Key Technology Trajectories

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Key Technology Trajectories
Prague, October 22nd, 2004
Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco_at_tilab.com
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Key Technology Trajectories

• Approach
• Trajectories
• Disruptions

Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco_at_tilab.com
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The Web Site
The FOUR LAYERS
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Looking into Technologies

• How would a Tech. evolve?
• How is it related to the whole?

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Looking into Technologies
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Looking into Technologies
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Looking into Technologies

• How would a Tech. evolve?
• How is it related to the whole?
• What are the crucial impacts? (passive/active)

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Technology Trajectories

• Language Understanding
• Embedded System
• Multimode
• Person Identification
• Pin Pointing
• Printing Atoms
• Processing
• Profiling
• Seamless Ubiquitous Access
• Security
• Sensing
• Shadowing
• Storage
• Virtual Presence
• Terminals/Wearable

• 3D Imaging
• Artificial Life
• Broadband
• Communications
• Content Creation
• Data Capture
• Encryption
• Gaming Platforms
• Gaming Storage
• Human Interfacing
• Image Recognition
• Information Coding
• Information Displaying
• Information Retrieval
• Interactivity

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Technology Trajectories
Full discussion for Telecom Related Trajectories
in HEIDELBERG, Germany November 9th , 2004
You are invited to join!
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Technologies Trajectories Artificial Life

• Robotics
• Virtual Reality
• Self creation assembling / replicating
• Self adaptation reconfiguration/healing

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Artificial Life - Robotics

• Production oriented

• Towards increased flexibility
• Support variety of application fields
• Today Europe, USA, Japan
• Tomorrow Varies depending on appl.field

Trajectories
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Artificial Life - Robotics

• Production oriented
• Autonomous

• Towards real independence
• Support remote exploration, AmI
• Today Japan, USA, Europe
• Tomorrow USA, Japan, ?

Trajectories
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Artificial Life - Robotics

• Production oriented
• Autonomous
• Symbiotic

• Towards closer, spontaneous interactions,
  seamless integration, smarter robots
• Support augmented life, healthcare, prosthetics
• Today USA
• Tomorrow USA, ?

Trajectories
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Artificial Life - Robotics

• Production oriented
• Autonomous
• Symbiotic
• Social

• Towards seamless interaction
• Entertainment, Education,
• Today USA
• Tomorrow USA, Japan

Trajectories
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Artificial Life - Robotics

• Production oriented
• Autonomous
• Symbiotic
• Social
• MicroRobots

• Towards better movement capabilities
  nanoRobots for health care
• Support ambient exploration, sensing
• Today USA (nanoRobots), Europe
• Tomorrow ?

Trajectories
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Artificial Life - Robotics

• Production oriented
• Autonomous
• Symbiotic
• Social
• MicroRobots
• Swarm (Physical, Sw)

• Towards collective autonomous intelligence
• Support ambient sensing, Meta-Info harvest
• Today USA
• Tomorrow USA

Trajectories
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Disruptions Looking for x
X
Disruption
Time
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Looking for x in processing
?
Smart Obj. GRID
volume
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Looking for x in health care
?
Understanding Specificity
Understanding Symptoms
KH-Focus
Understanding Causes
Time
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Looking for x in health care
Understanding Specificity
Symbioses
Bio-Substitution
Monitoring
KH-Focus
Drug syntheses
Fast Mapping
Human Genoma
Time
Disruptions, signpost
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Looking for x in health care
KH-Focus
Time
Disruptions, signpost
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Disruptions

• Transformation of Products into Services
• The Disappearance of the Computer
• Ubiquitous seamless connectivity
• Changing Traffic Patterns
• Infinite Bandwidth
• Disposable Products
• Autonomous Systems
• From Content to Packaging
• The emergence of Virtual Infrastructures

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From Products to Services
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From Products to Services

• Technological Enabling Factors
• Embedding of communications capabilities
• Rising of profiling
• Cheaper production processes

Tech. Trajectories

• Embedded Systems
• Seamless Ubiquitotus Access
• Communications

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From Products to Services

• Technological Enabling Factors
• Market Driven Factors
• Products becoming commodities
• Loss of differentiation capabilities
• Increased copycat possibilities

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From Products to Services

• Technological Enabling Factors
• Market Driven Factors
• Industry Impact
• Transformation into service companies
• Shortening of products life cycle
• Strong increase in call centers
• Automated customised assistance
• Increased globalisation of the market
• Restructuring of the value chain

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From Products to Services

• Technological Enabling Factors
• Market Driven Factors
• Industry Impact
• Market Sectors Affected
• Health care
• Entertainment
• Transportation
• Consumer appliances
• Education

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From Products to Services

• Technological Enabling Factors
• Market Driven Factors
• Industry Impact
• Market Sectors Affected
• Likeliness to happen
• Disruption is already occurring
• Connectivity bundled as a service feature
• Appliance bundled in connectivity

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Key Technology Trajectories
Prague, October 22nd, 2004
Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco_at_tilab.com