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Industrial Revolution

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Industrial Revolution England Industrial Revolution 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Industrial Revolution


1
Industrial Revolution
England
Industrial Revolution
1600 1700 1800
1900 2000
Japan
Industrialization
2
Railways Operation Kilometers
3
No. of automobile registered
U.S.A.
1850 1900
1950 2000
Japan
Industrialization
4
Penetration ratios of home appliances in Japan,
1960-2010

3Cs
5
Automobile
???K/(1ae-ßY) K?????a?ß??

source NEDO, ???????????????, 1999?3?
6
?????????
?? ?? ??
?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ???
1971 11250 0.188 2310 0.004 618 0.001
1975 12660 0.253 3060 0.005 696 0.001
1980 15003 0.324 4268 0.014 884 0.001
1985 17116 0.382 5849 0.027 1342 0.002
1990 20996 0.467 9027 0.079 1821 0.005
1991 21733 0.483 9767 0.098 0.005
1992 21893 0.496 10166 0.120 0.006
1993 21894 0.508 10660 0.142 0.007
1994 21955 0.520 11475 0.167 0.008
1995 22177 0.533 12355 0.188 3072 0.009
1996 22916 0.547 13078 0.210 0.009
1997
1998
1999
2000
7
ICT Indicators of the US Long-term perspective
8
ICT Indicators of Japan Long-term perspective
9
Media
???????????????2003?
10
Logistic Curves
K Y -------------- 1 b
e-cx K100, b1
c2
c5
c10
11
Logistic Curve - how to use it? A case of
mobile-phone
population
the number of mobile subscribers
12
step-1 conversion to the penetration ratio Y
number of subscribers Y
-------------------------------
population
13
step-2 preparation for linear regression analysis
  • K Y or K/Y 1 b e-CX
  • 1 b e-CX
  • log (K/Y 1) log (b e-CX)
  • log (K/Y 1) log b C X
  • if we set Z log (K/Y 1) and B log b
  • then B, C will be estimated by regression
    analysis
  • Z B - C X

14
step-3 assume K and calculate Z log (K/Y-1)
15
step-4 compare the regression results, choose the
highest R2
16
A verification experiment
17
A verification experiment based on smaller data
set
18
Advertising channels and their cost
IP?
???
???? 10 102 103 104
105 106 107 108
19
?? ??
??? ??
?? ??
?? ???
????????
CATV
???
??
??CD ?????
Internet
AV??TV,VTR,????
???? ????? ????
??? ???? ???
??? ??? ??
20
??????? ?????? ??????
?? 9?244?? 21?874??
?? 13?883?? 9?577??
??(????) 21?914?? 4?258??
??????? 6?075?? ???
?????? 3?312?? ???
?? ? 30?? ???
?????? ???
21
Advertising expenditure by channel Japan,
1985-2008
source Dentsu, NIHON NO KOUKOKUHI (Ad
Expenditure of Japan)
22
Distribution volumes of magazines in Japan
23
Distribution volumes of magazines in Japan
24
Distribution volumes of magazines, Shogakkan
  1. ????????
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  3. MORE
  4. ????????
  5. nonno
  6. Myojo
  7. ????????
  8. ????????
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  10. V????
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