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The Global Burden of Disease

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Title: The Global Burden of Disease


1
The Global Burden of Disease
  • The scale of the problem

2
Leading Causes of Death and Disability (DALYs)
1990
2020
Rank Cause Rank Cause
1 Lower respiratory infections 8.2 1 Ischemic
heart disease 5.9 2 Diarrhoeal diseases 7.2 2 Majo
r depression 5.7 3 Perinatal conditions 6.7 3 Road
traffic accidents 5.1 4 Major depression 3.7 4 Ce
rebrovascular disease 4.4 5 Ischemic heart
disease 3.4 5 COPD 4.2 6 Cerebrovascular
disease 2.8 6 Lower respiratory
infections 3.1 7 Tuberculosis 2.8 7 Tuberculosis 3
.0 8 Measles 2.7 8 War 3.0 9 Road traffic
accidents 2.5 9 Diarrhoeal diseases 2.7 10 Congeni
tal abnormalities 2.4 10 HIV 2.6
Global Burden of Disease Study, 1996
3
Mortality due to leading global risk factors
World Health Report 2002
4
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5
Prevalence of Hypertension by different cut
points
? 90 25.3
? 95 14.5
? 100 8.4
? 105 4.7
of screened population
? 110 2.9
? 115 1.4
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Diastolic BP, mmHg
6
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7
British Hypertension Society Guidelines for
hypertension management 2004 (BHS-IV) summary
  • Bryan Williams, Neil R Poulter, Morris J Brown,
    Mark Davies, Gordon T McInnes, John F Potter,
    Peter S Sever, Simon McG Thom the BHS guidelines
    working party, for the British Hypertension
    Society
  • BMJ Volume 328 13 March 2004 634-640.

8
BHS Guidelines
  • Definitions
  • Measurement
  • Risk assessment
  • Evaluation of hypertensive patients
  • Thresholds for intervention
  • Treatment goals
  • Lifestyle measures
  • Choice of therapy
  • Meta-analysis of trials
  • ABCD rule
  • Aspirin and statins
  • Follow up and implementation

9
Classification of blood pressure levels of the
British Hypertension Society
Category Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg)
Blood Pressure
Optimal lt120 lt80
Normal lt130 lt85
High normal 130-139 85-89
Hypertension
Grade 1 (mild) 140-159 90-99
Grade 2 (moderate) 160-179 100-109
Grade 3 (severe) gt180 gt110
Isolated systolic hypertension
Grade 1 140-159 lt90
Grade 2 gt160 lt90
10
Blood pressure measurement by standard mercury
sphygmomanometer or semiautomated device
  • Use of properly maintain, calibrated, and
    validated device
  • Measure sitting blood pressure routinely
    standing blood pressure should be recorded at
    least at the initial estimation in elderly or
    diabetic patients
  • Remove tight clothing, support arm at heart
    level, ensure arm relaxed and avoid talking
    during the measurement procedure
  • Use of cuff of appropriate size

Continued
11
Blood pressure measurement by standard mercury
sphygmomanometer or semiautomated device
  • Lower mercury column slowly (2mm per second)
  • Read blood pressure to the nearest 2 mm Hg
  • Measure diastolic blood pressure as disappearance
    of sounds (phase V)
  • Take the mean of at least two readings, more
    recordings are needed if marked differences
    between initial measurements are found
  • Do not treat on the basis of an isolated reading

12
Potential indications for the use of ambulatory
blood pressure monitoring
  • Unusual variability of blood pressure
  • Possible white coat hypertension
  • Informing equivocal treatment decisions
  • Evaluation of nocturnal hypertension
  • Evaluation of drug resistant hypertension
  • Determining the efficacy of drug treatment over
    24 hours
  • Diagnosis and treatment of hypertension in
    pregnancy
  • Evaluation of symptomatic hypotension

13
Routine investigations
  • Urine strip test for protein and blood
  • Serum creatinine and electrolytes
  • Blood glucose ideally fasted
  • Blood lipid profile ideally fasted for
    consideration of triglycerides
  • Electrocardiogram

14
Evaluation of hypertensive patients
  • Causes of hypertension
  • Drugs (non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs,
    oral contraceptions, steroids, liquorice,
    sympathomimetics, some cold cures)
  • Renal disease (present, past or family history,
    proteinuria or haematuria palpable kidney(s)
    polycystic, hydronephrosis, or neoplasm)
  • Renovascular disease (abdominal or loin bruit)
  • Phaeochromocytoma (paroxysmal symptoms)
  • Conns syndrome (tetany, muscle weakness,
    polyuria, hypokalaemia)
  • Coarctation (radio-femoral delay or weak femoral
    pulses)
  • Cushings (general appearance)

15
Contributory factors
  • Overweight
  • Excess alcohol (gt 3 units/day for men gt 2
    units/days for women)
  • Excess salt intake
  • Lack of exercise
  • Environmental stress

