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Surviving the 21st Century


Surviving the 21st Century Progress in 21st Century ... is the Prerequisite Challenges are global Shared by all ... Military expenditure as a ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Surviving the 21st Century

Surviving the 21st Century
Surviving the 21st CenturyProgress in 21st
Century will be defined by the development of
global systems much in the same way that the
development of national systems has defined
progress in the last 200 years
  • Major Challenges Facing Humanity
  • Climate Change
  • Decreasing biodiversity
  • Lack of Fresh Water
  • Over population
  • Other Issues as well
Surviving the 21st CenturyOnly through Peace
can humanity build the trust, co-operation and
the genuine sharing necessary to solve the global
issues of today
  • Peace is the Prerequisite
  • Challenges are global
  • Shared by all Humanity
  • Solutions
  • Inclusive
  • Equitable
  • Unparalleled cooperation
  • Funded
  • Global structures

Surviving the 21st CenturyIf the paradigm of
the 20th century was the survival of the
fittest then the paradigm of the 21st century is
survival through interdependence
  • New Global Order
  • Global Goods and Services
  • Provided by Global Structure
  • Peace Keeping
  • Peace Building
  • Environmental Services
  • Development Support
  • Funding independent of Nations
Surviving the 21st CenturyAs public goods and
services are of the highest benefit to a nation
so are global public goods and services to
  • Global Sources of Funding
  • User Based
  • Carbon Taxes
  • Environmental Levies
  • Global Spending
  • Directed to Developing Countries to Cut
  • 0.2 of GDP of 10 largest economies for 10 years
    approx 600B
Surviving the 21st CenturyWithout measurements
it is very difficult to know whether the actions
we take help or hinder our goals
  • Three Key Requirements to be Measured
  • Assessing Sustainability
  • Multi faceted
  • As new problems emerge new indicators will be
  • Assessing Peace
  • Separating indicators from drivers
  • Assessing Global Governance
  • Model on National Assessments
  • Global Goods and services are different than
    National Goods and Services
Surviving the 21st CenturyOur ability to deal
with or avoid ecological collapses will be
dependent on the global services that we provide
peace is a prerequisite
  • Assessing Sustainability
  • Many good studies and indicators have been
  • Need common agreement on what to measure
  • Population underlying most issues
  • Need agreement on a basic model and needed soon
  • Probably multiple indices

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
Surviving the 21st CenturyIf we knew the three
drivers that created or sustained peace and if
they could be taught would the world be a more
peaceful place?
GPI Indicators
Number of internal security officers and police 100,000 people
Number of homicides per 100,000 people
Number of jailed population per 100,000 people
Ease of access to weapons of minor destruction
Level of organised conflict (internal)
Level of violent crime
Political instability
Respect for human rights
Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons, as recipient (Imports) per 100,000 people
Potential for terrorist acts
Number of deaths from organised conflict (internal)
Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP
Number of armed services personnel per 100,000 people
UN Deployments 2006-07 (percentage of total forces)
Non-UN Deployments 2006-07 (percentage of total forces)
Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons as supplier (exports) per 100,000 people
Relations with neighboring countries
Number of external and internal conflicts fought 2000-05
Estimated number of deaths from organized conflict (external)
  • Global Peace Index

GPI Ranking 1 Norway 6 Finland 2 New Zealand 7
Sweden 3 Denmark 8 Canada 4 Ireland 9
Portugal 5 Japan 10 Austria
1 Norway
2 New Zealand
3 Denmark
4 Ireland
5 Japan
6 Finland
7 Sweden
8 Canada
9 Portugal
10 Austria
Surviving the 21st CenturyWithout a vision of
global interdependency between humanity and
nature we will flight over ever dwindling
  • Global Governance
  • Clear Independent Charter
  • Appropriate Responsibilities
  • Clear Lines of Funding
  • Transparency
  • Clearly defined Services
  • Measured Service Delivery
  • What can be learnt from the EU
Surviving the 21st CenturyHumanities Choice
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