Title: Equilibrating Corporate Financial Engineering and Reporting
1Equilibrating Corporate Financial Engineering and
Reporting
- Shyam Sunder
- Yale University
- 20th Anniversary Conference on Financial
Economics and Accounting, Rutgers University - November 14, 2009
2An Overview
- Let us look at accounting and finance from a
social science perspective - Objective in corporate financial engineering to
design transactions to optimize from the point of
view of the organization, e.g., increase assessed
creditworthiness and lower risk based on facts
and appearances of its financial reports - Objective of financial reporting to provide
information useful for investment and other
decisions by various agents in the economy - Does the interplay of these two objectives lead
to a stable equilibrium? - If yes, what is the equilibrium?
- If not, what are the consequences and what, if
anything should be done about it?
3Accounting and Finance as Aspect of Social
Sciences
- These disciplines have been seen from several
points of view - One of them is to think of their topics of
substantive interest (e.g., corporate finance and
reporting, investments, and auditing) as social
phenomena - Social phenomena are characterized by multiple
levels of analysis, e.g., macroeconomic,
organizational, and individual - At each level, and across the levels, social
phenomena exhibit interaction among agents
(individuals, organizations, and government),
learning by them, feedback effects, and
consequently, pervasive endogeneity - These features of a social science make it more
difficult to identify laws or relationships which
are stable relative to their discovery and
characterization (e.g., small firm effect) - In these few minutes, I would like to discuss one
aspect of such interactions between financial
reporting and engineering, and share some
preliminary thoughts about their consequences
4Objectives in Financial Engineering
- The Financial Engineering Concentration
encompasses the design, analysis, and
construction of financial contracts to meet the
needs of enterprises. (Cornells ORIE M.S.
concentration in financial engineering) - What are these needs? In at least some cases,
these needs consist of finding ways of - Reducing indebtedness on the balance sheet, or
- Reducing expense on income statement, or
- Increasing revenue on income statement, or
- Increasing deductions on tax returns
5Securitization according to International Finance
Corporation
- A form of off-balance sheet financing which
involves the pooling of financial assets - Risk transfer mechanism that allows loan
originators to optimize balance sheet management - Allows highly rated securities to be created
from less credit worthy assets - Can be in local or foreign currency, depending
on client needs - A rapidly growing asset class with proven
benefit for emerging market borrowers - For summaries of prior deals, please visit
www.ifc.org/structuredfinance
6Financial Reporting Standards as Constraints on
Financial Optimization
- In such optimization, standards of financial
reporting are treated as constraints - Most optimization problems have hard
constraintstheir violation brings well-specified
penalties (dual prices) - With optimization confined by the production
possibilities set and other such physical
limitations, external constraints make a real
difference to the final actions - What kind of constraints do accounting standards
offer? - I am going to argue that these standards offer
softer constraints because the forms of
contracts, transactions, as well as
organizational forms that businessmen can devise
and use are beyond the scope of accounting
standards
7Redesigning Contracts
- A manufacturer needs to buy a machine for the
factory - Borrowing is an option, but the manufacturer does
not want more debt on its balance sheet - The leasing subsidiary of a bank buys the machine
and gives it to the manufacturer on a long term
leasemachine is in the factory but no debt on
balance sheet! - FASB writes Standard 13 leases gt90V and gt75T
must be treated as capital leases (debt is back
on BS) - The bank revises the lease to levels below the
thresholds specified in the standard (debt is off
the BS) - FASB goes back to work, and so on until the
rulebook grows to over a 1,000 pages
8Redesigning Transactions
- Depending on the current standards of financial
reporting, transactions can be redesigned to
achieve the desired consequences for revenues,
expenses and taxes
9Redesigning the Organization
- When design of contracts and transactions is not
sufficient, organizations themselves can be
redesigned, or new ones created in order to have
the desired consequences for balance sheets,
income statements and tax returns - Special purpose entities (SPEs and SPVs) are
examples of organizations created for this
purpose (see Klee and Butler 2002 and Gorton and
Souleles 2005) - Hundreds of respected U.S. companies are
ferreting away trillions of dollars in debt in
off-balance sheet subsidiaries, partnerships, and
assorted obligations (Henry et al. 2002)
10Asymmetric Game
- Note that financial reporting standards neither
have, nor can have, any say in any of these
business decisions of the management - The role of the accountant and auditor is limited
to preparing financial reports given all these
