Gene Shackman

1
Growth or DeclineTrends in New York State WIC
participation and eligible populations

• Gene Shackman
• gxs03_at_health.state.ny.us
• Daniel Kellis
• djk09_at_health.state.ny.us

2
Topics

• New York State WIC caseload trends
• Demographic trends and projections of women,
  births, infants, children
• Poverty trends and indicators

3
Figure 1Women, Infants and Children
Participation on NYS WIC, October 1987 to May
1999 from NUTWIC Monthly Data
4
Figure 2Monthly NYS WIC Certifications of
Pregnant, Breastfeeding and PostPartum Women
January 1989 to February 1999
5
Figure 3.Number of NYS Women by Category
Certifying or Subsequently certifying into the
WIC Program in NYC Metropolitan Area from January
1998 to May 2000
6
Figure 4.Number of Infants and Children
Certifying or Subsequently Certifying into WIC
Program in NYC Metropolitan Area from January
1998 to May 2000
7
Figure 5Population of women in NYS of
childbearing age (age 15-44).Estimates from 1980
to 1999, and projections from 1995 to 2005
8
Figure 6 Live Birth Numbers in New York
State 1980 - 1998
297,468
258,207
9
Figure 7Population of children age 4 and under
in New York State.Estimates from 1980 to 1999,
and projections from 1995 to 2005
10
Figure 8Primary source of payment for
births.New York State, 1989-1996
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Figure 9Total number of people living in poverty
in NY State,1980 to 1999
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Figure 10Related Children, Age 5 and Under,
Living in Poverty in the United States, 1969 to
1999
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Figure 11Unemployment in New York StateJanuary
1980 - April 2000
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Summary

• WIC caseload trends for infants, children and
  pregnant women have been fairly constant since
  1994. Trends for infants and children in New
  York City area show slight declines since 1998.
• Total populations of women of child bearing age,
  children, and number of births in New York State
  has been declining in last several years, and
  expected to decline for next several years.
• Total number of people in New York State in
  poverty has been constant for past several years.
  Number of children in NY in poverty probably has
  been fairly constant.

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Data sources for slides

• Women, Infant and Children NUTWIC monthly
  participation Division of Nutrition Program
  Data, from Agency Monthly Participant Counts
• Women, Infants and Children Certification data
  Division of Nutrition Program Data, from WIC
  Participant Certification Files
• Population estimates and projections for women
  and children
• http//www.census.gov/population/estimates/stat
  e/s5yr8090.txt,
• http//www.census.gov/population/estimates/stat
  e/st-99-08.txt,
• http//www.census.gov/population/www/projection
  s/st_yr95to00.html, New York and
• http//www.census.gov/population/www/projection
  s/st_yr01to05.html, New York
• Live Birth datas
• Vital Statistics of New York State, 1996.
  Live Births and Live Birth Rates, New York State,
  1950-1996.
• Table 5 Live Birth Summary Information by
  Mother's Age New York State 1996,
  http//www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs96/table5.h
  tm
• Table 4 Live Birth Summary Information by
  Race/Ethnicity New York State 1997,
  http//www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs97/tab04.ht
  m
• Vital Statistics of New York State, 1997, table
  of live births, NYS Birth Certificate Records,
• Births Final data for 1998.
  http//www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvs48_3.pdf
• Each year, information for about 3 of births
  is not available.
• Primary Sources of Payment for Births
• Table 5 Live Birth Summary Information by
  Mother's Age New York State 1996,
  http//www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs96/table5.h
  tm
• Table 4 Live Birth Summary Information by
  Race/Ethnicity New York State 1997,
  http//www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs97/tab04.ht
  m
• Total number of people in poverty in New York
  State, http//www.census.gov/income/histpov/hstpov
  21.txt. Accessed Sept 1, 2000.
• CPS data is most reliable at national level.
  To improve reliability at state level, we used a
  three year moving average.