New World birth rates and standards of living Paul R Earl Facultad de Ciencias Biol

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New World birth rates and standards of living
Paul R Earl Facultad de Ciencias
BiológicasUniversidad Autónoma de Nuevo LeónSan
Nicolás, NL 66451, Mexico
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A change in life style and so much moreSuch a
large set of factors from birth rate, migration,
education, employment to longevity emerge from
such a wide topic. By 1800, or if you like,
during the most impressive Napoleonic era and the
promotion of science including Darwinism, much
human thinking changed. Of course,
agriculture fell and industry rose. What happened
to the people who could not make the transition ?
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Written first in prose in 1770, The Deserted
Village by Irish-English poet Oliver Goldsmith
has the theme that the old rural days of the
village were better than the new industrial ones,
the poem portraying a sense of loss. The
Industrial revolution is ongoing in Latin
America, although over 100 years late. Places,
people, things and especially concepts are far
far from what they were, although elements like
nostalgia seem to last forever.
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Just one more vision that died long ago. A
distantly related theme is, Give Me the Simple
Life. Nonetheless, we cannot indulge in romantic
themes when we are hungry.Some say, Dont leave
the country campesino to make another slum in my
city. Salting a countryside with microindustries
is just bad. It keeps the problem people a way
from the city. Integrate these victims of their
own soil erosion into the city.This integration
is the price our society pays migrants as
welfare.
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Superpopulation and axiomatic miseryThe planet's
population continues to explode from 1 billion in
1820, to 2 in 1930, 3 in 1960, 4 in 1974, 5 in
1988 with 6 billion in 2000.As the rural Latin
human populations BOOM, soil erosion and
deforestation continue to some final end.
Biodiversity has the same end. The word
sustainable is so bad it can only generate
laughter from people in the know. Perhaps the
amateur Cactus Clubs can save something. Some
soft people like Evangilists remote from daily
life in imperiled countries really think that
their way of life provides the applicible
solution ! Where has application X been
successful ?
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Migrations, revolutions and wars as solutions to
superpopulations seem antique, and efficient
industrialization is the cure. But time is
running out ! Extreme birth-rate reduction in the
Chinese style seems imperative, yet often most
unpopular. These repressed countries that
seem DOOMED TO CIVIL WAR are 1/ Haiti,
2/
Guatamala, 3/ Paraguay, 4/ Honduras and
5/ Belize. The 6 poorest countries are
1/Haiti, 2/ Nicaragua, 3/
Bolivia, 4/ Cuba, 5/ Ecuador and
6/ Honduras.
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Demographic correlations The purpose
of this lecture is to draw various explanatory
correlations among demographic factors
(variables) that are given in the CIA World
Factbook 2004. Its data are close to or at 2004.
The variables are population (Pop), Area,
percents of Youth (Yth), Adult Elderly
populations, Longevity Male, Longevity Female,
Total Fertility Rate (TFR), Grouped 2-5 TFR (F is
TFR rounded off to 1), Gross Domestic Product per
Capita (GDP), percents of larbor force in
Agricultural (Agr), Industry (Ind) Services
(Serv).
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The worstThe living
conditions in 1/ Haiti, 2/ Bahamas,
3/ Bolivia, 4/ Guatemala and 5/ Honduras are the
poorest in NA as judged by longevity. These years
of life are 1/ 50.5, 2/ 62.2, 3/ 64.2,
4/ 64.3 and 5/ 65.5. Infected migrants from Haiti
to the beautiful Bahamas have long spread AIDS.
The best is for millionaires ony. Bermudan men
reach 80!The victims of their high birth rates
caused their own poverty.
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High birth rates associate with high proportions
of agricultural workers.The TFR is not
sensitive, although dropping with increased
wealth in the Yth-TFR-AGR-GPD set. It can have
1000 on the X axis. This means that as the
birth rate drops, the proportion of workers in
agriculture also drops, or it could read Fewer
babies are cubically associated with fewer farm
workers. Cubic subsistuting for linear improves
the fit. Average Yth is 28.3 6.98 with 2.6
0.81 TFD . Agr averages 9.1 7.8 .Variables
as seen in OneWay are given in 3 groups 1/ 2/,
3/, 4 TFR.The OneWay table has 2 TFR N 20, 3
TFR 13 and 4 TFR 5. Except that a Haitian
AIDS effect is obvious, these rates are expected
ones.
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YTH
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FinalitiesNot till the
fire is dying in the grate look we for any
kinship with the stars.What the 19th century
English poet George Meredith said was that older
not younger people philosophize. But the fire
might be HUNGER, and satisfaction could be
complacency. Guatemala and its gorilla neighbors
will make, as they have since before 1954, more
revolutions of course.
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DEFORESTATION and biodiversity reduction have
been at full speed ahead for many years. Example
Malaysian-led multinational loggers have been
bribing Belize for many years. Industrialization
can save the forests and wild life currently
being slaughtered in southern Mexico CA by
indigenous nomads, many from Guatemala.
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The misapplication of native agricultural
production to solve the Latin overpopulation
problem is causing zapatan civil strife. Eroded
soils cannot compete The idea that investors will
be attracted to disaster areas has some
difficulties ! Still, the idea is to convert
disasters into successes ! Thisagaingoes to
life style.The intuitive backgrounds of the
many victims of soil erosion is limited such that
they understand little of the logic in their
lives, though they know theyre hungry. Military
repression is ALWAYS the answer.
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The life style has to changeWhat they need is
education for lifeindustrial skills. Education
delays births. This is an expensive longterm
rescue operation. For instance, the wiring for
computers is very costly and the distances are
very great. The finality is simply that The
small family lives better.