Pakistan Site Selection for Case Study Sajidin Hussain, GCISC Zakir Hussain, PARC GECAFS Workshop, 14 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Pakistan Site Selection for Case Study Sajidin Hussain, GCISC Zakir Hussain, PARC GECAFS Workshop, 14

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Title: Pakistan Site Selection for Case Study Sajidin Hussain, GCISC Zakir Hussain, PARC GECAFS Workshop, 14


1
Pakistan Site Selection for Case StudySajidin
Hussain, GCISCZakir Hussain, PARCGECAFS
Workshop, 14 16 March, 2005, Dhaka
2
Land Use of Pakistan
(Million Hectares)
Punjab Sind NWFP Balochistan Pakistan
Geographical Area 20.63 14.09 10.17 34.72 79.61
Total Area Reported 17.31 13.91 8.34 18.77 58.27
Forest Area 0.48 0.59 1.27 1.08 3.46
Area not Available for Cultivation 2.97 6.16 4.06 11.2 24.4
Culturable Waste 1.78 1.51 1.11 4.76 9.06
Cultivated Area 12.08 5.65 1.9 1.72 21.35 Irrigated 18
Fallow Area 1.16 2.71 0.4 0.95 5.22
Net Sown Area 10.91 2.94 1.5 0.77 16.13
Area Sown More than Once 4.28 0.92 0.52 0.00 5.67
Source Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan (2002)
Av. 1985/86-1999/00
3
Agro-ecological Zones of Pakistan
4
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7
Two Most Suitable Regions for the Case Study
Rechna Doab Chaj Doab
Rice-Wheat Sugarcane-Wheat Mostly mixed cropping patterns (Wheat, Rice, Sugarcane, Citrus, and Some Rainfed Crops
8
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9
Rachna Doab
10
Private tube well density in different districts
of Punjab, Pakistan
Source Qureshi, Shah, and Akhtar (2003)
11
Ground water quality in Rechna
Source Qureshi, Turral and Masih (2004)
12
Land Utilization in Rechna
District Total Cultivated Area (000 ha) Total Cropped Area(000 ha) C.I. () Cropped Area Irrigated Wheat Area Rice Area
Sialkot 257 424 165 90 72 36
Gujranwala 306 528 173 98 71 44
Sheikhupura 486 762 157 96 61 32
Narowal 189 277 147 61 66 27
Hafizabad 189 308 163 100 71 37
Faisalabad 515 675 131 97 49 3
Jhang 692 907 131 91 51 9
T. T. Singh 256 377 147 93 57 6
Rechna Doab (Total) 2890 4258 147 92 59 22
Source Bureau of Stat., Government of Punjab
(2003)
13
Distribution of Farms by Farm Size in Rechna
District Percent Distribution of Farms Percent Distribution of Farms Percent Distribution of Farms Percent Distribution of Farms
District Small (lt2ha) Medium (2 5ha) Large (gt5ha) Total (No.)
Sialkot 74.07 24.67 1.27 119369
Gujranwala 48.16 46.11 5.72 86530
Sheikhupura 50.95 44.88 4.17 149070
Narowal 68.48 30.11 1.41 87401
Hafizabad 39.91 53.34 6.75 39874
Faisalabad 63.15 35.57 1.28 184377
Jhang 50.29 42.52 7.19 185671
T. T. Singh 55.95 41.21 2.84 83556
Rechna Doab (Total) 57.53 38.77 3.71 935848
Source Bureau of Stat., Government of Punjab
(2003)
14
Irrigated Area by Source in Rachna
District Total Irrigated Area (000 ha) Surface Water () Ground Water () Conjunctive Use ()
Sialkot 380 1 95 4
Gujranwala 729 25 67 8
Sheikhupura 652 7 7 86
Narowal 351 2 88 10
Hafizabad 823 1 28 71
Faisalabad 520 74 5 21
Jhang 307 13 31 56
T. T. Singh 169 63 7 30
Rechna Doab (Total) 3931 25 33 41
Source Bureau of Stat., Government of Punjab
(2003)
15
Public and Private Tube wells in Rechna
District Public Private Total
Sialkot 86 36075 36161
Gujranwala 40 38515 38555
Sheikhupura 473 27323 27796
Narowal 32 21129 21161
Hafizabad 38 16939 16967
Faisalabad 114 13925 14039
Jhang 926 30548 31474
Toba Tek Singh 163 8691 8854
Rechna Doab (Total) 1872 193145 195017
Source PPSGDP (1998)
16
Livestock Population in Rechna
000
District Cattle Buffalo Sheep Goat
Sialkot 123 380 28 99
Gujranwala 140 645 66 92
Sheikhupura 263 683 101 290
Narowal 136 251 25 124
Hafizabad 188 253 24 86
Faisalabad 299 854 66 731
Jhang 561 852 284 654
T. T. Singh 191 378 57 435
Rechna Doab (Total) 1901 4296 651 2511
Source Bureau of Stat., Government of Punjab
(2003)
17
Socio-Economic Characteristics of Selected
Districts in Rechna
Gujranwala Sheikhupura Sialkot
Population Density (per sq km) Population Density (per sq km) 932 542 892
Number of Persons per Household Number of Persons per Household 11 10 10
Literacy Ratio All 56.6 43.8 58.9
Male 63.6 53.3 65.9
Female 48.8 33.3 51.5
Patients Treated in Hospital (000) Patients Treated in Hospital (000) 576 260 673
Registered factories Registered factories 695 393 307
Estimated Employment in Factories (000) Estimated Employment in Factories (000) 21 79 14
Metal Roads (000 km) Metal Roads (000 km) 1.54 1.84 1.42
Source Bureau of Stat., Government of Punjab
(2003)
18
Chaj Doab
19
Characteristics of Selected Districts in Chaj Doab
Sargodha Gujrat Jhang Bahawalnagar
Reported Area (sq km) 5920 3210 8800 7290
Population Density (per sq km) 486 697 351 312
Cropped Area (000 Ha) 539 271 888 705
irrigated Cropped Area 99 50 93 99
Canal 39.52 11.44 12.05 69.08
Tubewell 9.83 30.26 28.60 12.34
Conjunctive (CanalTubewell) 50.65 58.30 59.35 18.58
Dominant Crops Wheat-SugarcaneFodder Citrus SugarcaneWheat, Rainfed crops Mixed Sugarcane Wheat, Rice, Cotton Mixed but Cotton-wheat is dominant
20
Site Selection Options Rechna Vs Chaj
Rachna Doab Chaj Doab
Gujranwala Sargodha
Sheikhupura Gujrat
Sialkot Jhang
21
Site Selection Options Rechna Vs Chaj
Characteristics Gujranwala Sargodha
Region Rechna Doab Chaj Doab
Cropping Patterns Mainly Rice-Wheat Mixed Cropping Dominantly Sugarcane-Wheat Other Crops Rice, fodder, Citrus
Accessibility Yes Yes
Weather Data Met station not available Met station available
Agri-statistics data Available Available
Primary Data Rechna has been intensively studied by IWMI under Salinity Management Project (Early 90s). Extensive surveys would be required for studying food systems under GECAFS project IWMI has carried-out (Pro-poor surveys -2001-02) Access to survey data from IWMI? Survey for only some specific aspects might be required
22
  • If only Water Availability Changes
  • (At baseline CO2, temperature, and no change in
    water quantity per irrigation)

Baseline Yield
23
  • If both Water Availability and Temperature Change

(CO2 Level 360 ppm)
Baseline Yield
24
  • If both Water Availability and Temperature Change
  • (CO2 Level 550 ppm)

Baseline Yield
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