Personal

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Personal David Burridge Ex Director ECMWF Ex
Director IPO (twice) Ex ......... NED Met Office
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• Science Plan peer-reviewed
• Implementation Plan 2004-2015 approved
• Approved annual expenditure 1.2M through a trust
  fund
• First Symposium (Montreal,2004)
• Regional Committees - RAII,IV,VI
• Southern Hemisphere alliance

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To Mitigate Natural disasters
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The Team
Chuchu Feng
Nathalie Tournier and David Burridge
Elena Manaenkova
Jim Caughey
Tetsuo Nakazawa
David Parsons
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And 1,200,094 per annum or (better
still) 1,824,795 per annum! in reality
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In 2008, the organisational structure was revised
With scientific oversight being provided by the
WWRP JSC
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My take on the major successes of the programme
GIFS-TIGGE TIGGE data base and TIGGE services
GEOWOW DAOS analysis of the data from field
experiments, reviews of the GOS and a
authoritative assessment of the results of
targeting PDP Field experiments, science
community building GEOSS took us to places I
didnt expect to go, great source of support and
funding YOTC essentially the outcome of the
Trieste (date) meeting Regional plans
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Global Interactive Forecast System using the
THORPEX INTERACTIVE GLOBAL GRAND ENSEMBLE (TIGGE)

• End-to-end forecast system tuned for end users,
  using targeted observations called on in
  sensitive areas, adaptive data assimilation,
  grid computing and distributed archives
  accessible through a single entry point.

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Targeting Motivation Track Uncertainty 10
September
ECMWF Strike Probability
JMA Ensemble Members
Numerical model aids
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THORPEX and GEOSS

• Contribute to GEOSS societal benefit areas, for
  example
• HEALTH - use advanced weather forecasting
  methods to improve predictability of major health
  hazards in W. Africa
• WEATHER - further develop TIGGE and societal
  applications
• AGRICULTURE - help improve the predictability of
  food supplies in Africa
• ENERGY - demonstration project utilizing the
  TIGGE databases to improve energy management
  techniques (particularly those linked to
  hydro-power)

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THORPEX and WCRP

• JSC/WCRP member of ICSC and science groups
• THORPEX in WCRP/COPES
• Joint project initiated to develop a unified
  ultra-high-resolution global weather and climate
  prediction system
• Collaboration in TIGGE
• TIGGE and Task Force on Seasonal Prediction
  (TFSP)
• Similar technical issues (data, archiving,
  policy)
• Potential for seamless days-seasons prediction
  systems
• Links established between THORPEX and TFSP

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THORPEX/WCRP/ICTP Workshop
Organisation and Maintenance of Tropical
Convection and the Madden Julian Oscillation
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  THORPEX/WCRP/ICTP Workshop Organisation and
Maintenance of Tropical Convection and the Madden
Julian Oscillation Hosted by the International
Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) 13-17
March 2006, Trieste, Italy     Meeting Report
prepared by Julia Slingo, Franco Molteni, Mitch
Moncrieff and Mel Shapiro            
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Regional Plans
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Symposia
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BBC weather pages Monday 10 November Published at
1000 Monthly Outlook Summary Umbrellas at the
ready - Our hats and scarfs were out as the UK
Monday 10 NovemberSunday 16 November More
rain on the cards - Get your brollies at the
ready as the UK is set for an unsettled week
. The positive side to unsettled spells is that
frosty conditions will be few and far
between Monday 17 NovemberSunday 23
November Low pressure still dominates - Our old
friend low pressure looks set to remain situated
somewhere to the south-west of the UK Monday
24 NovemberSunday 7 December Don't put the
umbrellas away just yet - As autumns moves along
for another year and winter begins to arrive,
mild and unsettled weather looks set to cling to
the UK Monthly forecasting The weather beyond
about a week ahead stretches even the most
experienced weather forecaster. Complex
numerical weather forecast models from the Met
Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for
the month (and season) ahead to build up a
picture of the likelihood of different weather
types affecting the UK. Next update at 1000,
Monday 17 November
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Legacy Projects
The High Impact Weather Project A WWRP research
activity
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Thank you for a wonderful 10-year programme Good
luck to WWRP and the follow-on to THORPEX