Title: The%20American%20Nuclear%20Renaissance
1The American Nuclear Renaissance
- Nuclear Utility Meteorological Data Users Group
- June 2008 Meeting
- Charlotte, NC
2Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private
Securities Litigation Act of 1995
- This document contains forward looking
information which is subject to risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to
be different than those contemplated, including,
but not limited to - changes in state, federal or international
regulatory environments - project costs
- operational performance
- commercial, industrial and residential growth in
the Companys service territory - natural phenomena
- the timing and extent of changes in commodity
prices, interest rates, and foreign currency
exchange rates - general economic conditions
- changes in environmental and other laws and
regulations to which Duke Energy and its
subsidiaries are subject or other external
factors over which Duke Energy has no control - the results of financing efforts
- the effect of accounting pronouncements
- growth in opportunities for Duke Energys
business units, and other risks described in the
Companys most recent earnings release filed with
the Securities and Exchange Commission on Form
8-K and other Securities and Exchange Commission
filings.
3Nuclear Energy in the U.S. On the Rise Again
- Four Certified Designs Three in Review
- Three Early Site Permits One in Review
- Four Combined License Applications Submitted
Many More to Come
4Nuclear Energy in the U.S. On the Rise Again
- Four Certified Designs Three in Review
- Three Early Site Permits One in Review
- Four Combined License Applications Submitted
Many More to Come
Nine
5COL Applications - NuStart-Based Design Centers
- AP1000
- TVA - Bellefonte (2) - Reference Plant
- Duke Lee (2)
- Southern - Vogtle (2)
- Progress - Harris (2)
- SCEG - Summer (2)
- Progress - Levy Cy, FL (2)
- FPL - Turkey Point (2)
- ESBWR
- Dominion - North Anna (1) - Reference Plant (not
a NuStart member) - Entergy - Grand Gulf (1)
- Entergy - River Bend (1)
- Exelon Victoria Cy, TX (2)
- Detroit Edison Fermi (1)
? - indicates COL application submitted
6COL Applications - Other Design Centers
- ABWR
- NRG South Texas (2)
- EPR
- Unistar Calvert Cliffs (1)
- Ameren Callaway (1)
- Unistar Nine Mile Point (1)
- PPL Bell Bend (1)
- AEH Bruneau (1)
- Amarillo Amarillo (1)
- APWR
- Luminant Comanche Peak (2)
- Total new applications (including
unannounced) - 23 applications for 34 units
Source NRC website
7Early Site Permit
- Applicant designates a site for one or more
reactors - NRC review and approval prior to COL application
- Intended to reduce uncertainty by resolving many
site issues prior to commitment of construction
resources - Includes
- Safety analysis for bounding reactor design
- Environmental Report
- Information on emergency management
- Site redress plan
- Valid for as long as 20 years
- Some uncertainty as to finality
8Design Certification
- Provides for NRC approval of standard plant
design - Design can be implemented by utility with
significantly reduced uncertainty - Limits variability to
- Small number of standard designs
- Relatively minor site-specific changes
- Limits uncertainty by resolving significant
number of safety review issues - Valid for 15 years
- Some uncertainty as to finality
9Combined License
- Permits licensee to construct and operate a plant
- Subject to Inspections, Tests, Analyses, and
Acceptance Criteria (ITAAC) and other
confirmatory processes - May reference an ESP, a certified design,
neither, or both - COL application
- Addresses changes to or exceptions from certified
design (if used) - Confirms design fits within ESP plant
parameters envelope (if used) - Information that was not provided as part of ESP
or DC - ITAAC confirmed by NRC as complete during
construction - Reduces uncertainty by
- Resolving siting and design issues (if ESP or DC
used) - Reducing significant financial risk by resolving
construction and operation issues at front end
10Public Involvement
- 10 CFR Part 52 is streamlines regulatory process,
but does not limit public participation - Interactions open to the public, applications are
publicly docketed - Hearings and public comments are provided for at
each step - Early Site Permit subject to hearing process for
construction permits - Design certification
- Issued via rule change
- Rulemaking typically occurs over a year,
including public comments on proposed rule change - Legislative hearing may also be held
- Combined license proceeding
- Subject to formal hearing requirements
- Also subject to opportunity for hearing on ITAAC
compliance - ESPs, DCs, and COLs also referred to Advisory
Committee on Reactor Safeguards for review
11Economic Drivers for New Nuclear Option
- Increase in demand
- Need for baseload capacity
- Emissions requirements
- Natural gas price volatility
12Widening Gap Between Those WhoFavor and Oppose
Nuclear Energy
Source NEI
13Nuclear energy may just be the energy source
that can save our planet from another possible
disaster Nuclear energy is the only large-scale,
cost-effective energy source that can reduce
CO2 emissions while continuing to satisfy a
growing demand for power. And these days it can
do so safely.
14Nuclear energy may just be the energy source
that can save our planet from another possible
disaster Nuclear energy is the only large-scale,
cost-effective energy source that can reduce
CO2 emissions while continuing to satisfy a
growing demand for power. And these days it can
do so safely.
