What level of complexity do we need for models and data for Data Assimilation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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What level of complexity do we need for models and data for Data Assimilation

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What level of complexity do we need for models and data for Data Assimilation? ... melt ponds, pressure ridge locations, albedo, etc., require more complex physics ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: What level of complexity do we need for models and data for Data Assimilation


1
What level of complexity do we need for models
and data for Data Assimilation?
Answer Open-ended!
2
Data-centered
  • Relatively simple passive microwave data like
    brightness temperature are actually ill-suited
    for ice models which already assume constant
    emissivity
  • Sea ice motion and ice area can be ingested into
    existing ice models used operationally
  • More complicated info such as melt ponds,
    pressure ridge locations, albedo, etc., require
    more complex physics than are in operational
    models

3
Model-centered
  • Model physics must be sufficient to handle the
    ingested data without violating physical
    assumptions or physical reality
  • For example, a linear free drift dynamics model
    is necessary but not sufficient for assimilating
    ice motion fields

4
Application-centered
  • Short-term analyses (1 day) may not need to be
    as physically rigorous
  • Longer-term applications should obey all relevant
    laws of physics and conservation
  • Models which include an ocean require at least
    that the ocean data assimilated does not make the
    ocean solution go unstable!

5
Errors, Errors, Errors
  • Errors in the data, in the model, and in the data
    assimilation technique must be well-understood
  • Without a good understanding, there is a
    possibility that the sum of the results could be
    worse than its individual parts

6
Model development
  • Ice-ocean model development can and should
    continue to be improved
  • More data (types, inventory) should be available
    in the future
  • Increasingly complex models should be capable of
    ingesting more types of data
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