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2010 FIFA World Cup

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2010 FIFA World Cup SAPIA readiness submission 19 May 2010 Presentation outline Background to the petroleum industry Critical facts about the industry Industry s ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: 2010 FIFA World Cup


1

2010 FIFA World Cup SAPIA readiness submission
19 May 2010

2
Presentation outline
  • Background to the petroleum industry
  • Critical facts about the industry
  • Industrys interdependence map
  • 2010 FIFA World Cup readiness
  • Risk identified and mitigating steps
  • Transnet Strike Current Scenario
  • Potential Impact of Transnet Strike Worst
    Scenario

3
Critical facts about the industry
  • The industry is interdependent and shares
    logistic facilities such as depots, pipelines and
    rail
  • Gauteng is the biggest market and will also host
    the majority of the games. It is critical for the
    industry to ensure un-interrupted supply for this
    market
  • 60 of ORTIA jet fuel supply comes from Natref
    via a dedicated pipeline.
  • 40 of RSA petrol and diesel supply is sourced
    from inland refineries and the balance from
    coastal refineries and imports.
  • Competition commission exemption was granted to
    allow enhanced logistic planning for the 2010
    FIFA World Cup
  • The industry and DoE are working together through
    the Ministerial Task Team (MTT) and Logistics
    Planning Team (LPT) primarily focusing on jet
    fuel readiness and cooperation on logistics

4
The South African liquid fuels Industry
interdependence
5
2010 FIFA World Cup readiness
  • Refinery Readiness
  • Refineries status
  • All Refineries fully operational
  • Jet fuel - Daily injection 3700 m³ through
    pipeline from Natref
  • Critical plants and equipment identified and
    closely monitored
  • Planned stock levels 7-9 days from May
  • Imports
  • Products are imported to balance demand.
  • Shutdowns
  • No planned shutdowns during world cup that will
    impact fuel production

22 Days to Kickoff
  • Jet Fuel
  • 40 increase forecasted in jet fuel demand
  • Stock levels at ORTIA
  • 19 May 9.0 days (42 634 m³)
  • Planned end of May 9 days
  • Rail from coast
  • Rail increased from 15 RTCs to 40 per day
  • Petrol and Diesel
  • Critical sites identified for SWC period
  • Credit card acceptance at critical sites
  • Expected throughput for period to increase by 10
  • July prices only to be changed on 2nd Wednesday
  • Additional trucks drivers secured
  • Depots facilities to be optimised around critical
    feeder sites

6
Risks identified and mitigating steps
Risk Impact Mitigation
Unplanned ORTIA Jet pipeline shutdown more than 5 days Stock of Jet depleted to critical level (less than 3 days stock) Likelihood very low and ability to recover within 2 days Capacity to build 5 more days stock at Natref
Unplanned DJP pipeline shutdown more than 3 days Depots will run dry between 2- 5 days Gantry congestion at refineries Work with Transnet to effect backup plans Direct bridging by road to critical customers
Critical sites running dry Disrupt World Cup logistics plan and those of soccer fans Additional trucks and drivers appointed Critical maintenance calls at sites will be closed out
Timing is a crucial factor to effecting
mitigation plans for 2010 SWC kick-off
7
Transnet Strike Current Scenario
  • Update
  • Rail and Ports are impacted
  • Rail fed depots getting full (Tarlton,
    Rustenburg)
  • Sporadic market stockouts, especially ex Rail
    supplied depots
  • Refinery depot gantries heavily congested
    (Secunda, Sasolburg)
  • Prolonged Strike Activity implies
  • Dealers will go into panic mode fill up tanks
    (2005 industry experience relived)
  • More stockouts at service stations and depots
  • Refineries may shut down due to tanks being full
  • Supply crisis, threatening countrys economy and
    the WC2010 event

19 May 2010
8
Potential impact of Transnet strike Worst
Scenario
Assumptions All Transnet services disrupted Port, Pipelines Rail Road movement no impact All Transnet services disrupted Port, Pipelines Rail Road movement no impact
Market Refinery
Impact ORTIA empty after 9 days Service stations will be empty after 3-6 days Commercial customers also impacted after 2-7 days Chemical industries highly affected Eskom affected limited back-up for coal World Cup severely impacted Natref at reduced rate for 7 days, and then shutdown Total Synfuels shutdown after 5-7 days Coastal refineries will operate at reduced rate to complete shutdown Significant additional costs Safety impact due to higher risk during start up and shutdowns of plants Environmental impact due to flaring of chemical, etc.
Contingency plans Maximize pipe RTC deliveries to ORTIA while still operational Consider tankering at other airports Allocate supply per region with approval from DoE ( Potential Market allocation) Reduced rate to stay online longer
Recommendation Speedy resolution of the strike Speedy resolution of the strike
Recovery Plans Continued tankering to build up ORTIA stocks Push all available final product at the coast into DJP to Gauteng for SWC Start up of plants as soon as possible and safely (4- 7 days) Evaluate all crude and final product import plans
9
CONTACT INFORMATION Maurice Radebe Chairman Offi
ce Address Shanghai House, 52 Wierda Road West,
Wierda Valley, Sandton, South Africa Tel 27
(0)11 783 7664 Fax 27 (0)11 783 5400 Email
khensi_at_sapia.co.za
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