decisions - While these decisions clearly consider what the
accounting standards are, accountants have little
freedom to take into account how and why these
decisions were taken in the first place - There is great asymmetry between the freedom
available to the business decision makers and
constraints on the accountant who must abide by
relatively rigid written standards
11The Net Effect
- The decision to write an accounting standard is a
matter of social policy that calls for a
deliberative due process it typically takes
years to determine which rules might best serve
investors and others. Inevitably, these standards
are written on the assumption that the current
forms of contracts, transactions, and
organizations will continue to be used in the
future when these standards are applied - The decision to change contracts, transactions
and organization is an individual decision that
may be taken within days if not hours. Further,
the scope of these decisions is virtually
unbounded (except by the imagination of the
businessmen). Soon after the standards are
issued, the environment to which they are applied
changes relative to the what the standards were
written for - The net effect Financial reporting standards
serve as relatively weak constraints (if at all)
on what businesses can do
12Three Major Classes of Derivatives
- Futures/Forwards are contracts to buy or sell an
asset on or before a future date at a price
specified today. - Options are contracts that give the owner the
right, but not the obligation, to buy (in the
case of a call option) or sell (in the case of a
put option) an asset. The price at which the sale
takes place is known as the strike price, and is
specified at the time the parties enter into the
option ( European vs. American options) - Swaps are contracts to exchange cash (flows) on
or before a specified future date based on the
underlying value of currencies/exchange rates,
bonds/interest rates, commodities, stocks or
other assets.
13Six Types of Underlying Assets
- Interest rate derivatives (the largest)
- Foreign Exchange derivatives
- Credit Derivatives
- Equity derivatives
- Commodity derivatives
- Weather derivatives
14Over-the-Counter Derivatives
- Traded (and privately negotiated) directly
between two parties, without going through an
exchange or other intermediary (e.g., swaps,
forward rate agreements, and exotic options) - This largest of the derivatives market is largely
unregulated with respect to disclosure of
information between the parties (banks and hedge
funds etc.) - Reporting of OTC amounts are difficult because
trades can occur in private, without activity
being visible on any exchange. - According to the Bank for International
Settlements - The total outstanding notional amount is 684
trillion (as of June 2008)4. - 67 are interest rate contracts,
- 8 are credit default swaps (CDS),
- 9 are foreign exchange contracts,
- 2 are commodity contracts,
- 1 are equity contracts, and
- 12 are others
15Exchange-traded derivatives
- A derivatives exchange acts as an intermediary to
all related transactions, and takes Initial
margin from both sides of the trade to act as a
guarantee. - The world's largest derivatives exchanges (by
number of transactions) Korea Exchange, Eurex,
and CME Group (made up of the Chicago Mercantile
Exchange, the Chicago Board of Trade and the New
York Mercantile Exchange. - According to BIS, the combined turnover in the
world's derivatives exchanges totaled USD 344
trillion during Q4 2005. - Some types of derivative instruments also may
trade on traditional exchanges (convertible bonds
and/or convertible preferred, warrants,
Performance Rights, Cash xPRTs and various other
instruments that essentially consist of a complex
set of options bundled into a simple package)
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17Why Is It So Difficult to Write Standards for
Derivatives Accounting?
- Some derivatives are designed to get around the
intent (provision of information) of the extant
financial reporting standards - How does one write standards for these
instruments? - Is it possible to have an equilibrium between
design of such instruments and standards for
reporting them? - The problem seems to have gone largely unnoticed
in the flurry of proposals on financial reforms
now on the table - The question is Are the optimization in
financial engineering (relative to prevailing
reporting standards), and search for standards
that provide useful information to investors
mutually consistent goals?
18Social Norms of Accounting and Finance
- I personally doubt that a non-cooperative game
between financial engineers and accountants has
led us to a socially efficient outcome - Accountants have, over the past eight decades,
increasingly come to rely on written rules as
opposed to their judgment and social norms of
their profession - Financial engineers, on the other hand consider
it their own professional duty to design whatever
instruments/transactions/organizations will best
serve the immediate interests of their clients
under the prevailing written standards of
financial reporting - Social norms play a diminishing, if any, role on
either side - Is it possible that some part of the blame for
the systemic failures of the recent years may be
linked to this diminishing role?
