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National Urban Transformation Training Urban Trends

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Title: National Urban Transformation Training Urban Trends


1
National Urban Transformation TrainingUrban
Trends
  • Rev. Dr. J.N. Manokaran,
  • Managing Director
  • TOPIC-India

2
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Global crisis
  • Market melt down
  • New American president
  • Terrorism
  • WORLD IS HOT, FLAT AND CROWDED
  • Energy crisis and Environment

3
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • World Densest cities The list is 1 Mumbai
    (29650 per sq. km) 2 Kolkata (29650) 3 Karachi
    (18900) 4 Lagos (18150) 5. Shenzhen (17150)
    6. Seoul (16700) 7. Taipei (15200) 8. Chennai
    (14350) 9. Bagata (13500) 10. Shangai (13400)
    11. Lima (11750) 12. Beijing (11500) 13 Delhi
    (11050) 14. Kinsaha (10650) 15. Manila (10550)
    16. Tehran (10550) 17. Jakarta (10500) 18.
    Tianjin (10500) 19. Bangalore (10100) 20. Ho
    Chi Minh (9450).

4
Indian cities
5
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 1 Humanity moving to cities, towns
  • Half of worlds people will live in urban areas
  • 70 per cent will be city dwellers by 2050 there
    will be 27 megacities with at least 10 million
    population by mid century compared to 19 today
  • Half the urban growth will be in the many smaller
    cities with less than 500000 people.
  • The population is also projected to increase from
    6.7 billion to 9.2 billion by 2050.

6
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • There were 50.3 million urban households in the
    country in 2000 this rose to 61.5 million in
    2005.
  • Six metros Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata,
    Bangalore and Hyderabad
  • Eight mini-metros, Ludhiana, Bhubaneswar, Pune,
    Kochi, Ahmedabad, Jaipur, Patna and Lucknow.

7
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Tamil Nadu the most urbanised State
  • 44 per cent of people of Tamil Nadu were living
    in urban areas.

8
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Bangalored or Gangtoked?
  • Leaders Bangalore - Bangalore, National Capital
    Region of Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune, Chennai
    and Kolkata.
  • The Challengers Ahmedabad, Bhuvaneswar,
    Chandigarh, Chombatore, Indore, Jaipur, Kochi,
    Lucknow, Madurai, Mangalore, Nagpur,
    Thiruvananthapuram, Tiruchirapalli, Vadodara, and
    Vishakapatnam.
  • The followers Aurangabad, Bhopal, Goa, Gwalior,
    Hubli-Dharwad, Kanpur, Mysore, Nashik,
    Pondicherry, Salem, Surat, Vijayawada, and
    Varanasi.
  • The Aspirants Allahabad, Dehradun, Durgapur,
    Gangtok, Guwahati, Ludhiana, Patna, Raipur,
    Ranchi, Shimla, Siliguri, and Srinagar.

9
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Indias Top 25 emerging markets Kannur,
    kerala Kolhapur, Maharashtra Thirissur, Kerala
    Erode, Tamil Nadu Puducherry Alappuzha, Kerala
    Patiala, Punjab Ahmednagar, Maharashtra Sangli,
    Maharashtra Kanyakumari, Tamil Nadu Kollam,
    Kerala Gurudaspur Punjab Sangrur, Punjab
    Panipat, Haryana Yamunanagar, Haryana Ambala,
    Haryana Shimoga, Karnataka Rohtak, Haryana
    Palakkad, Kerala Kottayam, Kerala Karnal,
    Haryana Shimla, Himachal Pradesh Rupnagar,
    Punjab Theni, Tamil Nadu and Namakkal, Tamil
    Nadu.

10
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Best Cities for Business The top cities are 1.
    Mumbai, 2. Bangalore, 3. Delhi, 4. Chennai, 5.
    Hyderabad, 6. Kolkata, 7. Ahmedabad, 8. Pune,
    (called Mega cities) 9. Surat and 10. Kanpur,
    11. Jaipur, 12. Lucknow, 13. Nagpur, 14.
    Bhopal, 15. Coimbatore, (Called Boom towns) 16.
    Faridabad, 17. Amritsar, 18. Ludhiana, 19.
    Chandigarh, and 20. Jalandhar. (Called Niche
    cities) (Business Today, 7 September 2008, p.
    70-120)

11
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • 50 cities seen as hub of retail space boom The
    top 15 cities in the list will contribute more
    than 80 per cent of the total national retail
    business by 2008. Delhi-NCR and Mumbai belong to
    the maturing category.
  • Transitional cities include Bangalore, Kolkata,
    Hyderabad, Pune, Chennai and Ahmedabad.
  • Chandigarh, Jaipur, Ludhiana, Lucknow, Kochi,
    Surat and Vadodara belong to the third category
    of high-growth cities.
  • Emerging cities Ludiana, Coching, Nagpur,
    Indore, Nasik, Bhubaneshwar, Vizag, Coimbatore,
    Mangalore, Mysore and Thiruvananthapuram The
    category also includes tourist destinations like
    Amritsar, Agra and Goa.
  • Cities where both income levels and corporate
    activities are limited Patna, Bhopal, Meerut,
    Asansol, Varanasi, Kolhapur and Sonepat are
    termed as nascent.

