E. S. Takle1, J. Roads2, W. J. Gutowski, Jr.1, B. Rockel3, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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E. S. Takle1, J. Roads2, W. J. Gutowski, Jr.1, B. Rockel3,

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Create hypotheses that can be tested by use of MM/MD experiments. Candidate examples: ... Create and test hypotheses by MM/MD. Plan of Work ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: E. S. Takle1, J. Roads2, W. J. Gutowski, Jr.1, B. Rockel3,


1
Transferability as a Strategy for Researching the
Water Cycle and Energy Budget at Regional Scales
  • E. S. Takle1, J. Roads2, W. J. Gutowski, Jr.1, B.
    Rockel3,
  • R. W. Arritt1, and I. Meinke2
  • 1Iowa State University, Ames, IA
  • 2Scripps Institution of Oceanography,
    UCSD,LaJolla, CA
  • 3GKSS Research Centre, Geesthacht , Germany
  • gstakle_at_iastate.edu

2
Objective
  • Regional climate model transferability
    experiments are designed to advance the science
    of high-resolution climate modeling by taking
    advantage of continental-scale observations and
    analyses.

3
Objective
  • Regional climate model transferability
    experiments are designed to advance the science
    of high-resolution climate modeling by taking
    advantage of continental-scale observations and
    analyses.
  • At the GHP-9 in September 2003 interest emerged
    for creating a working group to actively promote
    this approach to study the energy budget and
    water cycle.

4
Use of Regional Models to Study Climate
  • How portable are our models?

5
Use of Regional Models to Study Climate
  • How portable are our models?
  • How much does tuning limit the general
    applicability to a range of climatic regions?

6
Use of Regional Models to Study Climate
  • How portable are our models?
  • How much does tuning limit the general
    applicability to a range of climatic regions?
  • Can we recover some of the generality of
    first-principles models by examining their
    behavior on a wide range of climates?

7
Transferability Working Group (TWG) Overall
Objective
  • To understand physical processes underpinning the
    global energy budget, the global water cycle, and
    their predictability through systematic
    intercomparisons of regional climate simulations
    on several continents and through comparison of
    these simulated climates with coordinated
    continental-scale observations and analyses

8
Types of Experiments
  • Multiple models on multiple domains (MM/MD)
  • Hold model choices constant for all domains

9
Types of Experiments
  • Multiple models on multiple domains (MM/MD)
  • Hold model choices constant for all domains
  • Not
  • Single models on single domains
  • Single models on multiple domains
  • Multiple models on single domains

10
TRANSFERABILITY EXPERIMENTS FOR ADDRESSING
CHALLENGES TO UNDERSTANDING GLOBAL WATER CYCLE
AND ENERGY BUDGET
ARCMIP
GLIMPSE
BALTEX
BALTIMOS
BALTEX
GKSS/ICTS
PRUDENCE
RMIP
MAGS
SGMIP
QUIRCS
PIRCS
CAMP
GAPP
GAPP
GAME
GAME
LBA
LBA
IRI/ARC
AMMA
CATCH
MDB
LA PLATA
MDB
11
Specific Objectives of TWG
  • Provide a framework for systematic evaluation of
    simulations of dynamical and climate processes
    arising in different climatic regions

12
Specific Objectives of TWG
  • Provide a framework for systematic evaluation of
    simulations of dynamical and climate processes
    arising in different climatic regions
  • Evaluate transferability, that is, quality of
    model simulations in non-native regions

13
Specific Objectives of TWG
  • Provide a framework for systematic evaluation of
    simulations of dynamical and climate processes
    arising in different climatic regions
  • Evaluate transferability, that is, quality of
    model simulations in non-native regions
  • Meta-comparison among models and among domains

14
We recognize that
  • The water cycle introduces exponential, binary,
    and other non-linear processes into the climate
    system

15
We recognize that
  • The water cycle introduces exponential, binary,
    and other non-linear processes into the climate
    system
  • Water cycle processes occur on a wide range of
    scales, many being far too small to simulate in
    global or regional models

16
We recognize that
  • The water cycle introduces exponential, binary,
    and other non-linear processes into the climate
    system
  • Water cycle processes occur on a wide range of
    scales, many being far too small to simulate in
    global or regional models
  • The water cycle creates spatial heterogeneities
    that feed back strongly on the energy budget and
    also the circulation system

17
Strategy
  • Identify key processes relating to the water
    cycle and energy budget that express themselves
    to different degrees in different climatic
    regions

