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Why Representative precursor measurements in NCore Level 2 Sites

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Title: Why Representative precursor measurements in NCore Level 2 Sites


1
Why?Representative precursor measurements in
NCore Level 2 Sites
2
Design Drivers
  • Air program management framework trends
  • Future Technical Assessment Trends
  • Multiple objectives/data uses and applications
  • Spatial/geographic attributes
  • Clients and partnerships

3
Changes In Air Management Program framework
  • Historical and current
  • Implementing 1990 CAAA requirements
  • Single pollutant program focus
  • Air only, little consideration for secondary or
    ecosystem welfare impacts (other than
    visibility).
  • Major emphasis on using data for compliance
    (NAAQS comparisons) and front loading strategy
    assessment efforts (e.g., relying on building of
    an emission reduction strategy through modeling
    with little effort on checking progress

4
Changes In Air Management Program framework, cont.
  • Drivers for future AQ management practices
  • National Academy of Sciences 2004 report Air
    Quality Management in the United States
  • Clean Air Act Advisory Committee (CAAAC)
    technical workgroup recommendations
  • Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee
    subcommittee on ambient monitoring
  • Build a multiple pollutant air management
    framework, along with
  • Muti-media Include ecosystems and rural impacts
  • Emphasis on program accountability
  • Implies detecting meaningful signals associated
    with program implementation

5
Technical Assessment Trends
  • Linking Air Quality models and observations as a
    basis for assessment and benefits analysis
  • EPA-CDC EPHT/PHASE program
  • Merging remote sensing and land based data to
    fill in spatial (horizontal and vertical) and
    temporal gaps
  • Merging all observations systems with air quality
    models to fill in space, time and composition gaps

6
Combining Air Quality Data
July 21, 2001 Ozone LevelsKriging vs Combined
Data (CMAQ and Observations)
Combined Data Surface
Cat
Kriged Surface
Cat
7
Partnerships in Characterizing Air Quality
8
Future Air Quality Predictions Will Likely
Benefit from Assimilation of Satellite
Observations to provide Modeling Constraints and
Merging of Global and Regional Chemical Transport
Models
Public Impact
CMAQ Regional Prediction
Global Assimilation
Scientific Understanding
Satellite Data Products
Current research is being conducted with a
nested global- to regional-scale meteorological
and chemical modeling system for assimilating and
predicting the chemical state of the atmosphere
(air quality).
9
Linking Satellite optical depth, LIDAR scattering
and land based PM mass observations Sulfate
transport to Maryland24 August 2004
10
Satellites Track Long Range TransportAsian Dust
Storm Event April 2001

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NASA TOMS
11
Quantifying Impacts
Szykman et al., 2002, U.S. EPA 2004
12
Existing NASA Satellite Tropospheric Column Data
Provides a Multi-Pollutant Synoptic Scale View
Present state Varying scales (greater spatial
resolution in near future) Once daily (temporal
resolution) Total column (vertical
resolution) Tropospheric column is calculated
using multiple types of measurements.
13
NAS, CAAAC CASAC, OMB
GEOSS
NOAA
PM research
EPA
NASA
Eco-informatic Test beds
PHASE
CDC
Organizations
Private Sector
NPS
AQ forecasting
Programs
Risk/exposure assessments
States/Tribes/RPOs Interstate orgs.
USDA
Accountability/ indicators
NAAQS setting
DOE
NARSTO
Coordination Cluster Mess
Enviros
SIPs, nat. rules designations
Academia
NADP
Satellite data
Intensive studies
IMPROVE, NCore PM monit, PAMS
PM centers
Supersites
Data sources
CASTNET
Health/mort. records
Other networks SEARCH, IADN..
Lidar systems
Emissions Meteorology
CMAQ GEOS-CHEM
14
Brief Background Strategy objectives
  • Overall Create a more responsive and value added
    network
  • Specific Transition to a true multiple pollutant
    measurement (aerosols, gases, precursors and end
    products, criteria and non criteria) framework
    emphasizing rapid, near continuous data
    delivery.that supports (equally)
  • AIRNow (and general delivery of data to public)
  • Review/Development of NAAQS/related health
    studies
  • Accountability for IAQR and other major programs
    (and AQ trends)
  • Strategy development (SIPs, IAQR, etc.), e.g.,
    model evaluation
  • Compliance (e.g., NAAQS comparisons for
    attainment/nonattainment)
  • Science support.(methods, atm. processes, health
    research)
  • Ecosystem assessment (new)
  • From, a historically layered single pollutant
    design emphasizing (and strongly perceived) as
    only serving a compliance objective.

15
NCore Measurements
Level 1. 3-10 Master Sites Comprehensive
Measurements, Advance Methods Serving Science and
Technology Transfer Needs
Level 2 75 Multi-pollutant (MP) Sites,Core
Species Plus Leveraging from PAMS, Speciation
Program, Air Toxics
L1
Level 3 Single Pollutant Sites (e.g.gt 500 sites
each for O3 and PM2.5 Mapping Support
Minimum Core Level 2 Measurements PM2.5 FRM,
HNO3, NH3, Continuous N,SO2,CO, PM2.5, PM10, O3
Meteorology (T,RH,WS,WD)
16
Geographic/Spatial considerations
  • Emphasis on representative, not local scale
    locations
  • Better to detect signal change (less influenced
    by major nearby sources)..
  • program accountability
  • Linkage with remote sensing systems
  • Appropriate for model evaluation and integration
  • Reflects recent basis for health studies design
    used in setting national standards
  • Logical role for national program
  • Applies to urban and rural/regional locations
  • Diversity in air quality and population regimes
  • Adds statistical power to health effects studies
    attempting to tease out confouding pollutants
  • Representative regional locations
  • Intra- and inter-regional transport
  • Intra- and intercontinental transport
  • Important background/gap information
  • Support ecosystem assessments

17
Why co-located multiple-pollutants
  • Air program management
  • Monitoring leads development of a multiple
    pollutant framework by developing necessary
    infrastructure
  • Health effects studies
  • CO, SO2, O3, PM, N may/may not have interacting
    effects thus need to delineate individual and
    combined effects through multiple air quality
    regimes
  • Air quality model evaluation and SA modeling
  • Multiple, co-located species restricts degrees of
    freedom in model evaluation-more
  • SA techniques are based on original source
    emissions which are multiple pollutant in nature
  • Program assessment/accountability
  • Groupings of species indicative of emission
    reduction patterns
  • E.g., CO/NOy (and/or SO2)for stationary vs.mobile
    combustion sources

18
Why specific pollutants at representative
levelsthe planet (its atmosphere, organisms
and surfaces) is made of carbon, nitrogen,sulfur
and hydrogen
  • NOy
  • Best indicator for NOx reduction strategies
    (Includes transformation products)
  • Valuable for ecosystem assessments as it allows
    (with particle nitrate and precip-N) mass balance
    accounting
  • Key for model evaluation and critical parameter
    for observation based models
  • Supports NO2 estimates for health effects studies
    (With NO and HNO3)
  • CO
  • Key for model evaluation
  • Surrogate for many combustion related HAPs
    (Provides diurnal patterns)
  • Included in health effects studies
  • General indicator for program assessment,
    emission changes
  • SO2
  • Key for model evaluation, especially SO2 to
    sulfate formation characterization
  • Included in health effects studies
  • Indicator for program accountability with othe
    species (CO, NOy)
  • HNO3
  • Key model evaluation parameter
  • Indicator for observational based models
  • NH3

?
19
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