12
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Cities are New Mission Frontiers
  • Pastors, missionaries, church planters moving
    into cities
  • New biblical understanding about cities

13
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 2 Disparity in the cities increasing
  • Hex and the city According to the UN report on
    State of the Worlds Cities, 2008-2009 Indian
    cities will witness rising levels of inequality
  • Rich earn four times more than the poorest.
  • One of every three people in cities live in
    slums.
  • Poor - 200000 ragpickers clean up 20 per cent of
    the 10000 tonnes of garbage in Delhi
  • 1 lakh pavement dwellers in Mumbai
  • Two third of the population lives in slums.

14
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Slums increasing
  • Unemployed poor increasing
  • White Tiger? How many read this book?
  • Holistic Missions Self Help Groups, Community
    Colleges, Micro-finances

15
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 3 Migration an important aspect
  • Human Highways The 2001 Census
  • 9 million migrated from Uttar Pradesh, 5.5
    million migrated from Bihar.
  • In the State of Maharastra, UP and Bihar migrants
    are 5 million of the total population of 96.9
    million.
  • In Mumbai (14 million), 4 million are migrants
    from UP and Bihar
  • Child labour migrants Of all migrants in Mumbai
    city, 22 per cent are child labourers. (The Week
    14 January 2007, p.6)
  • Delhi (13 million), where UP-Bihar migrants are
    3.8 million.
  • Punjab (24 million) -4 million UP-Bihar migrants
    there.
  • Assam- (26 million) - 300000 from UP-Bihar have
    migrated there.
  • 100000 UP-Bihar migrants in Karnataka (52
    million)
  • In Bangalore only 34of the citys 6 million is
    Kannadigas.

16
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Reaching Migrants families
  • Reaching students in the hostels
  • Reaching other language groups in the city
  • Models Nepalis, Sindhis etc.

17
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 4 Direction of migration keeps changing
  • Migration to city from south falling
  • The declining number of south Indian migrants
    into Mumbai city is visible in all places like
    Antop Hill, Matunga, Chembur, Mulund and Dombivli
    .
  • Southern migrants have been replaced by migrants
    from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar who are making their
    way to Mumbai in ever-increasing numbers,
    propelled by the support system provided by
    friends and relatives already in the city.

18
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Understand the winds of change in migration
    pattern
  • Move where people move
  • Example Orissa persecution 5000 people moved
    into Ernakulam. Plant Oriya church in Ernakulam

19
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 5 Children are vulnerable in cities
  • Street kids -25000 child bonded labour in Mumbai
  • Elite kids - 10-18 years is vulnerable to mental
    health disorder AIIMS study
  • Urban children not getting enough sleep
  • Training emotional gun on parents suicide for
    not purchasing new dress, etc

20
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • New Strategies for reaching children
  • Camps, Games
  • Internet based outreach material
  • Magazines, books, cartoons

21
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 6 Teenagers and Young are rudderless
  • Young - 340 million (13-35 age)
  • 17 per cent of the 1.4 million teenage abortions
    that take place every year in the developing
    countries happen in India. More specifically, of
    the approximately 2.45 lakh teenage abortions
    reported in India every year, 36700 happen in
    Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata and Bangalore.

22
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • New youth strategies. How do you understand
    modern and post modern youth?
  • Chetan Bhagat books?????
  • Reaching Post modern youth
  • Reaching Unemployed youth

23
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 7 Women are oppressed in the city
  • Women crime against women
  • 540 rapes in 2004, 640 in 2005 in Delhi
  • Dowry deaths urban phenomenon -50
  • University students in Delhi favour dowry
  • - Domestic violence

24
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Women ministries?
  • New Initiatives?
  • New tools?
  • Marrying Anita Anita Jain????????

25
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 8 Family in crisis in the city
  • Divorces 2 divorces for every 5 marriages in
    Chennai
  • Live-in-relationships
  • Extra Marital affairs - 12 of married couples
    below 30 years indulge in extramarital affair
  • a high 35 per cent being open to an office
    romance
  • A third surveyed saw no harm in romancing a
    married colleague, while 44 - an affair as
    strategic move to climb the corporate ladder.
  • Gays/Lesbianism/AIDS/HIV - 5.1 million people
    affected
  • Working parents have just 30 minutes for kids in
    India

26
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • In India, men unable to keep pace with womens
    changing role Four out of five Indian men said
    they have been part of a group that has made lewd
    comments to women. Thats according to a recent
    Hindustan Times survey of 500 men in the age of
    20 to 45 from six Indias largest cities. Nearly
    half the men surveyed felt women at a pub are
    asking for trouble. Around 60 of them
    preferred stay-at-home wives.
  • For every five men, there is one woman who works
    in an income-generating activity.

