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ATMS 316 Mesoscale Meteorology

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Title: ATMS 316 Mesoscale Meteorology


1
ATMS 316- Mesoscale Meteorology
  • Packet4
  • Interesting things happen at the boundaries, or
    at the interface
  • Cold air, warm air

http//www.ucar.edu/communications/factsheets/Torn
adoes.html
2
ATMS 316- Mesoscale Meteorology
  • Outline
  • Background
  • Cold fronts
  • Introduction
  • Data analysis
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Mesoscale frontogenesis
  • Conclusions

3
ATMS 316- Background
  • Turbulence and fluxes of heat, momentum, and
    moisture
  • The surface is quite often the most important
    source and sink of important atmospheric
    properties (heat, momentum, moisture)
  • How do these properties get transported?
    Turbulence (a.k.a. friction)
  • Scales
  • 200 m, BL turbulence
  • 20 m, surface-layer turbulence
  • 2 m, inertial subrange turbulence
  • 2 mm, fine-scale turbulence

Wallace Hobbs, p. 381-389
4
ATMS 316- Background
  • Turbulence and fluxes of heat, momentum, and
    moisture
  • Example, heat flux (W m-2)
  • FH is the kinematic heat flux K m s-1

Wallace Hobbs, p. 381-389
5
ATMS 316- Background
  • Turbulence and fluxes of heat, momentum, and
    moisture
  • Turbulence closure problem
  • Always more equations than unknowns
  • Parameterize approximate remaining unknowns as a
    function of the knowns

Wallace Hobbs, p. 381-389
6
ATMS 316- Background
  • Turbulence and fluxes of heat, momentum, and
    moisture
  • Turbulence closure problem
  • Local, first-order closure
  • K-theory
  • Gradient-transfer theory
  • Eddy-diffusivity theory
  • Mixing length theory

Wallace Hobbs, p. 381-389
7
ATMS 316- Background
  • Turbulence and fluxes of heat, momentum, and
    moisture
  • Turbulence closure problem
  • zeroth-order closure
  • Similarity theory
  • Mean flow state is parameterized directly
  • turbulent fluxes are related to simple scaling
    parameters (friction velocity)

Wallace Hobbs, p. 381-389
8
ATMS 316- Background
  • Turbulence and fluxes of heat, momentum, and
    moisture
  • Bulk aerodynamic formulae, surface fluxes

Wallace Hobbs, p. 381-389
9
ATMS 316- Background
  • Fronts, a review

http//www.bsmo.co.uk/newsfeatures/beginnersguides
/guides/coldfrontsimulation/1.htm
10
Baroclinic zone
  • A region of strong thermal contrast
  • Significant horizontal temperature gradient

N
E
T1
Baroclinic zone
T2
T3
T4
T5
11
Observed StructureCarlson 1991
  • A zone of stronger
  • Temperature, moisture, and vertical motion
    gradients normal to the frontal boundary on the
    cold side of the front
  • Frontal gradients that appear discontinuous from
    those of the synoptic-scale background
  • Relative minimum in pressure
  • Relative maximum of vorticity along the front
  • Zone of confluence along the front
  • Strong vertical and lateral (cyclonic) wind shear
  • Rapid changes in cloud cover and precipitation

12
Temperature Discontinuities
0th order
T4
T5
T3
T4
T2
T3
z
T1
T2
N
T1 gt T2 gt T3 gt T4 gt T5 gt T6
1st order
T6
T5
T4
T3
T2
T1
13
Frontal Surface
14
Transition (Frontal) Zone
15
Frontogenesis
  • Defined as
  • Total derivative we are following a parcel.
  • Frontogenesis does not imply a strengthening
    front.
  • Frontolysis does not imply a weakening front.
  • Response is dependent upon changes in a parcels
    temperature gradient not changes in the frontal
    temperature gradient.

Schumacher
16
Miller (1948) frontogenesis
  • Three dimensional equation (from Bluestein,
    1993)

Terms 1, 5, 9 Diabatic terms. Terms 2, 3, 6, 7
Horizontal deformation terms Terms 4, 8
Tilting terms Terms 10, 11 Vertical
deformation terms Terms 12 Vertical
divergence term To focus on changes in the
horizontal thermal gradient, well ignore terms
9-12.
Schumacher
17
Diabatic terms
  • Term 1 Term 5
  • 12Z 21Z
  • ?/?x(dQ/dt) gt 0, ??/?x gt 0 gt F gt 0
  • Important with differential cloud cover, snow
    cover gradients, and land/water interfaces.
  • Example Sea breeze front, coastal front.

Schumacher
18
Tilting Terms
  • Term 4 Term 8

?w/?y gt 0, ??/?z gt 0, ??/?y lt 0 gt F gt 0
?w/?y lt 0, ??/?z gt 0, ??/?y lt 0 gt F lt 0 From
Bluestein, 1993
Schumacher
19
Tilting terms
  • Needs to be considered when
  • Above the surface
  • Near mountains
  • Change in slope of terrain
  • Change in wind speed along the terrain
  • Example
  • Front approaching Appalachians results in
    prefrontal downslope which can increase the
    cross-front temperature gradient.

Schumacher
20
Horizontal convergence/confluence terms
  • Term 2 Term 7
  • ?u/?x lt 0
  • ??/?x gt 0
  • F gt 0
  • Important around most fronts, troughs and outflow
    boundaries.

Schumacher
21
Horizontal shear
  • Term 3 Term 6
  • ?v/?x gt 0
  • ??/?y lt 0
  • ??/?x gt 0
  • F gt 0
  • Important around fronts, outflow boundaries, and
    troughs.

