People with Disabilities in Massachusetts, Its Current Size, Demographic Socioeconomic Characteristi

1
People with Disabilities in Massachusetts, Its
Current Size, Demographic / Socioeconomic
Characteristics, Employment and Poverty Status,
and Projected Outlook

• Center for Labor Market Studies
• Northeastern University
• December 2006

2
People with Disabilities in Massachusetts, Its
Current Size, Demographic/Socioeconomic
Characteristics, Employment and Poverty Status,
and Projected Outlook

• Defining and measuring the size of the states
  population of people with disabilities, 16-74
  years old.
• The American community surveys and their use in
  measuring the population of people with
  disabilities.
• The estimated size of the states population of
  people with disabilities in 2003-2004 the
  incidence of disability problems in
  Massachusetts, the U.S., and other New England
  states.
• Who is disabled in Massachusetts? An overview of
  their gender, race-ethnic, educational
  attainment, and nativity characteristics .

3

• The varying incidence of disability problems in
  Massachusetts variations across age,
  educational attainment, and race-ethnic groups.
• The aging of the states population and its
  impact on the projected size and age composition
  of the states population of people with
  disabilities over the coming decade.
• The more severe structural and labor market
  problems among less educated people with
  disabilities in Massachusetts problems of
  employability, earnings, poverty and dependency.
• Types of disability problems reported by people
  with disabilities overlap among disability
  problems, and their effects on the employability
  of people with disabilities predictors of the
  employability status of people with disabilities.

4

• The mean annual earnings of workers with
  disabilities in Massachusetts in a variety of
  demographic, educational, and nativity subgroups
  will be reviewed and compared to those of both
  their non-disabled peers in the state and people
  with disabilities in New England and the U.S.
• The incidence of various types of income
  inadequacy for people with disabilities in the
  Commonwealth.
• Overlaps between poverty and adults with
  disabilities in Massachusetts implications for
  workforce development and anti-poverty policy.
• The fiscal benefits for federal and state
  governments that can be generated by increasing
  the pool of employed adults with disabilities.

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Defining and Measuring the Population of People
with Disabilities

• Alternative sources of data on people with
  disabilities and their comparative strengths and
  limitations
• The decennial Censuses of Population and Housing
  the reporting problems associated with the
  questionnaire format in the 2000 Census
  over-reporting and mis-identification of the
  population of people with disabilities.
• The March Current Population Surveys captures
  information only on disability problems related
  to work or the lack thereof limited sample sizes
  for states.
• The American Community Surveys annual household
  surveys conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau since
  2002, large sample sizes in recent years nearly
  14,000 in 2003 and 2004 and 34,000 in 2004
  collects information on types of disability
  related problems allows identification of
  demographic, socioeconomic characteristics of the
  disabled and their labor markets, earnings, and
  income experiences.

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• Main Limitations of the ACS survey
• Findings are based on self-reports of individual
  not medical assessments
• Cannot identify specific types of disability
  problems encountered by disabled (type of
  physical or mental disability)
• Does not distinguish temporary from permanent
  disability

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Estimated Number of 16-74 Year Old Persons with A
Disability in Massachusetts, the Other New
England States, and the U.S. (2003-2004 Averages)
8
Percent of 16-74 Year Olds with a Disability in
the U.S., New England, and Individual New
England States, 2003-2004
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The Percentage Distribution of People with
Disabilities in Massachusetts, New England, and
the U.S., by Gender and Race/Ethnic Origin
2003-2004 Averages
10
The Percentage Distribution of People with
Disabilities in Massachusetts, New England, and
the U.S., by Educational Attainment and Nativity
Status 2003-2004 Averages
11
Percent of the Population in Massachusetts with
Disabilities by Age Group, 2003-2004 Averages
12
Massachusetts Disability Rate Ranking Among the
50 States and the District of Columbia by
Educational Attainment Level, 2003-2004 Average
(in )
13
Disability Rates of the 16-74 Year Old Population
in Massachusetts by Educational Attainment and
Race-Ethnic Group, 2003 2004 (in )
14
Predicted Probability of Disability for Four
Hypothetical Individuals in Massachusetts, 2004
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Comparisons of the 2004 Actual and 2015 Projected
Number of People with Disabilities 16-74 Year Old
in Massachusetts, Total and by Gender (in 1000s)
16
Estimating the Impact of the Aging of the 45-64
Year Old Population on the Older Population of
People with Disabilities in Massachusetts Under
Two Alternative Scenarios
17
Estimating the Impact of the Aging of the 45-64
Year Old Population on the Older Population of
People with Disabilities in Massachusetts Under
Two Alternative Scenarios (Cont.)
18
Disability Rates Among the 16-74 Year Old
Population in Massachusetts, New England, and the
U.S., Total and by Types of Disability (2003-2004
Averages)
19
Civilian Labor Force Participation Rates of
People with Disabilities 16-74 Year Old by
Gender, Massachusetts and the U.S., (2003-2004
Two-Year Average)
20
Civilian Labor Force Participation Rates of
People with Disabilities 16-74 Year Old by
Educational Attainment, Massachusetts and
U.S.(2003-2004 Two-Year Average)
21
Employment to Population Ratios of People with
Disabilities 16-74 Year Old by Gender,
Massachusetts and U.S. (2003-2004 Two-Year
Average)
22
Employment to Population Ratios of People with
Disabilities 16-74 Year Old by Educational
Attainment, Massachusetts and U.S. (2003-2004
Two-Year Average)
23
Employment Rates of 16-65 Year Old Adults with
Disabilities in Massachusetts by Type of
Disability Reported, 2003-2004 Averages
24
Unemployment Rates of People With Disabilities by
Education Attainment, Massachusetts 2003-2004
25
Unemployment Rates of 16-74 Year Old in
Massachusetts, New England, and the U.S., by
Selected Demographic Traits, 2003-2004 Averages
Source U.S. Census Bureau, 2003 and 2004
American Community Surveys (ACS), public use
files, tabulations by CLMS.
26
Underutilization Rates of Populations With or
Without Disabilities, March 2004-2005 (in )
27
Mean Annual Earnings of 16-74 Year Old
Full-Time/Year-Round Workers by Disability
Status in Massachusetts, New England and the
U.S., 2002-2003 Averages
Source 2003 and 2004 American Community Surveys
(ACS), public use files, tabulations by authors.
28
Mean Annual Earnings of 16-74 Year Old
Full-Time/Year-Round Workers by Disability Status
and Selected Demographic/Human Capital Traits in
Massachusetts, 2002-2003 Averages
Source 2003 and 2004 American Community Surveys
(ACS), U.S. Census Bureau, tabulations by
authors.
29
The Incidence of Poverty, Poverty/Near Poverty
and Low Income Problems Among Disabled and
Non-Disabled Persons in Massachusetts and the
U.S. and Massachusetts Ranking Among All 50
States, 2002-2003 Averages (In )
30
The Overall Incidence of Income Inadequacy
Problems Among People with Disabilities (16-74)
in Massachusetts by Type of Measure, 2002-2003
Averages
31
The Disability Status of the Poor / Near Poor
16-74 Year Old Population in Massachusetts and
the U.S., 2004
32
A Listing of the Federal/State Taxes and Cash and
In-kind Transfers Included in the Fiscal Impact
Analysis for People with Disabilities in
Massachusetts and the U.S.
Net fiscal benefits to federal and Tax
payments Value of cash and in-kind transfers
state government
33
Mean Budgetary Costs and Benefits of 16-64 Year
Olds in Massachusetts, New