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Dr. KOOP

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Title: Valuation of Web-Related Firms Author: Stern NYU Last modified by: jlivnat Created Date: 4/5/2000 10:05:21 PM Document presentation format – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Dr. KOOP


1
Dr. KOOP
  • Professor Joshua Livnat, Ph.D., CPA
  • 311 Tisch Hall
  • New York University
  • 40 W. 4th St.
  • NY NY 10012
  • Tel. (212) 998-0022 Fax (212) 995-4230
  • jlivnat_at_stern.nyu.edu
  • Web page www.stern.nyu.edu/jlivnat

2
Overview
  • Dr. KOOP Site
  • Classification and business model
  • Facts from public sources
  • Purchased traffic
  • Revenue sources
  • Expenses
  • Recent developments

3
Dr. Koop (KOOP)
  • Business to consumers
  • Entertainment/Content site
  • Some E-Commerce potential
  • Revenue sources
  • Advertising - short-term arrangements
  • Advertising - health-care products and services
  • Partnerships - referral services - recurring
    revenues
  • Content sale and licensing
  • Others (clinical trials, etc.)

4
Business Model
  • Provide free content in the health-care area.
  • Attract enough users.
  • Earn advertising and referral fees from
  • Drug firms
  • Health-care providers
  • Identification of patients for clinical
    trials/particular drugs.
  • Sell content to others

5
Advantages
  • Health is a primary concern of individuals.
  • A large number of potential users.
  • A growing market
  • Public demands to know more about health-related
    issues.
  • Strong competition among drug companies and
    health-care providers.

6
Disadvantages
  • How to attract visitors to the site. Large
    marketing costs.
  • How to attract advertisers.
  • How to attract affiliates - long term partners.
  • Updating contents.
  • Deterring competitors.

7
Dr. Koop - Material Facts
  • Site effective July 1998.
  • IPO in June 1999, raised 88.5 million.
  • Over 1.3 million registered members at the end of
    March 2000.
  • Monthly traffic during Q2 of 2000 was around 1.85
    million unique visitors.
  • Entered agreements with Infoseek and AOL to
    supply content and to purchase traffic.

8
Traffic Data (Media Metrix)
AOL
AOL
Infoseek
Infoseek
9
Price of Traffic
  • Promised Infoseek and Buena Vista 57.9 million
    in cash and 775,000 warrants (8.60 exercise
    price) over three years.
  • 30.5 million shares outstanding on 12/31/99.
  • Recognized expenses of 7.2 million in 1999, and
    2.7 million in Q1/00.
  • In Q2/00 terminated the agreement as of July
    2000. Obligated to pay 5.3 million in cash, and
    additional 820,000 warrants (1.25 exercise
    price).

10
Price of Traffic
  • The AOL four-year agreement required Dr. Koop to
    pay AOL net cash of 81 million, 1.5 million
    warrants (15.94 exercise price), and 4.3million
    more warrants based on performance.
  • Koop paid net of 12.25 million until the end of
    Q1/00, and recognized expenses of 12.25 million
    in 1999 and 6 million in Q1/00.
  • In Q2/00, Koop issues 3.5 million shares to AOL
    in lieu of further cash payments and warrants.

11
Revenues
12
Income Statement Data
13
Income Statement Ratios
14
Liquidity
15
Cash Burn Rate
  • Net Operating Cash Outflow in Q2/00 was (34.1)
    million.
  • Capital expenditures 1.8 million in Q2/00.
  • Will run out of cash within 0.7 month, if it can
    postpone suppliers and employees, earlier if not.
  • Can it borrow money? See PPE on 10-K.

16
Revenue Analysis
  • Total revenue in Q2/00 2.5 million.
  • Content subscription and software license .85
    million (33).
  • Advertising and sponsorship revenues 1.7 million
    (66).
  • E-commerce .01 million (1).
  • 33 Partners on 6/30/00, compared to 32 on 3/31/00
    and 33 on 12/31/99.

17
Expense Analysis
  • High content expenses
  • Extremely high marketing expenses. Attempted to
    purchase traffic in a hurry.
  • High GA expenses as compared to its revenues.
  • High PPE and investments in other firms.

18
Restructured Agreements
  • Traffic agreements restructured. May affect
    future traffic and future revenues.
  • Terminated agreement with HealthMagic, writing
    off an investment of 5 million.
  • Fired 35 of its labor force.
  • Retained Bear Sterns to advise on its future
    options.
  • Can it survive?

19
New Investors
  • Private placement on 08/22/00 from group of VCs
    led by ComVest Venture Partners.
  • Total investment can reach 27.5 million.
  • A new management team was appointed.

20
New Financing
Qualified audit opinion
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