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What controls the spatial distribution of remote aftershocks

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Stress III: Multiple stress transfers - The Landers and Hector Mine example ... The Hector Mine quake is, therefore, likely to be an aftershock of the Pisgah ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: What controls the spatial distribution of remote aftershocks


1
Stress III
  • The domino effect
  • Stress transfer and the Coulomb Failure Function
  • Aftershocks
  • Dynamic triggering
  • Volcano-seismic coupling

2
Stress III The domino effect
Example from California
Figure from www.earthquakecountry.info
3
Stress III The domino effect
Example from the North Anatolia Fault (NAF)
Figure from Stein et al., 1997
4
Stress III The Coulomb Failure Function
Slip on faults modifies the stress field
Animation from the USGS site
5
Stress III The effect of a stress step
Stresses in the crust may change slowly due to
the steady plate motion, and may change abruptly
due to earthquakes, volcanic activity and other
more.
steady plate motion
stress
abrupt perturbations
time
6
Stress III The effect of a stress step
The effect of a stress perturbation is to modify
the timing of the failure according to That
means that the amount of time advance (or delay)
is independent of when in the cycle the stress is
applied.
7
Stress III The Coulomb Failure Function
A function that measures the enhancement of the
failure on a given plane due to a stress
perturbation is the Coulomb Failure Function
(?CFF) where ?S is the shear stress (-
positive in the direction of slip) ?N is the
normal stress (- positive in compression) M is
the coefficient of friction Failure on the plane
in question is enhanced if ?CFF is positive, and
is delayed if it is negative.
8
Stress III The Coulomb Failure Function
The figures above show the change in the
fault-parallel shear stress and
fault-perpendicular normal stress, due to
right-lateral slip along a dislocation embedded
in an infinite elastic medium
9
Stress III The Coulomb Failure Function
10
Stress III The Coulomb Failure Function
The area affected by the stress perturbation
scales with the rupture dimensions.
The change in CFF due to the eight largest
earthquakes of the 20th century.
Alaska, 1964, Mw9.2
Chile, 1969, Mw9.5
Figure from legacy.ingv.it/roma/attivita/fisicai
nterno/modelli/struttureattive
11
Stress III The Coulomb Failure Function
Example from NAF
Animations from the USGS site
12
Stress III Stress shadows
The 1906 Great California stress shadow
Stein, 2002
So the CFF concept works not only for positive,
but also for negative stress change.
13
Stress III Multiple stress transfers - The
Landers and Hector Mine example
Maps of static stress changes suggest that the
Landers earthquake did not increase the static
stress at the site of the Hector Mine rupture,
and that Hector Mine ruptured within a stress
shadow.
Kilb, 2003
14
Stress III Multiple stress transfers - The
Landers and Hector Mine example
This map shows the change in CFF caused by the
Landers quake on optimally oriented planes at 6km
depth. The arrows point to the northern and
southern ends of the mapped surface rupture.
Figure downloaded from www.seismo.unr.edu/htdocs/W
GB/Recent.old/HectorMine
15
Stress III Multiple stress transfers - The
Landers and Hector Mine example
  • Most Landers aftershocks in the rupture region
    of the Hector Mine were not directly triggered by
    the Landers quake, but are secondary aftershocks
    triggered by the M 5.4 Pisgah aftershock.
  • The Hector Mine quake is, therefore, likely to
    be an aftershock of the Pisgah aftershock and its
    aftershocks.

Felzer et al., 2002
16
Stress III Aftershock triggering
Maps of ?CFF calculated following major
earthquakes show a strong tendency for
aftershocks to occur in regions of positive
?CFF. The Landers earthquake (CA)
King and Cocco (2000) Stein et al., 1992.
17
Stress III Aftershock triggering
The Homestead earthquake (CA)
King and Cocco (2000).
18
Stress III Remote aftershock triggering
Ziv, 2006
19
Stress III Remote aftershock triggering
The Mw7.4 Izmit (Turkey)
Mw5.8 Two weeks later
20
Stress III Remote aftershock triggering
The decay of M7.4 Izmit aftershocks throughout
Greece is very similar to the decay of M5.8
Athens aftershocks in Athens area (just multiply
the vertical axis by 2).
21
Stress III Dynamic triggering
  • The magnitude of static stress changes decay as
    disatnce-3.
  • The magnitude of the peak dynamic stress changes
    decay as distance-1.
  • At great distances from the rupture, the peak
    dynamic stresses are much larger than the static
    stresss.

Figure from Kilb et al., 2000
22
Stress III Dynamic triggering
Instantaneous triggering
No triggering
Stress
Time
Time
23
Stress III Dynamic triggering
Indeed, distant aftershocks are observed during
the passage of the seismic waves emitted from the
mainshock rupture.
Izmit aftershocks in Greece.
Brodsky et al., 2000
24
Stress III Dynamic triggering
  • Dynamic stress changes trigger aftershocks that
    rupture during the passage of the seismic waves.
  • But the vast majority aftershocks occur during
    the days, weeks and months after the mainshock.
  • Dynamic stress changes cannot trigger delayed
    aftershocks, i.e. those aftreshocks that rupture
    long after the passage of the seismic waves
    emitted by the mainshock.
  • It is, therefore, unclear what gives rise to
    delayed aftershocks in regions that are located
    very far from the mainshock.

25
Stress III Volcano-seismic coupling - the
Apennines and Vesuvius example
How normal faulting in the Apennines may promote
diking and volcanic eruptions in the Vesuvius
magmatic system, and vice versa.
Nostro et al. (1998)
26
Stress III Volcano-seismic coupling - the
Apennines and Vesuvius example
Coulomb Failure Function calculations
Nostro et al. (1998)
27
Stress III Volcano-seismic coupling - the
Apennines and Vesuvius example
Volcano-seismic coupling?
Nostro et al. (1998)
28
Further reading
  • Scholz, C. H., The mechanics of earthquakes and
    faulting, New-York Cambridge Univ. Press., 439
    p., 1990.
  • Harris, R. A., Introduction to special section
    Stress triggers, stress shadows, and implications
    for seismic hazard, J. Geophys. Res., 103,
    24,347-24,358, 1998.
  • Freed, A. M., Earthquake triggering by static,
    dynamic and postseismic stress transfer, Annu.
    Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 33, 335-367, 2005.
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