PEAK OIL AND ITS ALTERNATIVES

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PEAK OIL AND ITSALTERNATIVES

• Rob States, M.S.3, P.E.
• San Francisco Tesla Society
• November 13, 2005

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• Rob States
• EDUCATION
• Professional Engineer 21,967 (Calif.)
• M.S. Univ. of Colorado, Aero. Engr. 1975
• M.S., MIT, Mechanical Engr. 1981
• Thesis 3/2 Order Propeller Whirl
• M.S., MIT, Information Systems, 1981
• Thesis Themo Electron MIS Systems

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• Rob States
• CAREER
• 1975 - Cessna Aircraft Cessna Citation II
• 1981 - Ingersoll-Rand Feed Milling Equipment
• 1990 - Coen Company Incinerators
• 1993 - Bepex Corporation
• Consulting Clients
• Hoechst, DuPont, ICI Americas, Zinpro, Babcock
  Australia, MicroSource, Degussa, PGE, Georgia
  Pacific, Proctor Gamble, Monsanto, Central
  Michigan University, Zircoa, OMG Mooney, etc.

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• Rob States
• CORE EXPERTISE
• MECHANICS Stress, Dynamics, Test
• The diagnosis of mechanical systems.
• MODELING FEA, CFD, Processes
• Computer modeling.
• MACHINE DESIGN and CONTROL
• Custom machine design and control system
  programming.

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M. KING HUBBARD CURVE 1956PEAK US 1969, PEAK
WORLD 2000
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WORLD OIL SOURCES
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ANNUAL DISCOVERIES
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US TOTAL ENERGY FLOWQUADRILLION BTU/YEAR1E15
BTU/YEAR
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US ENERGY SOURCESQuadrillion BTU/Year
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NO HELP FROM WASHINGTON
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LESS THAN NO HELP FROM WASHINGTON
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BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LAWS OF PHYSICS
Divide physics into five domains, each a million
- million times larger than the previous. Start
with things the size of people.
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BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LAWS OF PHYSICS
Our world is governed by the laws of motion
(Newton) and of electricity (Maxwell). There are
no laws for gravity and time - we explain 60 of
reality.
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BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LAWS OF PHYSICS
At the scale of the solar system, Newtons laws
are inaccurate, and we need the laws of Einstein.
Maxwell is still valid. We know 50 of reality.
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BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LAWS OF PHYSICS
At the scale of our galaxy, there is dark matter
(5X the visible universes matter) and dark
energy (5X that). 5 - conventional matter 25 -
dark matter 70 - dark energy 95 of the universe
is a mystery.
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BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LAWS OF PHYSICS
The world of molecules is dominated by the laws
of Schrödinger. Laws are not intuitive. Laws
are very accurate.
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BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LAWS OF PHYSICS
The world of nuclear particles is poorly
explained Yang Mills condensate General Model
of particles No explanation of nuclear decay. We
understand 10 of reality.
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BRIEF REVIEW OF THE LAWS OF PHYSICS
These resonances of the Uranium nucleus are not
explained by physics.
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LAWS OF PHYSICS SUMMARY
1 - particles (90 unexplained) 2 - molecules -
Schrödinger (40 unex.) 3 - Newton and Maxwell
(40 unex.) 4 - Einstein and Maxwell (40
unexpl.) 5 - Dark energy matter (95 unexpl.)
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0 THE STRING THEORY

• Speculative.
• Physicists say its elegant.
• Makes millions of wrong predictions.
• Predicts 10 dimensional space.

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TIME ANOMOLY
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ENERGY PROBLEMS

• RUNNING OUT OF OIL
• NO READY ALTERNATIVE
• GLOBAL WARMING
• IS IT REAL? IMPORTANT?

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GLOBAL WARMING Thermohaline circulation
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POST COLLAPSE TEMPERATURES (DEG C)(Michael
Vellinga model - collapse 30 years)
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LAST ICE AGE MAX
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WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?

• OIL DRIVES US INTO THE STONE AGE?
• WE FIND NEW OIL?
• HOW DO WE COPE?

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DEMAND ELASTICITY FOR ENERGY

• STARVING MAN INFINITE
• YOUR DEMAND ?

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GASOLINE OPTIONS
11 MPG VS 50
MPG 1 PASSENGERS
4 11 MPG
200 MPG ELASTICITY 18.2
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US ENERGY SOURCESQuadrillion BTU/Year
58.5/18.2 3.2 B-BTU/Yr
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HOME ENERGY USE

• YOUR BATHROOM VENT FAN

MOTOR 20 FAN 20 GRID 33 TOTAL 1.3
EFFIC.
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SHADED POLE MOTOR

• SHADED POLE MOTOR

84 WATTS, 1 HR/DAY, 80 MILLION UNITS .000 074
QUAD-BTU/YR _at_8.3/KwHr 2.54/Year 19.7 Years
of energy
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ELEC 39.5 Quad/YR
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EFFICIENT BATHROOM FAN

