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APM Final Presentation

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Title: APM Final Presentation


1
  • APM Final Presentation
  • Portfolio Recommendation BUY JCOM
  • Rachel Berry
  • Peter Fields
  • Bailey Gray
  • Ben Mitchell
  • Kendal Reed
  • December 7th, 2009

2
Investment Thesis
  • We place a BUY recommendation on j2 Global
    Communications(JCOM) for the following
    reasons    
  • JCOM currently operates in a niche market which
    allowed them to add 11.6 million telephone
    numbers in FY2008 even during the economic
    downturn.
  • JCOM has maintained high gross margins (80)
    over the last five years and should continue to
    do so in the future due to effective pricing and
    cost management.
  • The market has depressed the stock price due to
    overall economy, not JCOMs results

3
Company Overview
  • Founded in 1995, Headquartered in Hollywood, CA
  • Fast Facts
  • Current Stock Price (12/2/09) 20.25
  • Market Cap 942 million
  • TEV 723 million
  • ROE (ttm) 22.0
  • 2008 FY Revenue Growth 11.5
  • Product Offerings
  • Faxing
  • Voicemail
  • Email
  • Callhandling
  • Products and Services are offered in 3,500 cities
    in 46 countries

4
Historical Results
TTM Margins Gross Margin 81.5 EBITDA
Margin 46.2 Net Margin 28.3 Active
Telephones, 5 yr CAGR 15.9 Subscriber
Revenue, 5 yr CAGR 28.3
5
Growth Thru Acquisitions
Strategy also includes organic growth. JCOM has
57 patents related to its technologies, and the
ability to use economies of scale to provide
competitive prices.
6
Industry Overview
  • JCOM operates in a niche market
  • Large barriers to entry
  • Acquisition of millions of telephone numbers
  • Integrated global network
  • Regulatory risk exists

7
DCF Valuation
  • WACC 11.7
  • Pro Forma provided on handout
  • Bear Case stagnant growth
  • Target Price range 22-23
  • Bull Case stronger growth
  • Target Price range 35-36

8
Relative Valuation
  • Companies chosen based first on business
    similarity to JCOM and second on market cap
  • CBEY
  • OTC
  • PGI
  • TMRK

9
Relative Valuation (cont)
  • TEV/EBITDA Analysis
  • Forward TEV/EBITDA of 8.63x
  • Resulting P of 33.18
  • 64 undervalued

10
Relative Valuation (cont)
  • ROE analysis supports TEV/EBITDA valuation
  • JCOM does not have debt meaning ROE figures are
    not inflated

11
Impact for APM
  • JCOM competes in Technology Sector and Internet
    software and services industry
  • Market Cap of 942M small cap and good fit for
    APM philosophy
  • APM recently sold ATT (same NAICS code) and much
    of CDC holding
  • JCOM provides exposure to industry that in which
    we have limited investment
  • The stock market has not adequately compensated
    the firm for its current success and future
    growth opportunities, with the price down over
    40 since peak
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