Higher Education

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Higher Educations Crystal Ball Preparing for
2018
Deborah A. Santiago, PhD Excelencia in
Education May 20, 2008
EASFAA Portland, Maine
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What to look for?
-Shifting paradigm for higher education -higher
education resistant to change Will you be
resistant to change?
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Sources
-National Center for Education Statistics -Spellin
gs Commission -The Futures Project -Madame
Deborah
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What does the future of higher education look
like?
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More diverse enrollment
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to
2016
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Enrollment of Hispanics will continue to grow
faster
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to
2016
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Enrollment of older students will grow faster
than traditional
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to
2016
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Women continue to outpace men in undergraduate
enrollment
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to
2016
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More students going full-time
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to
2016
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Growth of private institutions will continue to
outpace public institutions
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), Projections of Education Statistics to
2016
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Continuation of growing reliance on loans to pay
for college
Percentage of UG using loans to pay for college
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), National Postsecondary Aid Study (NPSAS)
2003-04 Undergraduate Students and unpublished
analysis
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Increasing - costs - public scrutiny -
capacity limitations - market competition
Other changes to higher educations future
Source National Center for Education Statistics
(NCES), National Postsecondary Aid Study (NPSAS)
2003-04 Undergraduate Students and unpublished
analysis
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What does the future hold for higher education?

• Policy issues
• Access
• Affordability
• Accountability
• Market structure vs. public good

TENSION in trying to balance disparate areas!!
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What does the future hold for access to higher
education?

• More diverse student body for outreach and
  service
• Challenge to status quo and standard operating
  practice
• Who takes responsibility for increasing access?

Market structure for-profit institutions see
potential of enrolling Latinos and African
American students
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What does the future hold for accountability in
higher education?

• More demand by politicians for proof of public
  return on investment while investing less
• Challenge to status quo and standard operating
  practice
• How balance access and accountability?

Market structure raise admission standards to
increase graduation rates and penalize
institutions with low success rates
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What does the future hold for affordability in
higher education?

• Increasing costs and competition
• Complexity of financial aid system
• How balance access, accountability, and
  affordability?

Market structure cost containment and increased
productivity
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What Excelencia will do to address the future of
higher education

• Ignorance abatement on Latinos in higher
  education (Research)
• Compendium of promising practices (Action)
• Demonstration projects to show how institutions
  can serve (Action)

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What will YOU do to address the future of higher
education?
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For more information please visit
www.EdExcelencia.org