Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change in Multiple Regions and Sectors (AIACC)

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Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to
Climate Change in Multiple Regions and Sectors
(AIACC)

• Robert Watson
• ICSU Forum on
• Science and Technology for Sustainable
  Development
• World Summit on Sustainable Development,
  Johannesburg
• August 30, 2002

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• AIACC Implementing, Executing Collaborating
  Agencies
• UN Environment Programme (UNEP)
• Global SysTem for Analysis, Research and Training
  (START)
• Third World Academy of Sciences (TWAS)
• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
• Funding Agencies
• Global Environment Facility (GEF)
• Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA)
• US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA)

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AIACC Objectives

• Advance scientific understanding
• Of climate change I, A V in developing country
  regions.
• Publications in peer reviewed journals.
• Build and enhance scientific technical capacity
  in developing countries
• To investigate climate change I, A V and
• To participate in international scientific
  assessments (e.g. IPCC)
• Generate and communicate information useful for
  adaptation planning action
• Including for preparation of National
  Communications under UNFCCC.

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AIACC Grants for Regional Studies of Climate
Change I, A V

• Call for pre-proposals issued early 2001
• 150 preproposals submitted.
• 60 invited to submit full proposals.
• Proposals peer reviewed by 80 scientists
• 24 awards made
• 11 in Africa (17 countries participating)
• 5 in Asia (9 countries)
• 5 in Latin America (10 countries)
• 3 in Small Island Dev. States (8 countries)

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AIACC Support for Grant Recipients

• 3-year research funding (100K-225K USD)
• Participation in capacity building activities
• Training/project development workshops held in
  2002.
• Regional workshops (2003 and 2004)
• Technical assistance from AIACC mentors
• Including facilitation of peer-reviewed
  publication.
• Participation in AIACC Scientific Network
• Cross-project (South-South) collaborations
  assistance
• Collaborations with developed country researchers

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Projects emphasize links between current future
vulnerabilities adaptive strategies

• Most AIACC projects will begin with assessment of
  current vulnerabilities in areas such as
• Food security
• Water security
• Livelihood security
• Human health
• Will explore how climate change in combination
  with other factors may alter vulnerabilities
  through coming decades.
• Will evaluate adaptive strategies, emphasizing
  those that might lessen current vulnerabilities
  as well as longer term vulnerabilities to climate
  change.

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Drought vulnerability of rural households in W.
African Sahel

• University of Jos, Nigeria and Institut
  DEconomie Rural, Mali
• Past/present vulnerabilities of household food
  livelihood security from drought to be evaluated
  using survey techniques and observational data
• Develop and apply models of future
  vulnerabilities and adaptive responses under
  scenarios of climate change.
• Attempt to identify thresholds for coping with
  climatic extremes and evaluate risks of exceeding
  in future climate

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Climate change vulnerabilities and adaptations in
Limpopo basin, Botswana

• University of Botswana
• Establish past and present responses of food and
  water sectors to climate variability.
• Investigate potential impacts of climate change
  on food production, water supply and water
  demand.
• Economic valuation of impacts and examination of
  vulnerabilities (e.g. food security) of impacted
  groups.
• Evaluate feasibility, effectiveness and costs of
  adaptation options to lessen vulnerabilities.

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Integrated assessment of climate change impacts
in Miombo region

• Miombo Network (researchers institutions in
  Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Zambia)
• Case studies of recent droughts and floods in
  Zambezi River Basin.
• Develop and apply models of climate-environment-hu
  man interactions to investigate impacts of
  climate change (emphasis on flood, drought) on
  land-use, production, food security,
  livelihoods.
• Evaluate adaptation options for the river basin.

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Sustainable livelihood strategies in Sudan
lessons for climate change adaptation

• Higher Council for Environment Natural
  Resources, Sudan
• Case studies of degree to which existing
  sustainable livelihood programs have increased
  resilience (including food security) of local
  agricultural systems to climate related
  stressors.
• Evaluate potential for these strategies to
  increase resilience (and food security) to future
  climate change.

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Food production water needs in North Africa

• Agricultural Research Center (Egypt), Ministere
  de lAgricultare (Tunisia), Direction de la
  Meteorologie Nationale (Morocco)
• Case studies of effects of climate variability on
  production of cereals, olives, other crops in 3
  different arid/semi-arid cropping systems.
• Simulation of crop production and water demands
  for scenarios of climate change evaluation of
  food security implications.
• Evaluation of adaptation options for different
  cropping systems.

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For more information on AIACC

• Visit AICC website
• www.start.org/Projects/AIACC_Project/aiacc.html
• Or contact
• Neil Leary, START Secretariat
• Email nleary_at_agu.org
• Tel [phone]