• 8 Watts
• 24/Year to operate
• 125 cost
• Payback 312 Years

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REFRIGERATORS

• Amana TR-18K, 480 Kw/Year,
• 600 cost
• Electricity 40 / year
• Sun Frost RF-19, 281 Kw/Year
• 3000 cost
• Electricity 23.3 / year
• Payback 144 Years

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SOLAR HOME CONVERT

• TYPICAL HOME 55 KW-HR/DAY
• SOLAR HOME 24 KW-HR/DAY
• TYPICAL ELASTICITY 2.3
• SAVINGS 9.5 QUADS

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INDUSTRIAL ENERGY USE

• 34 OF US ENERGY USE
• 24 OF US PETROLEUM USE

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OCEAN CARGO

• WHY DO CONTAINER SHIPS USE FUEL OIL?
• SAILING SHIPS USE MORE LABOR.
• IN MID LATITUDES, SAILING SHIPS CAN COMPETE WITH
  FUEL POWERED SHIPS.

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PAPER MANUFACTURING

• 20 STEAM CYLINDERS DRY PAPER
• 6 FEET TALL, 20 FEET WIDE

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DRYING ENERGY USE

• STEAM CYLINDER ENERGY CONSUMPTION
• 1900 BTU/

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AIR DRYING

• IMPINGING AIR DRYING
• ENERGY CONSUMPTION
• 4000 BTU/

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PULSE AIR DRYING

• ENERGY CONSUMPTION
• 1250 BTU/
• INDUSTRY SAVINGS
• 0.2 QUADS/YEAR

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100 ROBS AND WERE SAVED!

• 100 PROJECTS, .2 QUADS EACH, SAVES
• 20 QUADS
• PETROL IMPORTS DROP BY 72

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ETHANOL

• BRAZIL - 40 ETHANOL
• SUGGAR CANE BASED
• US - 3 ETHANOL
• WET CORN MILLING BASED
• USES MORE OIL THAN IT SAVES

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CELLULOSE ETHANOL

• CELLULOSE IS SUGGAR THAT IS LOCKED UP IN PLANTS
• WE NEED A CELLULOSE FRIENDLY ORGANISM
• 100M PER ORGANISM

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HOT FUSION CONCEPT

• 5B PROJECT, BUT WITH POLITICAL CONNECTIONS
• DOE BUDGET 23B/YEAR

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LLL 3 ORGANISMS / YEAR

• 327M / YEAR
• CELLULOSE CONVERSION
• HEMICELLULOSE
• LIGNIN
• ALPHA CELLULOSE
• HEXOSE, PENTOSE

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US AVAILABLE CELLULOSE

• 2003 190 M-TONS BIOMASS
• 2.9 QUADS
• POTENTIAL 1400 M-TONS BIOMASS
• 21.4 QUADS

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HYDROGEN STORAGE

• PALADIUM SPONGE - EXPENSIVE
• WORKS LIKE A DREAM
• LITHIUM DUTERIDE - EXPENSIVE
• AMMONIA
• LIQUID FUEL
• CORROSIVE
• HARD TO FORM AT ROOM TEM.

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WIND TURBINES

• INTERMITTANT WHEN GRID CONNECTED
• TOP 20- STATES
• 107 QUADS POTENTIAL
• LIQUID FUEL PRODUCTION - BETTER STORAGE, NO NEED
  FOR GRID CONNECTION

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AMMONIA STORAGE

• HABER PROCESS
• 500C, 3700 PSI
• Nitrogenase enzyme
• room temperature/pressure

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SOLAR

• CURRENTLY 10 YEAR PAYACK
• 15 PRICE IMPROVEMENT / YEAR
• GERMAN SYSTEM
• NANO SOLAR 3 EFFICIENT
• SILICONE SOLAR 14 EFFICIENT
• GALLIUM ARSNIDE SOLAR 34
• MOST SYSTEMS USE GRID STORAGE
• EVENTUALLY UNSTABLE

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NEW ENERGY SOURCES THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETELY
DEVELOPED OR PROVEN
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CLATHRATES

• 200,000 TRILLION CUBIC FEET
• 182,000 QUADS
• MINED FROM OCEAN BOTTOMS
• READY TO CLOBBER US AT THE NEXT ICE AGE
• 10,000 GIGATONS OF CARBON
• 431,000 QUADS

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CLATHRATE MAP
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CLATHRATE MAP 2
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TESLA TOWER

• PULSE TOWER AT SCHUMAN FREQUENCY
• IONIZE THE ATMOSPHERE TO GROUND THE IONOSPHERE

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IONOSPHERE

• TOWER IS SMALL COMPARED TO CONDUCTION PATH
• KANATA CANADA (30 MILES WEST OF OTTAWA) TOWER
  OPERATION JUST BEFORE 8/13/03 OUTAGE
• ATLANTIS TO TESLA, JAMES MCCANNEY

