World Steel Industry - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Loading...

PPT – World Steel Industry PowerPoint presentation | free to download - id: 786f1a-YmFhZ



Loading


The Adobe Flash plugin is needed to view this content

Get the plugin now

View by Category
About This Presentation
Title:

World Steel Industry

Description:

World Steel Industry ... Heavy sections figures include rail demand of ~10 mt/year. 120 Total 37 Seamless 83 ... Welded tube estimate includes large diameter pipe ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:30
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 13
Provided by: MetalsCon1
Learn more at: http://cdn.steelonthenet.com
Category:

less

Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: World Steel Industry


1
  • World Steel Industry

June 2009
2
WORLD STEEL INDUSTRY AGENDA
  • Global steel demand
  • By region
  • By end-use
  • By form
  • By product
  • Demand forecast
  • Steel supply
  • Industry issues
  • Opportunities

3
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND Demand by Region
World Region Demand, mt
EU (27) 182
Other Europe 29
CIS 50
NAFTA 130
C S America 43
Middle East / Africa 68
Asia Oceania 693
World 1195
Figures are millions of metric tonnes of finished
steel products
Note all figures in this report are to be
treated as indicative estimates supplied by
Metals Consulting International Limited MCI
rather than as precise or definitive assessments.
For further clarification or support please
contact us by email mci_at_steelonthenet.com
4
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND Demand by End-Use
End Use Demand, mt
Construction 575
Machinery 285
Transport 135
Appliances 55
Fabrication 40
Oil and gas 40
Shipbuilding 20
Other 45
Total 1195
Figures are MCI estimates of world steel
consumption, in millions metric tonnes.
Transport includes approx. 90m cars _at_ 950 kg/car
flat steel products 640kg/car long products
190kg yield loss and parts supply thus 85mt
just for light passenger vehicles (heavy and
light trucks, buses, rail wagons represent
additional steel demand). Appliances (white
goods) amount to 400m units at 120-140kg steel
(including yield loss) per appliance. Figures
above include demand across other steel segments
including engineering steel or special bar
quality (SBQ) steel of 46mt, fasteners at around
21mt.
5
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND Demand by Form
Form Demand, mt
Flat 555
Long 520
Tube 120
Total 1195
Figures are MCI estimates, in millions metric
tonnes finished steel products.
Demand estimates above exclude certain products
not in flat / long / tubular form that are made
from semi-finished steel. These include steel
wheels produced from ingots or continuous cast
rounds, for which world demand currently amounts
to 5 million units 3.5m forged 1.5m cast and
at 350kg/wheel representing 2mt steel demand.
6
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND Demand by Product Flat
Products
Product Demand, mt
Plate 110
Hot rolled coil sheet 196
Cold rolled steel 117
Coated flat products 132
Total 555
Figures are 2008 estimates, and include
electrical steel (silicon steel) demand of 11 mt
and tin mill product demand of 13mt.
7
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND Demand by Product Long
Products
Product Demand, mt
Heavy sections 44
Light sections 46
Bar 280
Rod 150
Total 520
Figures are 2008 estimates. Heavy / light section
cut-off is 80mm. Demand assessments include
160mt rebar excluding bar-in-coil within bar,
and include demand for other downstream products
(e.g. wire, wire rope) obtained by further
processing. Heavy sections figures include rail
demand of 10 mt/year.
8
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND Demand by Product Tubes
Product Demand, mt
Welded 83
Seamless 37
Total 120
Figures are 2008 estimates of world demand.
Welded tube estimate includes large diameter pipe
(LDP) consumption of approximately 18mt.
9
DEMAND FORECAST World steel demand in 2009 and
2010
  • 2008 world finished steel demand 1195 mt
  • Level of full year 2009 consumption
  • Will be lower due to the credit crisis
  • Will be critically dependent on construction
    sector thus infrastructure spending e.g. in
    China
  • Is assessed by MCI at 1060mt
  • This is an average of recent IISI / OECD
    forecasts
  • Recovery expected in 2010
  • MCI tentative 2010 demand forecast is 1175 mt
    if China stimulus progresses as planned

Chinas fiscal stimulus package is a 585
billion increase in spending on transportation
construction roads, rail, earthquake
reconstruction, rural infrastructure
modernisation projects, environmental protection,
housing, indigenous innovation technological
capabilities and healthcare / education. Geared
largely to steel intensive building and
construction, MCI appraise this package as one of
the most important factors shaping the future
recovery of Chinese / world steel demand in 2009
and 2010.
10
STEEL SUPPLY Top 5 producers / development options
Producer Output mt Business development path
ArcelorMittal 116 Rationalisation of high cost inland sites Chicago area, USA France, Germany
Nippon Steel 36 Consolidation of Japanese industry
JFE 34 Merger with Nippon Steel
POSCO 31 Acquisition of the Vietnamese Steel Corporation regional jv's with Asian partner(s)
Baosteel 29 Organic especially export oriented volume growth
Outputs are 2008 crude steel production figures
source IISI. Development paths are MCIs own
estimates of possible development paths. Please
note that these development options have been
elaborated by MCI without consultation with the
steelmakers.
11
INDUSTRY ISSUES Some current topics for discussion
  • Globalisation
  • Q How does ArcelorMittal get to 250 mt?
  • A Emphasis on demand side not supply side
    construction markets especially
  • CO2
  • Q How to respond to increasing environmental
    and emissions costs?
  • A Increasing geographic polarisation between
    melting and rolling of steel
  • Technology
  • Q What will the next technology leap comprise?
  • A More near net shape casting including
    technology licensing e.g. of Castrip
  • China
  • Q What are the main problems or allegations?
  • A Direct and indirect subsidies capacity
    expansion during time of stagnant world steel
    demand increasing international adoption of
    trade barriers as a result, to the detriment of
    the industry worldwide

12
OPPORTUNITIES
  • Can MCI help your firm develop a presence in the
    international steel sector?
  • Can we help you raise funds for investment?
  • Or assist you perhaps with a strategic appraisal
    of your business?
  • If so please contact us for a no obligation
    discussion

Please contact Andrzej Kotas, Managing Director,
MCI Website http//www.steelonthenet.com
Email mci_at_steelonthenet.com Mobile 44 (0) 775
149 0885
About PowerShow.com