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Tactical Voting

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Title: Tactical Voting


1
Tactical Voting
2
Lesson Objectives
  • I will get the opportunity to analyse election
    results for evidence of potential tactical voting
  • I will get the opportunity to express an informed
    view on why people might vote tactically in the
    next election

3
Tactical Voting
  • On the next slide, you will see two results from
    the 2010 election
  • As you look at them, think about the following
    (copy down)
  • What is fair about them?
  • What is unfair about them?
  • Why might Conservative voters in Stirling and
    Labour voters in Perth, think about voting a
    different party in 2015?

4
General Election 2010
  • Stirling
  • ANNE MCGUIRE - Labour 19,558 Elected
  • BOB DALRYMPLE Lib Dem 11,204
  • ALISON LINDSAY SNP 8,091
  • GRAHAM REED - Conservatives 6,797

Perth PETE WISHART - SNP
19,118 Elected PETER LYBURN Conservative
14,739 JAMIE GLACKIN - Labour 7,923 PETER
BARRETT - Lib Dems 5,954
5
Tactical Voting
  • What is tactical voting?
  • It is where someone votes for the party who are
    most likely to defeat their fiercest rival when
    their own party has no chance of winning.
  • It happens under our First Past the Post system
    as only one person can win, with votes for losing
    candidates not counting.

6
How many people vote tactically?
  • Dr Stephen Fisher at Oxford University, believes
    the power of tactical voting should not be
    under-estimated.
  • He estimated in 2010 up to 9 of voters voted
    tactically, influencing the results of about 45
    seats in the process.

7
Tactical Voting
  • Around 37 of people polled before the 2010
    election said they would consider voting
    tactically.
  • Peter Hain, a Labour minister, called for his
    voters to vote intelligently.
  • The Conservatives tried to get Liberal Democrats
    to help them oust Ed Balls, a key member of the
    Labour government. Operation Castration nearly
    worked, with Ed Balls winning by only 1,000
    votes.

8
2015
  • The Tories are in second place in 38 of the Lib
    Dems' 57 seats
  • Lib Dem support has dropped significantly in many
    areas around the country
  • 1) Why should these facts worry Labour going into
    the 2015 election but hearten the Conservatives?
  • 2) What do you think Labour supporters will need
    to seriously consider doing come the 2015
    election?

9
2015
  • Why should these facts worry Labour going into
    the 2015 election but hearten the Conservatives?
  • If the Conservative take some of these seats, it
    will put them in a strong position to win the
    next election, potentially with a majority
  • What do you think Labour supporters will need to
    seriously consider doing come the 2015 election?
  • If Labour is to prevent the Tories from
    decapitating scores of Lib Dems, it will need to
    consider whether to advise its supporters to cast
    tactical votes.

10
Conclusion
  • Tactical voting has become more of an influence
    in recent elections with the rise of the Liberal
    Democrats
  • However it is only really an influencing factor
    in elections that use a winner take all system
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