Climate Risk Profile

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• Climate Risk Profile
• for Samoa

• Wairarapa J Young
• Samoa Meteorology Division

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Climate Risk Profile

• CRP - part of the SNC VA process
• Provides an analysis of local climate data and
  global climate models
• Summarizes the climate risk for Samoa (current
  and future)
• First time that we have seen local, scientific
  evidence of climate change

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Extreme climate events
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Samoas Climate is Already Changing

• Return Periods (yrs) Daily Rainfall, Apia

Return Period The average number of years
between a given extreme event
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Samoas Climate is Already Changing

• Return Periods (yrs) Maximum Air Temperature,
  Apia

Return Period The average number of years
between a given extreme event
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Samoas Climate Will Continue to Change

• Future Sea Level, Apia

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Samoas Climate Will Continue to Change

• Future Sea Level Extremes, Apia

Present Day
2025
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Samoas Climate Will Continue to Change

• Future Rainfall Extremes, Apia

2050
Present Day
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Samoas Climate Will Continue to Change

• Future Rainfall, Apia

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Summary of Climate Projections

• Sea Level (Apia)
• Daily Rainfall (Apia and Afiamalu)
• Six-hourly Rainfall (Apia)
• Drought (Samoa)
• Extreme Winds (Apia)
• Extreme High Air Temperatures (Apia and Afiamalu)

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Climate Risk Profile