? ? ?: ? CO2??????????

1
????????

• ???
• ????????????????????????
• ??????????????
• 2003.08.22

2
? ? ? ? CO2??????????

• ???OECD?????????????(19902000)
• ??CO2 ??????
• ?????MARKAL????(????)
• ????????(92.06.26)??????????

3
???OECD????????????? (19902000)
??????1990??????,?2000??????????
(1) ????1990??????112.76???,????28??????????
92.7,???OECD???(????12.8?12.3),????2000???
??????22????,?????217.3???? (2)
??????1990???????5.54?,?OECD???52,????59?
???????????76.5,???OECD???????(?????4.9?
??2.5),2000?????????????24?,????9.8?? (3)
??GDP??????,???????(?????????????)??
6.0,??OECD???????????-12.8?-16.7,???2000????GDP
??,???????GDP?????1999??????71???2000??51?
4
??CO2 ??????
??????
5
??????????????????????
6
?????MARKAL????(????)
????????--??????
7
?????MARKAL????(????)
????????????
8
????????(92.06.26) ??????????

• ????????????
• ?????????????????,???????????
• ?????????????,????????
• ???????????
• ??2020??????????????12???,?????????,????????
  28
• ??????30????????,?????????????
• ???????????????

9
????????????????

• ????????????
• ?????????,???????
• ??????
• ????????? 

10
????????

• ???????????????????????????
• ????????????
• 10?????????
• 10????????

11
???????

• ?????,????????,???????????????????,?????????(cost
  -effective)????????????????
• ?????,??????????????????????????????
• ?????,????????,??????,???????????

12
??????? ????

• ????????????????????,???????????????????,?????????
  ??????????????????????????????????????

13

• ????????2020? ???????12

2020????????12?????
????EWEA Greenpeace (2002), Wind Force 12
14
?????????????(?????40)
????????????????
???????????
15

• ?????????

(19802001)
16

• ????? - ??

• ????,????? 8,753 MW
• ???????????????????????

17
??????? ????

• ?????????????????????,??????????????2001????,?????
  ????2,659???(MW)?????(??????????????)?????????????
  ????10,000MW,???????????????,????????????,???????,
  ????????????

18

• ???

• ????,?????3,335 MW,?1997????8?
• ??Gamesa (??)Made (??)Ecotecnia

19

• ??

• ????18,?????2,417 MW ,50????,???????
• ??Vestas (??)NEG Micon (??)Bonus (??)LM (????)

20

• ??

• ????,?????1,507 MW,?????45,000 MW
• ??Suzlon

21

• ??

• ?????399 MW,??2005??1,200 MW
• ?????? (?Nodex??)??-??(?Made??)

22
??????????

• ?????8.54 MW
• ????????????????
• ?kW????3,000 kWh
• ????(?/kWh)???? 1.25/1.78 (20/10???)
• ??66.2??33.8
• ????????????????
• ?kW????3,200 kWh
• ????(?/kWh)????1.64/2.34 (20/10???)
• ??53.4??46.7(????13 km???????)
• ????????????????
• ?kW????2,520 kWh
• ????(?/kWh)????1.30/1.80 (20/11???)
• ??66.6??33.4

4 x 660 kW
4 x 600 kW
2 x 1,750 kW
23
????????????

• ???????????

• ???????? (2001?2010?)

MW
????17th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy
Conference Exhibition ,Munich
Germany,Oct.2001
????Photovoltaic News, Feb.2002, Vol.21, No.2
?????????????40 , 2000????278MW 2001??390MW
(??171MW???100MW???86MW)
24
?????????

• ?????
• ?????
• ??????

25
???????????

•    ??????
• 1.???????
• 2.????
• 3.????

26
???????????

•    ??????
• 1.??(Carbon Tax)
• 2.??????????????(GHG Trading and Offsets)
• 3.????????(Green Pricing Programs)
• 4.????????(Renewables Portfolio Standards,RPS)

27
???? ????!