Alimentos Transgnicos

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Technology Foresight Summit 2007 Water
Productivity in the Industry 27-29 September
2007, Budapest, Hungary
THE ROLE OF FORESIGHT EXPERIENCE IN THE PROMOTION
OF BRAZILS NATIONAL INNOVATION SYSTEM
Dalci Maria dos Santos Lélio Fellows
Filho National Council of Scientific and
Technological Development CNPq Brazil Center
for Strategic Management and Studies CGEE
Brazil September, 2007
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THE ROLE OF FORESIGHT EXPERIENCE IN THE PROMOTION
OF BRAZILS NATIONAL INNOVATION SYSTEM
Source http//www.escolavesper.com.br/images/mapa
mundipolitico1.gif
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THE ROLE OF FORESIGHT EXPERIENCE IN THE PROMOTION
OF BRAZILS NATIONAL INNOVATION SYSTEM

• In the last 10 years -1997-2007

Development of a new moment to long term visions
and future studies mainly in the Science and
Technology System as a important mechanisms to
support the decision making process.
1998 BRASIL 2020 PROJECT Secretariat of
Strategic Subjects (SAE) of the Presidency of the
Republic SAE/SAA/PR
2000 THE PROSPECTAR PROGRAM Ministry of
Science and Tecnhology (MCT)
2000 THE BRAZILIAN PROGRAM OF TECHNOLOGICAL
INDUSTRIAL PROSPECTIVE Ministry of Development,
Industry and Commerce (MDIC)
2001 CENTER FOR STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT AND
STUDIES CGEE a Social Organization
2004 BRASIL 3 MOMENTS PROJECT Nucleus of
Strategic Issues - Presidency of the Republic
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THE BRAZIL 2020 PROJECT Secretariat of Strategic
Subjects (SAE) of the Presidency of the Republic
The Brazil 2020 Project A LANDMARK The first
experience of governmental integrated planning in
Brazil, in the recent years - 1998. Even without
the sense of making a precise orientation for the
public investments or for the budgetary
organization of the activities of the State, this
project represents a landmark. Main Objectives
a reflection exercise, aiming at outlining views
for the future of Brazil, and therefore, guides
the elaboration of some exploration scenarios to
guide Brazilian itinerary of development.
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The ProspeCTar Programme The first foresight
initiative in Brazil - launched in 2000. Main
Objectives the programme aimed to examine
technological trends to support the decision
about investments in the Sectorial Funds for
development of Science and Technology. Selected
Themes Aeronautics, Agriculture (includes
forest, fishing, livestock farming, agribusiness,
biotechnology), Energy (includes biotechnology),
Health (includes biotechnology), Materials, Outer
Space, Water Resources and Telecom Information
Technology (includes electronics).
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The Brazilian Programme of Technological
Industrial Prospective was created by the
Ministry of Development, Industry and Commerce
(MDIC) in 2000, and received technical and
financial support from UNIDO Foresight initiative
for Latin America. Main Objectives the
programme seeks to evaluate the capacity of some
of the main productive chains, considered the
horizon of time 2003-2013. It aims to provide
information to support public policies on
technological development. Selected Themes the
programme has selected sectors of high
competitiveness such as Plastics, Building Site,
Textile and Makings, Wood and Pieces of
Furniture.
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THE CENTER FOR STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT AND STUDIES -
CGEE
The Center for Strategic Management and Studies
CGEE - is a public non governmental Center
specially designed to handle foresight activities
and to promote national planning for S,TI in the
country, formally installed in September, 2001.
The methodological approach designed to guide
CGEEs foresight process takes into account the
methodological structures proposed by Horton
(1999), Conway and Voros (2002), as well as
practical orientations contained in the Handbook
of Knowledge Society Foresight (2002), Godet
(1991, 2001) and from many other foresight
experiences around the world.
A CGEEs methodological approach is open to
accommodate several FTA forms and innovations
from other domains, in order to better inform the
decision making process in the field of science
and technology.
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Nucleus of Strategic Issues - Presidency of
Republic - Brazil
NAEs was created in 2004 and has the main
objective to identify national opportunities and
deal with long term strategic issues in order to
support the process of decision making for the
Presidency of the Republic.
Since 2007, NAE was incorporated by the Long Term
Planning Department of the Presidency of the
Republic of Brazil. This department is thus
responsible for the Brazilian national long term
planning.
Future Studies on national issues
BIOFUELS Bazil 3 Moments BR3T BIOTECHNOLOGY
CLIMATE CHANGE NANOTECHNOLOGY
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BRAZIL 3 MOMENTS PROJECT
LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE
Main Objectives Brazil 3 Moments, carried out in
2004, has a general objective to establish a view
of the Nation Brazil in 7 dimensions, defining a
group of specific objectives and time horizon to
be reached by the country (2007, 2015 and 2022)
The Brazil Project 3 Moments represents a new
starting point of the strategical planning
activities in the Brazil.
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Final Remarks

• Through analysis of the historical process of
  the long term thinking initiatives, one can say
  that undoubtedly that the prospective activity
  has recently been growing in the country. It can
  also be asserted that these initiatives derive
  from the growing movements of the national
  innovation systems.

• Brazil has also experienced a strong growth on
  the use of foresight methods and techniques, as
  well as has expanded the culture of prospective
  studies.

• In the last 5 years on the CT environment many
  of the programs and projects launched had taken
  into account some recommendations from the
  prospective studies carried through by the CGEE
  and other organisms, but still it seems early to
  evaluate the results.

• Although to notice a great growth of the
  activity and a relative success, the short time
  thinking culture is still a reality in the
  country.

• ...but... it is interesting to perceive the
  growth of other initiatives, such as private
  future companies, regional and thematic nets of
  research and more prospective research groups in
  the academic institutions.

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Thanks ! lelio_at_cgee.org.br d.santos_at_globo.com www
.cnpq.br www.cgee.org.br