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Credit Scoring and Scorecard Lending

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Title: Credit Scoring and Scorecard Lending


1
Credit Scoring and Scorecard Lending
Slide Show 12
  • AGEC 489/690
  • Spring 2009

2
Credit Scoring Fundamentals
A credit score is a numerical expression based on
a statistical analysis of a borrowers credit
history to represent his/her creditworthiness,
which is the likelihood that the borrower will
pay his/her debts in a timely manner. A credit
score is primarily based on credit report
information obtained from credit bureaus and
credit reference agencies.
3
Credit Scoring Fundamentals
Lenders use credit scores to evaluate the
potential risk posed by lending money and to
mitigate losses due to bad debt. Lenders also
use credit scores to determine who qualifies for
a loan, at what interest, and what credit
limits. Credit scoring is not limited to
lending. Other organizations, such as mobile
phone companies, insurance companies, and
potential employers are examples of other users
of credit scoring.
4
Fundamentals Credit Scoring
A credit score is primarily based on credit
report information typically from the three
credit bureaus Experian, TransUnion and
Equifax. There are differing approaches to
calculating credit scores. The FICO is a credit
score developed by Fair Issac Company. It is
used by many mortgage lenders that use a
risk-based system to determine the possibility
that the borrower may default on financial
obligations to the lender.
5
Fundamentals of a Credit Report
  • Personal identifying information your name,
    address, social security number, birth date,
    current and previous employers.
  • Credit history this includes your bill-paying
    history with banks, retail stores and others who
    have granted you credit. Information includes
    each account you have (when opened, type of
    account, how much credit it includes and amount
    used, your monthly payment. It will indicate when
    loan was paid off and if there were missed or
    late payments.
  • 3. Public records information that might
    indicate your creditworthiness, such as tax
    liens, court judgments and bankruptcies.

6
The FICO credit score is used by all three credit
bureaus. It is used by over 90 of commercial
banks when analyzing mortgage loan applications.
7
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8
Credit Score Lending Practice
350
500 580 620 660 700 760
850
Loan automatically rejected below 500
Loan automatically accepted above 500
More information required. Risk Premium applied
to interest rate.
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10
930 difference in monthly loan payment!!!!
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Scorecard Lending
18
Credit Standards
  • Most lenders use credit scores as a part of its
    standards when evaluating loan applications.
  • They will also establish standards related to
    liquidity, solvency and debt repayment capacity
    (minimum current ratio of 1.50, maximum debt
    ratio of 0.50, minimum term debt and capital
    lease coverage ratio of 1.0).
  • Lenders also focus on the Six Cs of assessing
    a borrowers creditworthiness.

19
Six Cs to Assessing Creditworthiness
20
Hypothetical Scorecard
Weight Met Standard
  • Credit score from credit bureau 15 ________
  • Current ratio 15 ________
  • Debt ratio 20 ________
  • Debt coverage ratio 30 ________
  • Other factors 10 ________
  • a. Continuing customer
  • b. Primary commodity
  • c. External control factors
  • TOTAL SCORE ________

The lender then decides the minimum score for
automatic approval, automatic rejection, and
range over which additional conditions must be
met (risk premium, additional collateral,
compensating balances, etc.
21
Hypothetical Scorecard
Weight Met Standard
  • Credit score from credit bureau 15 __12____
  • Current ratio 15 __13____
  • Debt ratio 20 __17____
  • Debt coverage ratio 30 __25____
  • Other factors 10 ___9____
  • a. Continuing customer
  • b. Primary commodity
  • c. External control factors
  • TOTAL SCORE __76____

The lender then decides the minimum score for
automatic approval, automatic rejection, and
range over which additional conditions must be
met (risk premium, additional collateral,
compensating balances, etc.
22
Credit Score Lending Sheet
0
51 55 60 65 70 75 76
100
50
Loan automatically rejected below 500
Loan automatically accepted above 76
More information required. Risk premium applied
to interest rate.
23
Hypothetical Loan Rates
Base cost of funds 4.0
Score gt 75 6.0
Score 71 75 7.0
Score 66 70 7.5
Score 61 65 8.0
Score 56 60 8.5
Score 51 55 9.0
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