16
Complications of hypertension or target organ
damage
  • Stroke, transient ischaemic attack, dementia,
    carotid bruits
  • Left ventricular hypertrophy or left ventricular
    strain on electrocardiogram
  • Heart failure
  • Myocardial infarct, angina, coronary artery
    bypass graft, or angioplasty
  • Peripheral vascular disease
  • Fundal haemorrhages or exudates, papillodoema
  • Proteinuria
  • Renal impairment

17
Suggested indications for specialist referral
  • Urgent treatment needed
  • Accelerated hypertension (severe hypertension and
    grade III-IV retinopathy)
  • Particularly severe hypertension (gt220/120mmHg)
  • Impending complications (for example, transient
    ischaemic attack, left ventricular failure)

18
Possible underlying cause
  • Any clue in history or examination of a secondary
    cause, such as hypokalaemia with increased or
    high normal plasma sodium (Conns syndrome)
  • Elevated serum creatinine
  • Proteinuria or haematuria
  • Sudden onset or worsening of hypertension
  • Resistant to multi-drug regimen (gt 3 drugs)
  • Young age (any hypertension lt20 years needing
    treatment lt30 years)

19
Therapeutic problems
  • Multiple drug intolerance
  • Multiple drug contraindications
  • Persistent non-adherence or non-compliance

20
Special situations
  • Unusual blood pressure variability
  • Possible white coat hypertension
  • Hypertension in pregnancy

21
Cardiovascular risk assessment
22
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23
Lifestyle measures
  • Maintain normal weight for adults (body mass
    index 20-25kg/m2)
  • Reduce salt intake to lt 100mmol/day (lt6g NaCI or
    lt 2.4 g Na/day)
  • Limit alcohol consumption to lt 3 units/day for
    men and lt 2 units/day for women)
  • Regular physical exercise (brisk walking rather
    than weightlifting) for gt 30 minutes per day,
    ideally on most days of the week but at least on
    three days of the week.
  • Consume at least five portions/day of fresh fruit
    and vegetables
  • Reduce the intake of total and saturated fat

24
Thresholds and treatment for antihypertensive
drug treatment
  • Drug treatment should be started in all patients
    with sustained systolic blood pressures gt 160mmHg
    or sustained diastolic blood pressures gt 100mmHg
    despite non-pharmacological measures (A)
  • Drug treatment is also indicated in patients with
    sustained systolic blood pressures 140-159mmHg or
    diastolic blood pressures 90-99mmHg if target
    organ damage is present, or there is evidence of
    established cardiovascular disease or diabetes,
    or if there is a 10 year cardiovascular disease
    risk of gt 20 (B)

continued
25
Thresholds and treatment for antihypertensive
drug treatment
  • For most patients a target of lt 140mmHg systolic
    blood pressure and lt85mmHg diastolic blood
    pressure recommended (B). For patients with
    diabetes, renal impairment or established
    cardiovascular disease a lower target of lt
    130/80mmHg is recommended

26
Initial Blood Pressure
130-139 80-89
160-179 100-109
140-159 90-99
? 180/110
lt130/85
?160/100
140-159 90-99
lt140/90
Treat
Re-measure in 5 years
Reassess Yearly
Treat
SEE NEXT SLIDE
27
140-159 90-99
Target organ damage or CVS
complications or Diabetes
or CV event risk ? 2/year gt20 over
10 yrs
No target organ damage and No CVS
complications and No diabetes and CV event risk
lt 2/year lt20 over 10 yrs
Observe Reassess CV risk yearly
Treat
28
Drug treatment of hypertension
Diuretic
ACE-inhibitor
Angiotensin receptor blocker
Calcium-channel blocker
Beta-blocker
(Alpha-blocker)
  • Most hypertensives will need ? 2 drugs to control
    BP
  • Drug combinations may be synergistic

29
STROKEComparisons of different active treatments
BP difference (mm Hg)

Favours second listed
Favours first listed

RR (95 CI)
2/0
1.09 (1.00,1.18)
ACE vs. D/BB
1/0
0.93 (0.86,1.01)
CA vs. D/BB
1/1
1.12 (1.01,1.25)
ACE vs. CA
0.5
1.0
2.0
Relative Risk
30
CORONARY HEART DISEASEComparisons of different
active treatments
BP difference (mm Hg)
Favours first listed
Favours second listed


RR (95 CI)
2/0
ACE vs. D/BB
0.98 (0.91,1.05)
1/0
CA vs. D/BB
1.01 (0.94,1.08)
1/1
ACE vs. CA
0.96 (0.88,1.05)
0.5
1.0
2.0
Relative Risk
31
HEART FAILUREComparisons of different active
treatments
BP difference (mm Hg)
Favours first listed
Favours second listed