27
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Family counselling
  • Premarital counselling
  • Chennai Transformation Network Family Track
    Model

28
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 9 Economic growth and more jobs
  • Unemployment in major cities declines survey
    Here are some highlights of the 61st National
    Sample Survey. The unemployment rate has declined
    from 4.4 to 3.4 in Class I cities of India.
    Class I cities have population over one million,
    Class II population between 50000 and 1
    million, Class III with less than 50000. The
    unemployment rate in rural India stands at 2.1
    for males and 3.1 for females.

29
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Market economy and money economy has two
    different paradigms
  • Inflation
  • Global Boom and Global Gloom

30
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 10 Ideology politics to Identity politics
  • Closure of industries no trade unions
  • Slum lords
  • Sons of soil
  • Right wing

31
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Mumbai
  • Assam
  • Bangalore
  • Unrest, violence

32
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 11 New Urban Spirituality
  • New kind of spirituality
  • Increase in spiritual quest
  • 95 believe in God. 89 believe in the power
    of prayer
  • Top five spiritual idols are Vinayaka,
    Shiva, Krishna, Sai Baba and Jesus.

33
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Youngsters are more open to spiritual things
    but how do they define spirituality
  • New strategies, tools needed

34
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 12 Postmodernism gaining ground
  • Post modernism compatible with Hindutva
  • Modernism is being replaced by Postmodernism

35
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Using Modernism tools to Postmodernism society
    will be a failure
  • What are Postmodern tools for evangelism?

36
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 13 Crisis of urban identity
  • Identity self preservation caste, culture
    and language
  • Identity in free market economy- consumerism
    capacity to consume
  • Not the capacity to contribute but the capacity
    to consume

37
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Should capacity to consume determine a persons
    worth and identity?
  • What are the alternatives?
  • How should that be communicated?

38
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 14 Lifestyle diseases
  • 'Indian workforce unhealthy'
  • 47 of the workforce overweight
  • 27 were suffering from hypertension
  • 10 were also found to be diabetic. (35 million
    diabetic in India)
  • 50 per cent of Delhi adults are obese
  • Stress and Suicides Bangalore is suicide
    capital
  • Suicides kill more people than war every year

39
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Eye campsetc. Good to reach urban poor
  • Fitness Camps, Diet Camps, Heart diseases
    check up camps
  • Free Gyms in churches for low middle class young
    people?

40
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 15 Health hazard
  • Cities are vulnerable Dengue, Chikangunya
  • Pollution -12 Hyderabad city drinks water
    -excess uranium
  • Air pollution, Noise pollution and water pollution

41
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Can church be a model?
  • Environment friendly strategies?
  • Water Harvesting in Chennai?

42
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 16 Technology invades the city
  • Media FM radio, Internet..
  • 38 million Internet users 3.1 million Broad
    band (Internet is information tool for old,
    relationship tool for youngsters)
  • Mobile phones 250 plus million phones
  • Cyber cafes India is 250000.
  • Indians world's third biggest online shoppers
    next only to the Turkish and Irish e-shoppers.

43
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Harness technology for missions
  • Blogs, scraps, walls.what not?

44
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 17 Violence in the city
  • School children using guns to settle disputes
  • Kidnap and killing of teenagers by friends
  • Road rage
  • Sudden Provocation

45
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • How can the church respond?

46
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 18 Victim of terrorism
  • Cities are targets for terrorist attacks
  • Special insurance against terrorist attack has
    gained market
  • Islam and Hinduism religions used for terrorism
    Malegaon blasts
  • Naxalites - terror

47
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Voice for peace and reconciliation

48
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 19 Right wing ideology inroads in city
  • Saffron Techies In Bengalure alone, there are
    46 IT milans located in different residential
    areas.
  • A special door-to-door fundraising drive held in
    Bengaluru over a month in 2007 reportedly raised
    Rs. 20 lakh for the Vanavasi Kalyan Kendra, a
    Sangh organization that deal with tribal welfare
    activities.
  • IT milans in Bengalure are working towards a
    Sanskrit camp that will be held in the month of
    November 2008 where 2000 are expected.

49
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Encourage Christian professionals to be engaged
    in their own contexts
  • Educate, train and provide tools for them to work
    in their work places

50
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Trend 20 Entertainment, leisure, eating out
  • Malls, theme parks, restaurants, increased
  • 4 theme parks, 50 lakh visitors Four theme parks
    in Chennai are dishing out thrills and spills for
    action hungry citizens of Chennai who seem to
    want only more.

51
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Response
  • Gospel Entertainment ?
  • Discipleship Entertainment ?

52
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban
Trends
  • Global Urban Vision Monthly newsletters
  • Send e-mail to jnmanokaran_at_yahoo.com
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