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Roland MONTAGNE. Head of Broadband Practice. r.montagne ... Verizon, NTT, FTTH Council USA, Corning. What is the situation in Europe? What are the barriers? ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Pr


1
FTTx Deployments - Key Issues DigiWorld Summit
2006 4th International Broadband
Forum Montpellier, 14th November 2006


Roland MONTAGNE Head of Broadband
Practice r.montagne_at_idate.org
2
FTTH Worldwide Status Strategies leaders
  • Japan the FTTH leader
  • More new FTTx subscribers than new DSL
    subscribers since April 2005
  • Since June 2005, FTTH has overtaken cable in
    Japan
  • 5.6 million FTTH/B subscribers in June 2006
  • Governments proactive approach to FTTx
    deployment 30 M FTTH subs. in 2010
  • USA FTTH is the unique solution for RBOCs
  • Power of Cable operators Time Warner, Comcast,
    CableVision launching 30 and 50 Mbps access
    offers
  • By 1Q2006 Verizon had passed around 4M homes
    for fibre and counted 264 000 FTTx subscribers
    (375 000 by 2Q2006). Expected for end 2006 6M
    Homes passed and 900 000 FTTx subscribers
  • ATT (more FTTN oriented) and Verizon launched
    Fibre access for doing HDTV

3
FTTH Worldwide Status Strategies Europe
  • Mid of 2006, less than 800 000 FTTH/B subscribers
    in the EU 18 (23 vs June 2005)
  • Mid of 2006, around 2.7 millions Homes passed in
    the EU 18 (10 vs June 2005)
  • ? A global penetration rate of more than 28
  • Mid of 2006, Deutsche Telekom covers 2.9 millions
    homes in 10 major cities in Germany with FTTN
    VDSL2

Source IDATE
4
FTTH What will be the drivers?
  • Residential market applications
  • A few specific applications needing more
    Bandwidth HDTV, video services, blogs, personal
    content exchanges,
  • A growth of the needs concerning Bandwidth but
    also Symmetry this will be driven by
    simultaneous usages in the home that have already
    started with Triple Play

Minimum bandwidth requirements
Source IDATE
5
FTTH What will be the drivers? Copper
Competition
  • Copper limits
  • A demand today quite well satisfied by download
    rate proposed ADSL2 but
  • Eligibility constraints. Beyond 1.5 to 2 km from
    the DSLAM download speeds drops dramatically
  • These two major constraints inherent in ADSL
    technologies, i.e. asymmetry and bandwidth
    limitation, prevent operators from being able to
    supply the applications that digital homes will
    be demanding in the very near future
  • Competition
  • The competition coming from Cable Modem USA,
    Netherlands, Belgium,
  • Japan example (NTT) FTTH subscriber churn rate
    is lower than for ADSL subscribers
  • French example Competition between France
    Telecom (Orange), Free and neuf cegetel

Source IDATE
6
FTTx - Technology choice Maturity
  • Two distinct mature solutions possible today for
    expanding fibre optic coverage

Passive network
Source IDATE/Lucent
Source  IDATE/Lucent
7
FTTx Technology choice? French case
Copper Local Loop structure in France
Source IDATE
  • Subscribers (d) average distance from SC 700
    to 800 m 300 m in Germany 420 m in the UK 500
    m in Italy
  • Subscribers (dd) average distance from the
    local exchange
  • 29 of lines at less than 1 Km (nearly 100 in
    Italy!!)
  • 39 of lines at less than 1.5 Km
  • 52 of lines at less than 2 Km

8
FTTH Cost is still the major issue? French case
  • Base option Greenfield deployments main cities
    then residential areas
  • Technologies GPON and Ethernet P2P
  • Deployment 2006 to 2015 for a coverage of 40
    of the population
  • In 2015 11.9 million homes passed and 5.3
    subscribers
  • Results total investments between 10.4 and 11.3
    billions euros over 10 years
  • Civil Engineering represents 70 of the costs
  • EBIT positive in 2012
  • Entering in residential areas in 2010 with
    individual homes has a strong impact in
    deployment costs

Investments per year (in million EUR)
9
FTTH Cost is still the major issue? French case
  • Option 1 Paris with usage of passive existing
    infrastructure (Paris sewer)
  • At 1/m/year it allows an economy of 30 compared
    to the Greenfield case
  • In 2015 1.1 million homes passed and 0.5
    million subscribers
  • Option 2 France with usage of ducts already
    existing
  • At 2/m/year it allows an economy of 50 compared
    to the Greenfield case
  • In 2015 9.1 million homes passed and 2.6
    million subscribers
  • Mutualisation is the key access at existing
    passive infrastructures

10
Key questions
  • Japan, US lessons to be learned from the FTTH
    leaders?
  • Verizon, NTT, FTTH Council USA, Corning
  • What is the situation in Europe? What are the
    barriers?
  • FTTH Council Europe, Deutsche Telekom, Close the
    Gap
  • Maturity of FTTx technologies?
  • Alcatel, Sagem
  • When deploying FTTH in Greenfield, Civil
    Engineering is representing most of the costs
    Progress to come in these fields?
  • Vinci Networks, Sogetrel
  • French Case after the announcements and trials,
    is there a true market for Fibre in the country?
  • The players France Telecom, CiteFibre/Free,
    Erenis, neuf cegetel, Numericable
  • Role of Local Bodies CDC, Ville de Paris
  • What will be the evolution of Regulation with
    the arrival of FTTH?
  • Arceps point of view
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