 2008
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We Drive a Lot
Source 2007 Portland Metropolitan Region
Transportation System Performance Report,
Portland State University
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More Travel
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Person Miles Traveled Trip Purpose
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Factors Contributing to VMT Growth
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More Congestion
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Factors for Passenger Car Emissions
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Energy Fuels
Source Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas
Emissions and Sinks 1990-2006, USEPA
430-R-08-005
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Greenhouse Gases
Source Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas
Emissions and Sinks 1990-2006, USEPA
430-R-08-005
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U.S. CO2 Emissions Sources
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Projected CO2 Growth
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Transportations GHG
Reference Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas
Emissions and Sinks 1990-2006, USEPA
430-R-08-005l
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Oregon GHG Emissions
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Oregons GHG Goals

• 2010 begin to reduce greenhouse gas emissions
• 2020 achieve greenhouse gas levels 10 less than
  1990 levels
• 2050 achieve greenhouse gas levels 75 below
  1990 levels

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Oregon GHG Forecast
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We Have a Problem
The First Rule of Holes When Youre In One, Stop
Digging
Source Design to Win, the Energy Foundation
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Solution Four Legged Stool
Vehicle Technology
Fuel Technology
Vehicle Miles Traveled
Vehicle/System Operations
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National Leadership
I am inaugurating a program to marshal both
government and private research with the goal of
producing an unconventially powered, virtually
pollution-free automobile within five years.
Source National Academies Summit on Americas
Energy Future
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National Leadership
I am inaugurating a program to marshal both
government and private research with the goal of
producing an unconventially powered, virtually
pollution-free automobile within five years.
Richard Milhous Nixon February 10, 1970
Source National Academies Summit on Americas
Energy Future
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Clean Vehicles

• 35 mpg by 2020 CAFE
• Greener Conventional Vehicles
• Alternative Fuel Vehicles
• Fuel Cell Vehicles
• Hybrid Electric Vehicles
• Battery Electric Vehicles

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Fuels to Reduce GHG

• Hydrogen
• Ethanol
• Biodiesel
• Compressed Natural Gas
• Liquified Natural Gas
• Liquified Petroleum Gas

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VMT Reduction

• Mode Changes
• Land Use
• Transit Oriented Development
• EcoDriving
• Transportation
• Demand
• Management

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Mode Shift
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Mode Shift
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Land Use
Urban Growth Boundary
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Land Use
Transit Oriented Development
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EcoDriving
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Transportation Demand Management
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Vehicle/System Operations
Also known as Intelligent Transportation Systems
and Telematics
Intelligent Vehicles Intelligent
Infrastructure Intelligent Travelers
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Intelligent Transportation Systems

• Application of advanced sensor, computer,
  electronics, and communications technologies and
  management strategies in an integrated manner
  providing traveler information to increase the
  safety and efficiency of the surface
  transportation system.

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Intelligent Transportation Systems

• Saving lives, time and money.

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Intelligent Transportation Systems

• Saving lives, time and money.
• Reducing fuel consumption, energy, emissions,
  greenhouse gases, noise, and other externalities
• Providing more options and improving quality of
  life

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Intelligent Vehicles
Hazard Warning
Automated Highway System
Telematics
Night Vision
Vehicle to Vehicle Communications
Vehicle Infrastructure Integration
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Intelligent Vehicles
Blind Spot Warning
Forward Collision Warning
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Intelligent Infrastructure

• ...Real-Time
• Traveler Information

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Freeway Management
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Incident Management
...Half of Congestion is Caused by Incidents
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Ramp Metering and Advanced Signal Control
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Transit Management
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Automated Tolling/Pricing
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Traveler Information

• Leverage Operational Data
• Put Information in the Hands of Users
• Make Better Travel Decisions
• Whether to Travel
• Mode of Travel
• When to Travel
• Route to Take

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Conclusions

• Transportation technologies can help reduce VMT
• Technologies that reduce delay also reduce fuel
  consumption and emissions
• Better management of infrastructure
• More choices for users
• Better real time information for users
• Hope for vehicle/fuel advancements
• Prepare for land use and behavioral changes
• Continue to develop better measurement and
  estimation tools

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What Can You Do?

• Save one gallon of gas saved
• 20 pounds of CO2
• Carpool
• Bike
• Walk
• Use Transit Time
• Carsharing
• Make Fewer Trips
• Get Informed

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Acknowledgements

• Alex Bigazzi and Nick Carey, Portland State
  University
• U.S. Department of Transportation

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Thank You
bertini_at_pdx.edu www.its.pdx.edu