No Time to Lose: How States Will Solve the Climate Change Challenge - - and Prosper While Doing It!

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No Time to LoseHow States Will Solve the
Climate Change Challenge - - and Prosper While
Doing It!

• Briefing for Council of Foundations
• by Terry Tamminen, Director of the Climate
  Program,
• New America Foundation
• April 29, 2007

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No Time to LoseHow States Will Solve the
Climate Change Challenge - - and Prosper While
Doing It!

• Presented by Terry Tamminen
• Former Secretary of the California EPA
• Environmental and Energy Advisor to several U.S.
  Governors and Canadian Premiers, including
  California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger
• Cullman Senior Fellow at the New America
  Foundation
• Author of Lives Per Gallon The True Cost of Our
  Oil Addiction
• Assisting several states, provinces, nations with
  development of climate action plans and cleantech
  economic development

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Quick Start Guide A brief summary of the climate
change challenge

• No debate 500,000 years of CO2 at /-280 ppm has
  increased to 390 ppm in the past 100 years

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Worlds Largest GHG Emitters
2000 emissions MtCO2
Sources Oak Ridge National Lab, Tellus Institute
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U.S. 5 of world population, but 28 of world
GHGs (Scientific American, Sept. 2006)
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U.S. CO2 Emissions Sources
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Self Preservation Why states must accept the
climate challenge

• States/regions differ and know best how to
  problem-solve
• GHG emissions sources vary greatly
• Economies are impacted differently
• Impacts are felt most by the states
• Impacts to shorelines, agriculture, public
  health, water
• Impacts to the economy insurance companies
  leaving coastal states
• States BENEFIT from low carbon, energy-efficient
  solutions, generating jobs and wealth

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The Cost-Benefit of Climate Solutions

• The Stern Report (U.K.) concludes
• The cost of doing nothing could reach 20 of
  gross global product (GGP) by 2050, resulting in
  the worst economic depression in history.
• But the cost of action to reduce GHGs is likely
  to be no more than 1 of GGP in the same
  timeframe.

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The True Cost of Our Oil Addiction

• Fully-laden cost of a gallon of gasoline 10
• Subsidies and tax breaks to petroleum industry
  113 billion/year
• Health care cost related to petroleum air
  pollution 672 billion/year
• Americans who die early from petroleum air
  pollution 100,000
• Americans who suffer asthma and other respiratory
  disease 6.5 million annually
• Cost to our children every year of living near a
  busy urban freeway steals 1 of their lung
  capacity

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Asleep At the Wheel The Role of the Federal
Government

• Congress may not take significant steps for years
• Many proposals do not solve the problem
• Some proposals pre-empt state actions while
  others delegate GHG reduction measures to states

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Business As Usual (BAU) Compared to National
Legislation Proposals
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Good News States Are On the Move(25 Climate
Action Plans 12 Clean Car States)
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The DNA Already Exists in Many States/Regions
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Steps to Climate - and Economic - Stabilization
in the 21st Century

• Inventories and forecasts of emissions
• Scoring existing actions
• Setting goals and targets
• Reporting and implementation systems
• Portfolios of actions
• Energy Efficiency and Conservation
• Clean and Renewable Energy
• Transportation and Land Use Efficiency
• Agriculture and Forestry
• Waste Management, Industrial Process Improvements

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California Dreaming One states example

• Technical analysis to determine impacts to CA
• Science-based GHG reduction targets to meet
  climate stabilization goals
• Governor Schwarzeneggers Executive Order
  establishing goals and Climate Action Team to
  develop an Action Plan
• Stakeholder input and Plan adoption
  (www.climatechange.ca.gov)
• Legislative implementation Renewable Portfolio
  Standard SB1 (solar) AB32 (climate) AB1368
  (clean electricity) AB1493 (clean cars).
• Executive implementation Green Buildings
  Hydrogen Highway Low Carbon Fuels Standard
  Regional Partnerships

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California Energy Efficiency Economic Gains
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The Benefit of Climate Solutions

• In California by 2020 the implementation of the
  states Climate Action Plan will result in a net
  increase of
• 83,000 new jobs
• 4 billion annual income
• A comparable investment in low-carbon,
  energy-efficiency nationwide
• 1.4 million new jobs by 2025 in the U.S.
• Average saving of 1275/year per U.S. household
• (Redefining Progress 2004 CA Climate Action Plan
  2005)

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Corporate Commitments and Results
10 reduction Its made us more competitive
Absolute cap
10 reduction 650 million saved
69 reduction 2 billion saved
6 reduction
25 reduction 100 million saved
65 reduction 791 million saved
13 reduction
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If Every State Follows California
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International Benefits

• UK Prime Minister Tony Blair - - We cant do
  this without the states.
• BC Premier Gordon Campbell - - Well match
  Californias effort.
• Victoria Premier Steve Bracks - - Our states
  will join yours.
• India and China next!