Future directions of WCRP

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Future directions of WCRP

• Howard Cattle
• ICPO, NOCS
• (GSOP, March 2007)

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CLIVAR 1998 ?2013
ACSYS/CliC 19942003/2000 ?
CliC 2000?2015
WGNE WGSF WGCMIPAB WOAP WMP
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WCRP Strategic framework 2005-15Coordinated
Observation and Prediction of the Earth System

• Developed by the Joint Scientific Committee (JSC)
  for WCRP, its governing body
• Reiterates WCRP objectives to determine the
  predictability of climate and the effect of human
  activities on climate
• Seeks to facilitate analysis and prediction of
  Earth System variability and change for practical
  applications of direct relevance, benefit and
  value to society

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Development of Earth System Models (with
IGBP) Seamless prediction (across all
timescales) Maintain/develop sustained observing
system Integration of models and data Developing
links to applications
WCRP Cross Cutting Topics Seasonal
Prediction Monsoons Decadal Prediction Climate
Extremes Anthropogenic climate change Chemistry
and Climate IPY Sea level rise CLIVAR
contributions to all areas
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JSC-28 (Zanzibar, March 2007)

• Reviewed progress with the core projects, WCRP
  panels and working groups and in other relevant
  organizations (e.g WCP, IGBP)
• Agreed that the WCRP Core projects (CLIVAR,
  GEWEX, SPARC and CliC) should continue to their
  agreed sunset dates
• Reviewed progress and made decisions on thecross
  cutting topics.
• Except for ACC, agreed that the projects should
  provide the management focus for the cross cuts.
• Made decisions on budget allocations WCRP
  finances under severe pressure

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JSC-28 - project funding decisions (CHF)(2008 -
see JSC Report p.19 for full details is of
total funds of CHF545k)

• GEWEX GEWEX Core 9.2 50,140
• 50 Extremes cross cut 1.5 8,175
• 50 IMS (Monsoon cross cut) 3.5 19,075
• Total 77,390
• CLIVAR CLIVAR Core 9.2 50,140
• 50 Extremes cross cut 1.5 8,175
• 50 IMS (Monsoon cross cut) 3.4 18,530
• Decadal prediction cross cut 1.1 5,995
• Total 82,840
• CliC CliC Core 9.1 49,595
• IPY cross cut 4.6 25,070
• Total 74,665
• SPARC SPARC Core 8.0 43,600
• ACC cross cut 4.9 26,705
• Total 70,305

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Future of WCRP?

• New Director, Ghassem Asrar
• WCRP Strategic Plan (2005-15) does not discuss a
  vision for future WCRP structure post projects
  (CLIVAR, GEWEX CliC, SPARC).
• One question is whether WCRP should merge with
  IGBP
• JSC puts strong emphasis on cross cuts as key
  part of present strategy.
• Are cross cuts the future? - could be but need
  underlying pinning of core projects and
  community.
• Question of the vision for WCRP post projects
  raised (by CLIVAR) at JSC-27
• JSC will debate the issue of the future of WCRP
  post 2013 for the first time at JSC-29

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Outline agenda JSC-29 Arcachon, France, 31
March-4 April

• Welcome, introduction
• Review of WCRP cross cutting activities with
  special session on climate extremes (1 1/2
  days)
• Review of WCRP core projects (3/4 day)
• Review of WCRP WGs and Panels (WGCM, WGNE, WOAP
  ) (0.4 day)
• Review of other projects and activities (ESSP,
  START, THORPEX) (1/4 day)
• Discussion of WCRP post 2013 (3/4 day)
• Executive sessions etc including budgets (1 day)
• Science lectures (1/4 day)

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Thank youwww.clivar.org
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CLIVAR funding allocations for 2008

• CLIVAR CLIVAR Core 9.2 50,140
• 50 Extremes 1.5 8,175
• 50 IMS (Monsoons) 3.4 18,530
• Decadal prediction 1.1 5,995
• Total 82,840
• JSC allocations are said to be for real
  outcomes
• The CLIVAR Core allocation of CHF50k is some
  25 of that in previous years (CHF400k per
  biennium)
• JPS pursuing further income but allocation tbd by
  JSC
• ACC allocation 48,505k Sea Level 5,995k
  Modelling 18,530k
• Extremes and Monsoon cross cut spends tbd with
  GEWEX (and ?)