Cutting Carbs in the Transportation Sector

1
Cutting Carbs in the Transportation Sector
California ITS Annual Meeting December 2008
David Lively Office of System Management
Planning California Department of Transportation
2
CaliforniaEnvironmental Stewardship

• Long-standing reputation for leadership in
  environmental protection. 
• New level of commitment to environmental
  stewardship.
• New intensity and focus on reduction of
  greenhouse gas emissions.

3
Californias View on Climate Change

• Concern with real impact of changing climate on
  the socioeconomic viability and natural resources
  of the state.
• Increased risk for public health.
• The costs of inaction significantly out weights
  the cost of mitigating greenhouse gases.
• Policies that protect the climate have multiple
  benefits.

4
States Role in Climate Change

• Global warming requires a
  concerted effort at the national
  and international levels.
•  States and regions can be instrumental in
  developing models and lay
  the ground for broader action.  

5
California Climate Initiatives

• SB 527 Established the California Climate
  Action Registry to certify GHG emissions.
• AB 1497 Fleet Average Emission Standards.
  Vehicle Emissions Standards CA is trying to
  obtain a U.S. EPA waiver to allow California to
  implement its stringent tailpipe emissions
  standards signed into law in 2002.
•  Executive Order S-3-05 Established GHG
  emission reduction targets and the Climate Action
  Team.
•    1990 levels by 2020 (25 below business as
  usual)
•    80 below 1990 levels by 2050.
•  AB 32 The Global Warming
• Solutions Act of 2006 Establishing a
• first-in-the-world comprehensive program of
  regulatory and
• market mechanisms to achieve real,quantifiable,
  cost-effective reductions of greenhouse gases.
•  Executive Order S-20-06 Directs State agencies
  to implement AB 32.
• Low Carbon Fuel Standard
• Not a comprehensive list of initiatives.

6
State Climate Action PlanGHG Reduction Estimates
by Different Elements2020 Target
      

• Total Reduction of 174 MMT of GHG by 2020, or
• Restoring emissions level to 1990

7
California 2004 Emissions by Sector(480 MMT
CO2E)
Transportation 38
8
Transportation Contribution
50-60 MMT Reduction from Transportation, about
30
Early Actions 42 MMT
Adopted Strategies 30 MMT
Scoping Plan 102 MMT
GHG Reduction Plan 174 MMT
9
The Role of Transportation
Caltrans is playing significant role in
supporting Californias Climate Action Program
(AB 32 and Gov.s Initiative). Caltrans
Believes It is possible to reduce GHG emissions
while expanding and creating an efficient and
effective transportation system.
10
California Department of TransportationClimate
Action Program
Long Term concern with the vulnerability of
transportation facilities and adaptation measures
due to climate change.
San Francisco - Oakland Bay Area One meter sea
level rise scenario
Land Slide - Humboldt County, CA, State Highway
96
11
California Department of TransportationClimate
Action Program
Short Term concern with the impact of
transportation on climate and mitigation measures.
12
California Department of TransportationClimate
Action Program
Objective     Stabilize CO2 Emission from
Transportation Approach     Vehicle and Fuel
Technology     Transportation System
Efficiency     Greening and Resource Conservation
13
GHG Reduction PremiseTransportation Systems
OperationsPotential CO2 Saving Capacity - 2020
Targets

• Technology Systems
• Fuel Vehicle Technology
• 25 35

• Infrastructure
• Highway Roadway Network
• Alternative modes Networks
• Freight and Ports
• Urban Design/Land Use
• 10 - 15

• People/Community
• Driving Behavior
• Modal Preference
• Vehicle Purchase Behavior
• Housing/Job Location Preferences
• Conservation

Greening Resource Conservation
5 - 10
14
Technology is Important
Transportation nearly entirely depends on fossil
fuel (97). Direct combustion of fuels accounts
for 2/3 of primary energy use GHG emissions.
Number of vehicles projected to triple by 2050.
15
Fuel and Vehicle Technology

• Fortunately, emerging technologies can help meet
  the climate challenge.
• Greater vehicle fuel economy (CAFÉ).
• Introduction of new fuel and vehicle types
  (i.e. biofuels, electricity, hydrogen, fossil
  fuel/low carbon).
• Combination of both fuel and vehicle changes
  (i.e. more efficient hybrid vehicles).

16
Californias Motor Vehicle Greenhouse Gas
Emissions Regulations Overview
17
Transportation System Efficiency

• Institutional change Integrating GHG reduction
  measures into transportation investment decisions
  (mainstreaming).

• 2) Strategic Planning Multi Modal,
  Performance-Based
• Short
• Term
• Long
• Term

VMT/CO2 Management

• Congestion Relief
• Operational Improvements/ITS
• Alternative Modes
• Demand Management
• Urban Design/Land Use

VMT Reduction
18
Governors Strategic Growth Plan
107 billion transportation infrastructure
investment The SGP Targets Performance-Based   S
ignificant decrease in congestion below todays
levels   600 miles new commuter lines   150
increase in intercity rail ridership   310,000
more transit ridership   550 new HOV lanes
miles   750 new highway lane miles   8500 miles
of separated bike and pedestrian paths
19
Resource ConservationGreening Initiative
Reducing GHG Emissions through Greening and
Energy Efficiency

• Cement Standard/ Concrete Mix
• HWY Lighting
• Green Building
• Landscaping

20
GHG Stabilization Wedges
SGP Greening 18.7 MMT
Projected CO2
CO2 (MMT)
Fuel Technology 40 - 50 MMT
YEAR
21
Cutting Carbs in the Transportation Sector
California ITS Annual Meeting December 2008
David Lively Office of System Management
Planning California Department of Transportation