18
Strategy
  • Identify key processes relating to the water
    cycle and energy budget that express themselves
    to different degrees in different climatic
    regions
  • Create hypotheses that can be tested by use of
    MM/MD experiments. Candidate examples
  • Physical parameterizations connected with the
    water cycle cause all models to have a cool bias
  • Physical parameterizations connected with the
    water cycle are the largest source of error in
    simulating the diurnal cycle

19
Expected Outcomes
  • Improved understanding of the water cycle and its
    feedbacks on the energy budget and circulation
    system

20
Expected Outcomes
  • Improved understanding of the water cycle and its
    feedbacks on the energy budget and circulation
    system
  • Improved capability to model climate processes at
    regional scales

21
Expected Outcomes
  • Improved understanding of the water cycle and its
    feedbacks on the energy budget and circulation
    system
  • Improved capability to model climate processes at
    regional scales
  • Improved applicability to impacts models

22
Plan of Work
  • Phase 0 Write an article for BAMS summarizing
    lessons learned from various MIPs and how
    transferability experiments will provide new
    insight on the global climate system,
    particularly the water cycle and energy budget,
    report preliminary results

23
Plan of Work
  • Phase 0 Write an article for BAMS summarizing
    lessons learned from various MIPs and how
    transferability experiments will provide new
    insight on the global climate system,
    particularly the water cycle and energy budget,
    report preliminary results
  • Phase 1 Conduct pilot studies

24
Plan of Work
  • Phase 0 Write an article for BAMS summarizing
    lessons learned from various MIPs and how
    transferability experiments will provide new
    insight on the global climate system,
    particularly the water cycle and energy budget,
    report preliminary results
  • Phase 1 Conduct pilot studies
  • Phase 2 Perform sensitivity studies on key
    processes relating to the water cycle. Create and
    test hypotheses by MM/MD

25
Plan of Work
  • Phase 0 Write an article for BAMS summarizing
    lessons learned from various MIPs and how
    transferability experiments will provide new
    insight on the global climate system,
    particularly the water cycle and energy budget,
    report preliminary results
  • Phase 1 Conduct pilot studies
  • Phase 2 Perform sensitivity studies on key
    processes relating to the water cycle. Create and
    test hypotheses by MM/MD
  • Phase 3 Prediction, global change, new
    parameterizations

26
Transferability Consolidates Lessons Learned from
Modeling and Observations
  • Models Use experience gained from simulating
    home domains

27
Transferability Consolidates Lessons Learned from
Modeling and Observations
  • Models Use experience gained from simulating
    home domains
  • CEOPS Use dominant features of the water cycle
    and energy budget of each CSE to generate
    testable hypotheses
  • Review what has been learned
  • Identify unique climate features

28
Transferability Experiments Meet GEWEX Phase II
Objectives
  • Produce consistent descriptions of the Earths
    energy budget and water cycle

29
Transferability Experiments Meet GEWEX Phase II
Objectives
  • Produce consistent descriptions of the Earths
    energy budget and water cycle
  • Enhance the understanding of how the energy and
    water cycle processes contribute to climate
    feedback

30
Transferability Experiments Meet GEWEX Phase II
Objectives
  • Produce consistent descriptions of the Earths
    energy budget and water cycle
  • Enhance the understanding of how the energy and
    water cycle processes contribute to climate
    feedback
  • Develop parameterizations encapsulating these
    processes and feedbacks for atmospheric
    circulation models

31
Current Status
  • Three models (RSM/Scripps, Lokalmodell/GKSS,
    RegCM3/ISU) simulating four domains (GAPPMAGS -
    North America, MDB - Australia, LBA - South
    America, and BALTEX - Europe)

32
Current Status
  • Three models (RSM/Scripps, Lokalmodell/GKSS,
    RegCM3/ISU) simulating four domains (GAPPMAGS -
    North America, MDB - Australia, LBA - South
    America, and BALTEX - Europe)
  • More collaborating modeling groups are being
    sought

33
Current Status
  • Three models (RSM/Scripps, Lokalmodell/GKSS,
    RegCM3/ISU) simulating four domains (GAPPMAGS -
    North America, MDB - Australia, LBA - South
    America, and BALTEX - Europe)
  • More collaborating modeling groups are being
    sought
  • Contact E. S. Takle (gstakle_at_iastate.edu)

34
Transferability Domains and CSE Reference Sites
Reference Sites
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