RR (95 CI)
2/0
ACE vs. D/BB
1.07 (0.96,1.19)
1/0
CA vs. D/BB
1.33 (1.21,1.47)
1/1
ACE vs. CA
0.82 (0.73,0.92)
0.5
1.0
2.0
Relative Risk
32
MAJOR CARDIOVASCULAR EVENTS Comparisons of
different active treatments
BP difference (mm Hg)
Favours first listed
Favours second listed


RR (95 CI)
2/0
ACE vs. D/BB
1.02 (0.98,1.07)
1/0
CA vs. D/BB
1.04 (0.99,1.08)
ACE vs. CA
1/1
0.97 (0.92,1.03)
0.5
1.0
2.0
Relative Risk
33
ALLHAT Design
Amlodipine Chlorthalidone Doxazosin Lisinopril
High risk Hypertensive Patients 42,515
Randomize
10,362 eligible for Lipid lowering
Not eligible for Lipid lowering
Randomize
Study completion January 2003
Pravastatin
Usual Care
34
ALLHAT Primary Endpoint CHD Death and Nonfatal
MI
Relative Risk (95 CI)
Amlodipine 0.98 (0.90-1.07)
Lisinopril 0.99 (0.91-1.08)
0.7
1.3
FavorsChlorthalidone
Favors AmlodipineFavors Lisinopril
ALLHAT Collaborative Research Group. JAMA.
20022882981-2997.
35
ASCOT PROBE Design
Amlodipine ? Perindopril ? Doxazosin GITs
19342
High-risk Hypertensive
Randomized
Atenolol ? Bendrofluazide ? Doxazosin GITs
Eligible for Lipid Lowering
Not Eligible for Lipid Lowering
10305
Randomize DB
Atorvastatin 10 mg
Placebo
Expected Mean Follow-up 5 Yrs Fatal CHD
Non-Fatal MI
36
ASCOT study Effect of atorvastatin on CHD
37
ASCOT study Effect of atorvastatin on stroke
38
The British Hypertension Society recommendations
for combining Blood Pressure Lowering drugs
Younger (e.g.lt55yr)and Non-Black
Older (e.g.?55yr) or Black
Step 1
A (or B)
C or D
Step 2
A (or B)
C or D

Step 3
A (or B)


C
D
Step 4Resistant Hypertension
Add either ?-blocker or spironolactone or other
diuretic
A ACE Inhibitor or angiotensin receptor
blocker B b - blockerC Calcium Channel
Blocker D Diuretic (thiazide)
Combination therapy involving B and D may
induce more new onset diabetes compared with
other combination therapies
Adapted from Better blood pressure control how
to combine drugs Journal of Human Hypertension
(2003) 17, 81?86
39
Compelling and possible indications,
contraindications, and cautions for the major
classes of antihypertensive drugs
40
of hypertensives with controlled BP
lt160/95 mm Hg
lt140/90 mm Hg
Australia4
Spain4
Finland4
19
20
20.5
Zaire4
India4
2.5
9
Adapted from Mancia, 1997
41
Other medication for hypertensive patients
  • Primary prevention
  • Aspirin use 75mg daily if patient is aged gt50
    years with blood pressure controlled to
    lt150/90mmHg and target organ damage, diabetes
    mellitus, or 10 year risk of cardiovascular
    disease of gt20 (measured by using the new Joint
    British Societies cardiovascular disease risk
    chart)
  • Statin use sufficient doses to reach targets if
    patient aged up to at least 80 years, with a 10
    year risk of cardiovascular disease of gt20
    (measured by using the new Joint British
    Societies risk chart) and with total cholesterol
    concentration gt3.5mmol/l
  • Vitamins no benefit shown, do not prescribe

42
Secondary prevention (including patients with
type 2 diabetes)
  1. Aspirin use for all patients contraindicated
  2. Statin use sufficient doses to reach targets if
    patient is aged up to at least 80 years with a
    total cholesterol concentration gt3.5mmol/l
  3. Vitamins no benefits shown, do not prescribe

43
Large randomised trials demonstrate lowering
LDL- cholesterol by 1 mmol/l reduces non-fatal MI
and fatal CHD by about 25 ( about half the the
effect predicted from epidemiological studies for
a similar reduction in long term cholesterol
lowering in people without vascular disease )
Collins 2002With greater reductions in
cholesterol there are correspondingly larger
reductions in CHD endpoints.
44
Heart Protection Study Effect of simvastatin on
major vascular events
30
25
PLACEBO
20
People suffering events ()
15
SIMVASTATIN
10
5
0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Years of follow-up
5(3)
20(4)
35(5)
46(5)
54(7)
60(18)
Benefit/1000 (SE)
45
Age- and gender adjusted hypertension control by
country (35-64 years) 140/90 mmHg
46
Age- and gender adjusted hypertension control by
country (35-64 years) 140/90 mmHg
Impact of structured algorithm
47
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