What are the causative factors that allow militant movements to renounce their paramilitary wing

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What are the causative factors that allow
militant movements to renounce their paramilitary
wing?

• An examination of the IRA and the Egyptian Muslim
  Brotherhood

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The study of history is a study of causes.
E.H. Carr
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Methods of Identifying Causality

• Careful reasoning
• Comparative reasoning
• Statistical reasoning

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Seven Potential Causal Factors

• Worldwide and sometimes state-specific,
  non-political factors, some beyond the control of
  humans and others beyond the control of a single
  state.
• Factors involving worldwide and sometimes
  region-specific systems and behavior patterns.
• Factors that arise directly from the relations
  among the states and other actors.
• Non-political factors that arise internally to
  the states and other actors.
• Political factors that are due to the form of the
  political system.
• Factors that arise in the context of
  decision-makers and implementers working in
  groups, organizations, and institutions.
• Factors that are the result of individual traits,
  socialization, psychology, and personality.

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The IRA

• The IRA strategy is very clear. At some point in
  the future, due to the pressure of the continuing
  and sustained armed struggle, the will of the
  British government to remain in this country will
  be broken. That is the objective of the armed
  strugglewe can state confidently today that
  there will be no ceasefire and no truces until
  Britain declares its intent to withdraw and leave
  our people in peace. IRA spokesperson, 1989

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The Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood

• God is our purpose, the Prophet our leader, the
  Quran our constitution, Jihad out way and dying
  for Gods cause our supreme objective. The
  Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood slogan

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Causative Factors as Applied to the IRA and the
Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood

• Worldwide and Sometimes State Specific Systems
  and Sometimes Region-Specific Systems and
  Behavioral Patterns such as how power is
  distributed among the states and other players,
  the dominant international economic system, and
  the political diplomatic system

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• Factors that Arise Directly from the Relations
  among the States and Other Actors bilateral and
  multilateral state-to-state relations

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• Non-political factors that arise internally to
  states and the other players such as culture,
  social system, and economic system.

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• Political factors that are due to the form of the
  political system, such as the decision making
  process, how leaders are chosen, the distribution
  of power, and the ability of people to influence
  the government. For example the individual
  states political systems and the corresponding
  systems of the other players.

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• Factors that arise in the context of
  decision-makers and implementers working in
  groups, organizations, and institutions. For
  example the individual decision-making and
  implementing processes of the states and other
  actors.

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• Factors that are the result of individual traits,
  socialization, psychology, and personality. For
  example leaders and individual people

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• What are the implications of study causal factors
  as applied to militant movements?

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Bibliography

• Alonso, Rogelio. Killing for Ireland The IRA and
  Armed Struggle (Cass Series on Political
  Violence). New York Routledge, 2007.
• Annabelle, Quince. "The Egyptian Muslim
  Brotherhood and the Bush Administration." ABC
  Radio National.
• Coogan, Tim Pat. IRA. New York Palgrave for St.
  Martin's P, 2002.
• Gupta, Dipak. Understanding Terriorism and
  Political Violence (Cass Series on Political
  Violence). New York Routledge, 2008.
• Ingram, Lionel. "Causality." Introduction to
  United States Foreign Policy. University of New
  Hampshire.
• Ingram, Lionel. "The Seven Factors of Causation."
  Introduction to United States Foreign Policy.
  University of New Hampshire.
• Leiken, Robert, and Steven Brooke. "The Moderate
  Muslim Brotherhood." 30 Mar. 2007. 3 Mar. 2009.
• Moloney, Ed. A Secret History of the IRA. New
  York W.W. Norton and Company, 1972.
• "Muslim Brotherhood." Middle East MidEastWeb.
  23 Apr. 2009 lthttp//www.mideastweb.org/Middle-Eas
  t-Encyclopedia/muslim_brotherhood.htmlgt.