ACROPOLIS: a comparison of existing models to assess the impact of energy technologies and policy me

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Climate Change Forum organised by ICCF and
FORATOM Are we ready for COP9?
ACROPOLISa comparison of existing models to
assess the impact of energy technologies and
policy measures on GHG emissionsEuropean
Parliament, 26 November 2003
Domenico Rossetti Valdalbero European
Commission, DG Research Tel. [phone]
Fax [phone] E-mail domenico.rossetti-di
-valdalbero_at_cec.eu.int
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E3 MODELS

• Energy, Economy, Environment models a long
• European energy research tradition in
• supporting EU policies
• The right tool for the right purpose
• Importance to get
• a genuine European research project
• an independent expert evaluation
• a real-time peer-review of models

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ACROPOLIS an example of international
cooperation

• European Commission
• International Energy Agency
• U.S. Department of Energy
• University of Stuttgart
• Research Institute of Innovative Technology for
  the
• Earth, National Institute for Environmental
  Studies and
• University of Tokyo
• Institute for Perspective Technological Studies
• National Technical University of Athens
• Netherlands Energy Research Foundation
• Paul Scherrer Institute
• International Institute for Applied System
  Analysis
• Ente Nazionale Energia e Ambiente
• Chalmers University of Technology

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ACROPOLIS a large research collaboration

• 15 different models
• Harmonisation of key variables
• GDP
• Population
• Energy prices
• Running of the same four policy cases
• Renewable targets and green certificates
• Long-term emission trading
• Energy efficiency standards
• Internalisation of external costs

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ACROPOLIS somepolicy messages

• Strong convergent results have emerged from
  various
• different models in the ACROPOLIS exercise
• The policy cases demonstrate that GHG emission
• reductions (Kyoto and beyond) can
• be obtained through various realistic options
• be achieved at a relative low cost (1 of GDP)
• provide ancillary benefits (eg. human health)
• Flexibility instruments, fuel switching, energy
  efficiency,
• renewables and nuclear are crucial options to
  reduce
• CO2 and other pollutants