Title: HIVAIDS in Southern Africa: Progress with Vaccines and Other Interventions
1HIV/AIDS in Southern Africa Progress with
Vaccines and Other Interventions
- M. Essex
- Given Professor of Infectious Diseases,
- Harvard University
- Chair, Botswana-Harvard Partnership (BHP)
- Chair, Department of Immunology and Infectious
Diseases, Harvard School of Public Health (HSPH) - Chair, HSPH AIDS Initiative (HAI)
2UNAIDS Adults Children Living with HIV, end
2005
(thousands)
40.3 million total
30,000
(67)
25,800
25,000
64
20,000
15,000
10,000
7,400
5,000
1,800
1,600
870
1,200
510
300
720
74
0
North Africa Middle East
Eastern Europe Central Asia
Latin America
North America
Caribbean
Sub-Saharan Africa
South South- East Asia
Western Europe
East Asia
Oceania
3UNAIDS Adults Children Newly Infected in 2005
(thousands)
4.9 million total
3,500
(67)
3,200
3,000
65
2,500
2,000
1,500
990
1,000
200
140
500
270
67
30
43
22
8
0
North Africa Middle East
Eastern Europe Central Asia
Latin America
North America
Caribbean
Sub-Saharan Africa
South South- East Asia
Western Europe
East Asia
Oceania
4UNAIDS Adults Children Deaths due to AIDS in
2005
(thousands)
3.1 million total
2,500
2,400
(67)
77
2,000
1,500
1,000
480
500
66
62
41
24
58
18
12
0.7
0
North Africa Middle East
Eastern Europe Central Asia
Latin America
North America
Caribbean
Sub-Saharan Africa
South South- East Asia
Western Europe
East Asia
Oceania
5Adult HIV Prevalence in the World
All Other Developing Countries Outside
Sub-Saharan Africa
N. America and Western Europe
Southern Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
6HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa
- 80 of the worlds HIV-positive women are in
sub-Saharan Africa. - 90 of the worlds HIV-positive infants are in
sub-Saharan Africa. - Rates of infant infections in southern Africa are
300-fold higher than in Europe or Asia. - With no intervention, up to 1 in 7 infants
infected in some countries within SADC region.
7Africa Regional Trends HIV
Data from UNAIDS
8HIV
- Characterized by extremely great ability to
change through genetic mutations and
recombination to form chimeric progeny viruses. - Results in moving target for vaccine immunity
and drug resistance.
9HIV (continued)
- Characterized by unique ability to hide in
chromosomal DNA, which results in long and
unpredictable time periods before clinical AIDS
disease occurs.
10HIV (continued)
- Transmission occurs through contact with
reproductive tract fluids (during sex or birth),
blood (transfusions or in utero while pregnant),
or breastfeeding. - Both free virus and infected cells can cause
transmission.
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12AB CDEFGHI J K ?
Type 2
HIV
Group M
Type 1
Group O
Group N
13Sub-Saharan Africa HIV-1 Subtypes in Millions
14Distribution of HIV-1 Subtypes in Africa
North 0.2
Horn 4.5
C
A/G
Western 5.0
A
Eastern 8.0
Central 6.0
C
Southern 20.0
15Can we make a vaccine for HIV-1C of Southern
Africa?
- Evaluate virus variation in region and select
common denominator as either natural or
designed virus immunogen. - Determine scope and breadth of immune response
genetics for population to receive vaccine. - Identify immunodominant pieces of virus.
16Can we make a vaccine for HIV-1C of Southern
Africa?
- Formulate vaccine candidates and produce
experimental vaccines. - Conduct trials for safety and immunogenicity.
- Conduct trials for efficacy/protection.
1773 HIV-1C Near Full-Length Genome Sequences
India
South Africa
MPars Tree
ETH, IS, BR
18HIV-1 Diversity
19Emergence of HIV-1C in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
HIV-1 Subtypes
YEAR
A D C Recombinants
1988 7(28) 17(68) 1(5)
- 1998 22(22) 19(19) 22(22)
36(36)
From Zwarf et al AIDS 7467, 1993 and Siwk et al
ARHR 121753, 1994. Includes 31 HIV-1C
recombinants.
20Recombinants in Tanzania
HIV-1 subtype
Envelope
p24
p7
V5
C3
V4
C4
C5
V3
C2
gag
env
D
D
TZB0063
D
D
TZB0069
D
D
TZB0070
D
D
TZB0071
D
D
TZB0109
D
D
TZB0110
D
D
TZB0112
D
D
TZB0111
21HIV Vaccines
22Frequency of HLA Haplotypes
- 10 most common HLA A/B haplotypes in Caucasians
Novitsky et al. Hum Imm 62146 (2001).
23Normalized Cumulative HIV-1C-Specific CTL
Responses
24Lessons Learned
- Research and development for an HIV vaccine must
be encouraged through governmental/international
non-profit institutions. Must not count on
corporate sector.
25Lessons Learned (continued)
- Design guidelines used for other conventional
vaccines of little value to make a safe and
efficacious HIV vaccine. Live attenuated vaccine
designs (such as polio, measles, mumps, yellow
fever) cannot be used due to safety concerns.
26Lessons Learned (continued)
- Animal models have contributed very little to
development of HIV vaccines. Trials must be done
in people.
27Lessons Learned (continued)
- Efficacy trials should be done in populations
with the highest incidence. Vaccine designs
should be formulated for such populations, and
infrastructure and expertise must be developed
and expanded in such locations.
28Lessons Learned (continued)
- Low efficacy vaccine (e.g. 30-60 efficacy) of
low priority for developed countries, but would
still be valuable product in high incidence
populations.
29Ongoing Trials of HIV Vaccines as of August 2005
30Examples of Vaccine Designs Planned for Trials in
Southern Africa
31Immunodominant Regions in HIV-1C
dominant
subdominant
tat
vif
nef
gag
rev
5LTR
vpu
pol
env
vpr
3LTR
32Epimmune Vaccine EP HIV-1090
33The recombinant anthrax protein-based HIV-1
vaccine candidate (LFn)
HIV-1 p24 Immunogen
Detoxified Anthrax Fragment
Chimeric Protein
34Kaplan-Meier Curve of Overall Survival for AIDS
Patients Treated with HAARTin Botswana
35Conclusions
- HIV shows greater mutational diversity than other
viruses, making design of a vaccine more
difficult than for other viral infections, such
as polio, measles, yellow fever. - Highest global rates for HIV are for HIV-1C in
Southern Africa therefore greatest opportunities
for designing and testing vaccines are also in
Southern Africa.
36Conclusions (continued)
- Designing HIV-1C vaccines specifically for the
region should assure greatest possible
effectiveness and access for SADC countries. - International cooperation and development of
regional expertise on HIV vaccine design and
testing is essential for progress.
37Conclusions (continued)
- Development of an effective vaccine may take
substantial time conducting multiple trials with
modern designs should accelerate progress. - Until a vaccine is available, prevention of
infection through behavior modification and
treatment of individuals with clinical AIDS using
anti-retroviral drugs are extremely important.
38Acknowledgements
- Ministry of Health and Vaccine Committee,
Government of Botswana - Botswana-Harvard Partnership Senior Staff T.
Villafana, PhD, MPH J. Makhema, MD I. Thior, MD
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