Dr. Patrick Moore, leading ecologist and
environmentalist, founder of Greenpeace, Chair
and Chief Scientist of Greenspirit, co-chair,
Clean and Safe Energy Coalition Going Nuclear
A Green Makes the Case The Washington Post April
16, 2006
15The only technology ready to fill the gap and
stop the carbon dioxide loading of the atmosphere
is nuclear power. It also has advantages
besides the overwhelming one of being
atmospherically clean. The industry is mature,
with a half-century of experience and ever
improved engineering behind it. Nuclear power
plants are very high yield, with low-cost fuel.
16The only technology ready to fill the gap and
stop the carbon dioxide loading of the atmosphere
is nuclear power. It also has advantages
besides the overwhelming one of being
atmospherically clean. The industry is mature,
with a half-century of experience and ever
improved engineering behind it. Nuclear power
plants are very high yield, with low-cost fuel.
- Stewart Brand, noted environmentalist and
founder, publisher, and editor of The Whole Earth
Catalog - Environmental Heresies
- Technology Review (Massachusetts Institute of
Technology) - May 2005
17Only one immediately available source does not
cause global warming, and that is nuclear energy.
Nuclear energy from its start in 1952 has proved
to be the safest of all energy sources.
18Only one immediately available source does not
cause global warming, and that is nuclear energy.
Nuclear energy from its start in 1952 has proved
to be the safest of all energy sources.
- James Lovelock, leading environmentalist,
creator of the Gaia theory - Nuclear Power Is the Only Green Solution
- The Independent (U.K.)
- May 24, 2004
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21Rhode Island
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23William States Lee III Nuclear Station
24Duke Energy Nuclear
Davie County (possible future ESP)
Davie County (ESP)
Davie County (ESP)
McGuire Nuclear
McGuire Nuclear
McGuire Nuclear
Station
Station
Station
Oconee
Oconee
Oconee
Nuclear
Nuclear
Nuclear
Station
Station
Station
Catawba Nuclear
Catawba Nuclear
Catawba Nuclear
Oconee County (possible future ESP)
Station
Station
Station
Lee Nuclear
Lee Nuclear
Lee Nuclear
(COL)
(COL)
(COL)
25Lee Nuclear Site
- Historical
- Cherokee Site initial development as part of
P-81 project initiated in early 1970s - NRC EIS (NUREG-75/089) and Construction Permit
issued in 1975 - Unit 1 partially constructed Unit 2 largely
excavated Unit 3 partially excavated - Duke Power cancelled Cherokee Project 1983
- Sold property to private party
- Site Partially Developed including
- Nuclear Service Water Pond
- Cooling Water Sedimentation Basin
- Excavation of Power Block
- Partial Construction of Unit 1 Containment
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27Lee Nuclear Site
- Duke announced in 2005-2006
- Intent to pursue COL for new plant
- Reactor technology selection (AP1000)
- Site Selection (reacquired former Cherokee site)
- Construction plans for two units
- No decision to construct has been made
- Site characterization commenced 2005
- Demolition of previous facilities underway
- Base slab of Cherokee Unit 1 legacy structures to
remain in-place as fill concrete
28Previous Warehouse
Broad River
Previous Nuclear Service Water Pond
Previous 3-Unit Excavation
Sedimentation Pond
The Once and Future Cherokee Site
29Warehouse
Broad River
2-Unit Excavation
Makeup Pond B
Makeup Pond A
Lee
The Once and Future Cherokee Site
30Adaptation of WS Lee AP1000s to Former Cherokee
Site
WLS Unit 2
WLS Unit 1
31Lee Nuclear Site As-Found Condition
32Site Cleanup
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34Dewatering Site Characterization
35Environmental Sampling
36Remediation
37Project Schedule
- Project Initiation Early 2005
- COLA Submittal 12/13/2007
- Acceptance Review End 02/25/2008
- Issuance of NRC Schedule 03/31/2008
- COL Issuance 2011-2012
- Commercial Operations 2016-2018
38NuStart Energy
- Consortium partnering to keep nuclear generation
part of national energy strategy - Deliverable 2 Combined Construction and
Operating Licenses (COLs) - Westinghouse AP1000 at Bellefonte (Scottsboro,
AL) - GE ESBWR at Grand Gulf (Port Gibson, MS)
- Complete design certification of AP1000 and ESBWR
- Reduce cost uncertainty
- Finalize AP1000 and ESBWR designs
- Establish competitive pricing and contractual
terms - Quantify going forward OM costs
- Validate construction costs and schedule
assumptions
39AP1000 Design-Centered Work Group
40Key Issues
- NRC acceptance issues
- NRC review capabilities
- Technical issues
- Programmatic issues
- Standardization
41Challenges and Opportunities
- Design-centered approach to COL application
development - Incorporation by reference and DCD finality
- ITAAC closeout
- 10 CFR 52 rule change
- SRP revision (NUREG-0800)
- COL Application Guidance (RG-1.206)
- Infrastructure
- Supply chain
- Human capital
- Cost, schedule, short-term impact on shareholders
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