19Ethics and Moral Code in Business Programs
- Shiller Many schools now offer a course in
business ethics, and some even try to integrate
business ethics into their other courses. But
nowhere is ethics seen as the centerpiece or even
integral part of the curriculum. And even when
business students do take an ethics course, the
theoretical framework of the core courses tends
to be so devoid of any moral content that the
discussion of ethics must seem like some side
order of overcooked vegetable. - If the role of ethics in curriculum is minimal,
what is the role of ethics (i.e., social
consequences of our work) in choosing the
substantive topics of our research - Identifying mispricing of securities, for
example, may help move prices to more efficient
levels - What about identifying a way of redesigning a
transaction so a financial obligation will not
show up on the balance sheet under the prevailing
reporting standards?
20Ethics and Moral Code in Research Programs
- In some recent theoretical and experimental work,
we find that the constraints imposed by financial
and social institutions (e.g., bankruptcy laws,
commercial code, accounting) can help resolve
otherwise mathematically intractable problem of
multiplicity of equilibria in economy. Could this
also apply to interaction between financial
engineering and reporting? - Which one of us would refuse to work on either an
optimal transaction design or accounting
standardization problem on ethical (social
consequences) grounds? - If I were a locksmith, and published the locking
codes for the university doors, I might bear some
moral culpability - Is, or should, there be any moral culpability
associated with devising a way around a standard
of financial reporting intended to provide better
information? - When, and where, should we raise such issues?
21Some Fundamental Issues
- Role of social ethical norms in accounting and
financial institutions - Reflexivity of markets and of financial reporting
(Keynes, Sunder) - Rationality can serve as an anchor, not a
description irrationality offers no explanation - Fractal structure of knowledge (try for yourself,
e.g., http//www.coolmath.com/fractals/fractalgene
rators/generator1/index.html)
22Roles of Accounting and Finance Research
- Progressive micronization of research
- Progressive shift in research attention to better
explanatory power through additional variables - This process is understandable, but does not
create a micro-macro issues balance - Discarding of details, standing back, to allow a
big picture to emerge is just as important - What is the big picture of corporate financial
reporting and engineering today?
23In Summary
- Accounting and finance originated as a single
discipline have increasingly diverged in the
recent decades - Interaction of financial reporting standards on
one hand and financial engineering on the other
has created a newer kind of interaction between
them with its own special consequences - What, if any thing, should we, and can we do
about this? - Are there some alternatives to bringing in a
sense of social responsibility for the
consequences of our research agendas? If so, let
us explore them.
24References
- Hans J. Blommestein, The Financial Crisis as a
symbol of failure of academic finance (a
methodological digression), The Journal of
Financial Transformation, Fall 2009. - G. Gorton and N. Souleles, Special Purpose
Vehicles and Securitization, FRB Philadelphia
Working Paper, 2005. - Henry, David, Heather Timmons, Steve Rosenbush,
and Michael Arndt (2002), Who else is hiding
debt?, Business Week (January 28), 36-37. - J. Huber, M. Shubik, and S. Sunder, Default
penalty as disciplinary and selection mechanism
in presence of multiple equilibria, Cowles
Foundation Working Paper 1730, October 2009. - K. Klee and B. Butler, Asset-Backed
Securitization, Special Purpose Vehicles - and Other Securitization Issues, Uniform
Commercial Code Law Journal 35 (2002), 23-67. - J. Mason, E. Higgins and A. Mordel, Asset Sales,
Recourse, and Investor Reactions to Initial
Securitizations Evidence Why Off-balance Sheet
Accounting Treatment Does not Remove On-balance
Sheet Financial Risk LSU Working Paper, 2009. - Robert J. Shiller, How Wall Street learns to
look the other way, The New York Times, Feb. 8,
2005. - Shyam Sunder. Theory of Accounting and Control.
Southwestern Publishing, 1997. - Shyam Sunder, Determinants of Economic
Interaction Behavior or Structure. Journal of
Economic Interaction and Coordination 1, no. 1
(May 2006) 21-32. - Shyam Sunder, True and Fair as the Moral
Compass of Financial Reporting, in Cynthia
Jeffrey, ed., Research in Professional
Responsibility and Ethics in Accounting
(Forthcoming 2009).
25Thank You.
- Shyam.sunder_at_yale.edu
- www.som.yale.edu/faculty/sunder