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CANADIAN TAR SANDS

• HARD TO EXTRACT
• JUST DRILLING WONT WORK
• NOW USE HEAT
• CONSUMES TOO MUCH ENERGY
• FUTURE SOLVENTS
• CANADIAN RESERVES ARE GREATER THAN SAUDI RESERVES

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ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES THAT PROBABLY WORK, BUT ARE
NOT BEING INVESTIGATED BY THE MAIN STREAM
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DAVID HAMIL CONTACT
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HAMIL MOTOR
BUILD IN 45 GALLON STEEL DRUM BLEW UP DAVIDS
GARAGE
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NON-MAXWELLIAN

• CONES NUTATE
• TV SIGNAL STATIC
• NO POWER EXTRACTION CIRCUIT

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TYPICAL CONSTRUCTION

• TOP HEAVY CONES, INHERINTLY UNSTABLE

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BOB LAZAR

• AREA 51 - 1989
• NO MIT/CAL-TECH RECORDS
• OK LOS ALAMOS

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PARTICLE PHYSICS
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ELEMENT 115

• PREDICTED BY LAZAR IN 1991, DISCOVERED IN GERMANY
  IN 1996

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ANTI-MATER REACTOR

• SAME MOTOR IN A-51 AND ROSWELL
• OCCUPANTS SIT NEXT TO 2GW REACTOR - NO GAMMA RAYS

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ASSEMBLE HALF SCALE MODEL

• PARTICLE TUBE DOESNT AIM AT 115 TARGET

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ASSEMBLE REACTOR

• INSERT 115 TARGET

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ASSEMBLE REACTOR

• CAP TOPS 115 TARGET

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ASSEMBLE REACTOR

• ADD THE DOME, AND THE REAL REACTOR STARTS TO
  OPERATE

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REACTOR FEATURES

• NO HEAT GENERATED
• GASEOUS TARGET GENERATES CURRENT
• TUNED CAVITY KEEPS ANTI-PROTON FROM HITTING WALLS
• GRAVITY WAVES FLOW LIKE MICROWAVES

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ORGONE ACCUMULATOR

• SIMPLE CONSTRUCTION
• .3 DEG C TEMP. DIFFERENTIAL
• MINE DIDNT WORK
• LOW ENERGY DENSITY

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COLD FUSION, OR LOW ENERGY NUCLEAR REACTIONS

• PONDS AND FLEISCHMAN ANNOUNCE 3-23-98
• UNIVERITY OF UTAH POLITICS
• DOE REPLICATIONS AT MIT, STANFORD, PRINCETON
• STANFORD CELL EXPLODES 1-2-92, KILLING Andy Riley
• EUGENE MALLOV NOW DEAD

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COLD FUSION CELL

• ELECTRODE WAS PALADIUM
• SAME AS HYDROGEN FUEL STORAGE
• WORKS HALF THE TIME
• NEEDS IMPURITIES

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COLD FUSION SUMMARY

• 3000 PUBLISHED PAPERS
• ABOUT 300 HIGH QUALITY PAPERS
• PALLO AND ALEXANDRIA COREA DESIGN ALWAYS WORKS
  (BLACK LIGHT POWER, CANADA)
• PROFESSOR EMERITUS JOHN DASH DESIGN ALWAYS WORKS
• 1 GALLON OF WATER EQUALS 300 GALLONS OF GASOLINE
  (DEUTERIUM REACTION)

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DAVID ADAIR

• FATHER BUILT NASCAR ENGINES
• DAVID USES MACHINE SHOP FOR ROCKETS

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ADAIR GETS NOTICED
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ADAIRS FUSION MOTOR
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LAWRENCE LIVERMORE FUSION MOTOR
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ADAIR VISITS A-51

• ADAIR VISITS MIDDLE HANGAR IN ROW OF THREE

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ADAIR SEES BIG ENGINE
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FRONT VIEW
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SIDE VIEW
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CORE BREACH
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MOTOR EXTERIOR IS SENTIENT
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ADAIR MOTOR SUMMARY

• CAN A 16 YEAR OLD BOY REALLY BEAT LAWRENCE
  LIVERMORE LABS?
• ADAIR CALLS TRITIUM TRIANIUM
• ADAIRS PHYSICS CHECK OUT
• DOES AREA 51 HAVE A BASEMENT?

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CROP CIRCLES

• MYSTERIOUS ORIGIN CIRCLES DRAIN BATTERIES FLASH
  LIGHTS, CAMCORDERS
• HUMAN MADE CIRCLES SOMETIMES INHERIT THESE
  SYMPTOMS
• CIRCLES HAVE THEIR OWN MAGNETIC FIELD
• NO ACTIVE STUDIES FROM DOE OR MAINSTREAM SCIENCE

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ZERO POINT

• PLENTY OF HYPE
• DETECTED USING THE CASIMIR EFFECT

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OTHER SUPRESSED TECHNOLOGIES

• THE PAPP ENGINE
• NON SECOND LAW THEMONIC GENERATORS