Evaluation and decision support for sustainable development in rural areas: case study for agri-environmental measures

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Evaluation and decision support for sustainable
development in rural areas case study for
agri-environmental measures

• Dr. Jadwiga Ziolkowska
• Humboldt University of Berlin
• Chair for Agricultural Policy

Perspectives on Impact Evaluation, March 29
April 02 2009, Cairo, Egypt
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1. Introduction
2. Methodology
3. Results
4. Conclusions
Content

• 1. Introduction
• 1.1 Problem setting and research objectives
• 1.2 Agri-environmental issues in Poland
• 2. Methodology
• 2.1 Methods and data
• 2.2 Case study in the region Subcarpathia
• 2.3 Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)
• 2.4 Linear Programming (LP)
• 3. Results
• 3.1 Synthesized priorities for
  agri-environmental measures (AHP)
• 3.2 Objective-oriented financing of
  agri-environmental measures (LP)
• 4. Conclusions

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Problem setting and research objectives

• Problem issues
• Little experience with evaluation of the
  agri-environmental policy in Poland gt new since
  the EU accession in May 2004
• 80 co-financing from the EAGGF (2004-2006)
• Descriptive evaluation gt statistical data

Research objectives 1. How to support
decision-making and evaluation of
agri-environ-mental policies with quantitative
and qualitative approaches? 2. How to allocate
the available budget to best meet environmental
and sustainable development objectives in rural
areas? 3. How important is involving different
stakeholders in evaluationand policy design?
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Agri-environmental issues in Poland

• 1990 National Environmental Policy
• 1997 Project Green Lungs of Poland
• 1999 SAPARD and Phare99
• 2004-2006 National Agri-Environmental Programme
  (348,9 Mio. )
• 2007-2013 Agri-environmental programmes
  supported from European Agricultural Fund for
  Development of Rural Areas (2,3 Mrd. )

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National Agri-Environmental Programme in Poland

• Sustainable Agriculture
• Organic Farming
• Extensive meadow farming
• Extensive pasture farming
• Soil and water protection
• Buffer zones
• Domestic farm animal species

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Methods and data

• 1. Primary data case study in the voivodship
  Subcarpathia

• Employment rate in agriculture ca. 47
• Farm size on average 3,5 ha
• Differentiated natural conditions, protected
  areas gt Carpathian Euro-region

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Methods and data

• 1. Primary data case study in the voivodship
  Subcarpathia
• gt Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) according
  to Saaty
• - 8 agricultural administration experts
• - 26 agri-environmental advisors
• - 100 farmers
• 2. Secondary data MRiRW, ARiMR
• 3. Linear Programming approach according to
  Kirschke and Jechlitschka (2002) gt
  objective-oriented budget allocation

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AHP-approach according to Saaty
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
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Synthesized priorities for agri-environmental
measures (AHP)
Agricultural experts
Agri-environmental advisors
Farmers
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Linear Programminig for the voivodship
Subcarpathia Model-Inputmatrix
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
Optimal budget allocation
Source Authors calculation
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
Difference to the current allocation
Source Authors calculation
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
Agricultural experts
Source Authors calculation
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
Agri-environmental advisors
Source Authors calculation
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
Farmers
Source Authors calculation
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
Environmental benefit subject to income losses
Source Authors calculation
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Linear Programming for the voivodship Subcarpathia
Changes of environmental benefit subject to
income losses
Source Authors calculation
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Conclusions and outlook

• - The optimal budget allocation differs between
  the actor groups gt reallocation of the
  available budget necessary
• The budget allocation is highly dependent on the
  estimated priorities
• Weighting objectives only slightly influences
  budget expenditures on the agri-environmental
  measures
• Consideration of different stakeholders and
  different priorities necessary for more
  objective-oriented financing and planning
• The AHP and LP are proved as useful tolls in an
  interactive decision-making process

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• Thank you !

Thank you!