High-tech trade by enterprise characteristics by Alexander Loschky European Commission - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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High-tech trade by enterprise characteristics by Alexander Loschky European Commission

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Activity based approach: measures the real trade of high-tech activity sectors, ... Data are however not readily available as the approach requires explicit ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: High-tech trade by enterprise characteristics by Alexander Loschky European Commission


1
High-tech trade by enterprise characteristicsby
Alexander LoschkyEuropean Commission DG Joint
Research CentreUnit G9 Econometrics and Applied
Statisticsand Karo NuortilaEuropean
Commission DG EurostatUnit G5 International
trade production
2
High-tech trade
  • There are two approaches to measure the trade of
    high-tech industries
  • Traditional approach by using correspondence
    tables
  • Trade by high-tech goods can thus be calculated
    easily from trade statistics as it requires only
    summing up the goods classified as typical output
    of high-tech industries
  • Alternative approach (sectoral approach)
  • Activity based approach measures the real trade
    of high-tech activity sectors, regardless of the
    products traded
  • Data are however not readily available as the
    approach requires explicit identification and
    selection of traders belonging to high-tech
    activity sectors
  • Due to well-known issues, these approaches may
    lead to different outcome
  • Coherence with other relevant statistics (R D
    statistics, production,...)?
  • Studies and analysis?

3
Sectoral approach
  • Statistics on trade by activity sectors require
    linking trade micro data with business registers
  • Eurostat has worked several years with this
    project (trade statistics by enterprise
    characteristics)
  • Standardised set of indicators developed and
    currently available in Comext (20 countries,
    reference years 2005 and 2006)
  • The indicators do not, however, provide
    sufficient details on the high-tech trade by
    enterprise characteristics...
  • ...but the same method can be used

4
Data collection and treatment
  • In order test the sectoral approach, EU Member
    States were requested to provide 2 datasets
  • Dataset dimensions
  • Five high-tech sectors
  • Medical, precision optical instruments
    (ISIC/NACE 33)
  • Pharmaceuticals (ISIC 2423 / NACE 2441 2442)
  • Radio, television communication equipment
    (ISIC/NACE 32)
  • Office, accounting computing machinery
    (ISIC/NACE 30)
  • Aircraft spacecraft (ISIC/NACE 353)
  • Plus Management activities of holding companies
    (ISIC/NACE 7415)
  • Most detailed product classification (CN8)
  • Partner broken down by Intra- and extra-EU
    partners
  • Imports and exports
  • In addition, a second dataset was requested
    without a product breakdown but with a size-class
    breakdown
  • Variables
  • Trade value
  • Number of enterprises

5
Data collection and treatment
  • Data (reference year 2006) received from 17 EU
    Member States and Norway
  • Data were aggregated and confidentialised by
    Eurostat before transmission to JRC
  • Aggregation over reporting countries (EU as
    reporter)
  • Aggregation over products (CN codes summed up to
    HS6)
  • Active confidentiality Suppression of
    NACE/Flow/HS6 combination if
  • it contains at least one CN-code with 3 or less
    enterprises and
  • If the given CN-code(s) make up 80 of the HS
    code

6
Share of confidential data
7
Share of HT sectors in totalHT sector trade
8
Assessment of the traditional approach 1
9
Assessment of the traditional approach 2
10
Assessment of the traditional approach 3
Exports
Imports
  • Results of the assessment
  • traditional approach works well for Extratrade
    but not for Intratrade
  • traditional approach works better for exports
    than for imports
  • calculating the trade value of HT industries via
    correspondence tables can lead to an
    overestimation of HT industries trade
    (especially with respect to the imports)

11
Share of HT products traded by HT industries
  • Less than 50 of the total exports of the HT
    industries are HT goods
  • Share of HT products the highest in Air- and
    Spacecraft industry and Radio, TV, Com-munication
    industry
  • Confidentiality had no major impact except on
    imports of the Air- and Spacecraft industry

12
Participation of HT industries in total HT trade
  • Participation of the HT industries in total
    trade with HT products is considerably higher for
    exports than for imports
  • Participation is also much higher for Extratrade
    than for Intratrade

13
Share of SMEs in the trade of HT industries by
value 1
  • The share of SMEs in the trade of the HT sectors
    as a whole is 15 for imports and 16 in exports
  • These shares are somewhat smaller than SMEs
    shares in the total trade of all activity sectors
  • SMEs share especially small for the air- and
    spacecrafts industry (only 3)

14
Share of SMEs in the trade of HT industries by
value 2
  • Value share of SMEs usually relatively small in
    big economies(e.g. DE, FR) and in Eastern
    European Member States (e.g. CZ, EE, HU, PL, SK)
  • In Eastern countries probably due to the
    dominance of interna-tional companies on the
    local market

15
Share of SMEs in the trade of HT industries by
number of traders 1
  • Share of SMEs by number is always higher than
    the share of large enterprises
  • Together with the share of SMEs by value this
    confirms that the concentration rate is very high
    in foreign trade
  • Large enter-prises play a dominant role while
    SMEs usually have only a small trade volume

16
Main results
  • Calculating the trade of HT industries via
    correspon-dence tables can lead to an
    overestimation of their trade
  • Less than 50 of the exports of HT industries are
    HT goods
  • The participation of HT industries in the total
    exports of HT products is in general 50, for
    exports to third countries (Extratrade) it is
    much higher (gt75)
  • The (value) share of SMEs in the trade of HT
    industries is smaller than the SMEs share in
    total trade
  • The (value) share of SMEs is usually relatively
    small in big economies and in Eastern MS

17
Outlook
  • Further exploit the data
  • 1) product-level analysis of the participation of
    HT industries in the trade with HT goods
  • 2) and conversely also of the shares of HT
    products in the trade of HT industries
  • Wider data basis
  • extend to a wider range of EU MS and if possible
    to OECD MS
  • include the trade of other sectors like the
    wholesale and retail sectors (ISIC/NACE 51 and
    52), this will improve mainly the analysis of the
    imports
  • In the long term link other enterprise related
    data via the business register to the foreign
    trade data
  • e.g. production statistics
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