Schumacher
22
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Structure of a Cold Front Over the Ocean
  • Nicholas A. Bond and Robert G. Fleagle
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society, 1985
  • p. 739-759

23
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Introduction
  • Purpose
  • Determine the kinematic and thermodynamic
    structure of a cold front
  • Determine the magnitude and distribution of
    advective processes, condensational heating, and
    turbulent mixing in the vicinity of the front

24
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Introduction
  • Fronts first discussed by J. Bjerknes (1919)
  • Dynamics of cold fronts is complex
  • Not yet entirely understood
  • Dramatic weather associated with cold fronts

25
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Introduction
  • Observational studies
  • Radar-based
  • Precipitation structures
  • Wind structures
  • Meteorological tower

26
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Introduction
  • Dynamical studies of fronts and frontogenesis
  • Sawyer (1956)
  • Eliassen (1959, 1962)
  • Hoskins and Bretherton (1972)
  • Model-based
  • Blumen (1980)
  • Keyser and Anthes (1982)

27
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Introduction
  • Storm Transfer and Response Experiment (STREX)
  • Gulf of Alaska
  • Autumn of 1980
  • Two research aircraft and a research ship (Papa)
    in addition to usual buoy and coastal obs

http//www.illywhacker.com/images/maps/map1003.gif
28
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Introduction
  • Study was unique
  • Carried out over the open ocean
  • Minimal topographic influence
  • Weak ocean surface temperature gradients
  • High resolution observations

29
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Data analysis
  • Synoptic scale
  • 25 soundings
  • 11 obs from ships of opportunity
  • Mesoscale
  • High resolution flight-level measurements by
    research aircraft

http//www.omao.noaa.gov/newsevents.html
30
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Data analysis
  • Synoptic analysis
  • 15, 16 Nov 1980 case study
  • 115 km horizontal grid spacing
  • Objective analysis of four fields at 50 mb
    intervals from the surface to 500 mb

31
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Data analysis
  • Synoptic analysis
  • Separate analyses in pre- and post-frontal
    regions
  • Avoid smoothing gradients in analyses
  • Geopotential heights calculated using hypsometric
    equation
  • Ageostrophic components found by subtracting
    geostrophic components from objectively analysed
    winds

32
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
cross front (x-direction)
  • Data analysis
  • Synoptic analysis
  • To improve effective resolution in cross-frontal
    direction, observations were collapsed onto a
    single plane normal to the front
  • Variations along the front were considered less
    significant

along front (y-direction)
33
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Data analysis
  • Mesoscale analysis
  • Based on four crossings by aircraft at 49oN
  • Surface observations made from the ship
    Oceanographer were transformed to a coordinate
    system relative to the front at 0000 UTC 16 Nov.

(flight and dropsonde data indicated by dots)
34
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Data analysis
  • Mesoscale analysis
  • How to align aircraft flight data
  • Align maximum vertical velocities from 300, 950,
    and 2100m altitude P-3 crossings
  • 4500m crossing was made to conform to 2338 UTC 15
    Nov. dropsonde data

35
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Data analysis
  • Mesoscale analysis
  • Observations projected onto a vertical
    cross-section normal to the front (x-direction)
  • Assumed variations in fields along the front were
    negligible
  • Concentrations of energy at horizontal scales of
    250 m and 2-3 km

36
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Data analysis
  • Mesoscale analysis
  • 700 m horizontal resolution, 12.5 mb (100 m)
    vertical resolution
  • Differences in aligned fields between aircraft
    and dropsonde data
  • 0.5oC, 1 m s-1 cross-front velocity, and 4 m s-1
    along-front velocity

37
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Coldest air south of 986 mb low centre
  • Geostrophic stretching deformation at 45oN
    contributing to frontogenesis
  • Stationary ridge along west coast of Canada

SLP, 1000-700 mb DZ 00 UTC 14 Nov 1980
38
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Substantial development of frontal system
  • New rapidly deepening low at 51oN 148oW
  • Two open waves along cold front

SLP, 1000-700 mb DZ 00 UTC 15 Nov 1980
39
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Front reaches its maximum strength
  • Northernmost open wave deepens 40 mb to 965 mb
  • Southernmost open wave deepens 25 mb to 981 mb
  • Strongest thermal gradients in region of
    intensive meteorological measurements
  • Little temp. gradient along-front

SLP, 1000-700 mb DZ 00 UTC 16 Nov 1980
40
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Front is oriented nearly vertically from surface
    to this level
  • Strong southerly flow ahead of front
  • Weak temp. gradients in cold air west of 100
    km-wide frontal zone

850 mb
(surface front shown)
41
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Broader frontal zone than at 850 mb
  • Frontal zone displaced 1o longitude to the west
    of 850 mb front
  • Temp. change across frontal zone (12 K) is a
    maximum at this level

700 mb
(surface front shown)
42
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Wind speeds greater than 50 m s-1 just ahead of
    the surface (sfc) front
  • Isotherms parallel to sfc front with maximum
    packing found 200 km behind sfc front
  • Short trough-ridge spacing ? large positive
    vorticity advection above sfc front

500 mb
(surface front shown)
43
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Narrow band of high cyclonic vorticity nearly
    vertical from sfc to 650 mb
  • Largest horizontal temp. gradient just behind or
    coincident with vorticity max.
  • Frontal zone ahead of vort. max. above 600 mb

44
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Strong convergence (conv) limited to lowest 150
    mb (max. at 950 mb)
  • Divergence (div) predominated above 600 mb in
    frontal zone
  • Low-level conv capped by small region of div at
    700 mb

45
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • Frontogenesis ? increasing temp. gradient across
    front, vertical shear in the along-front wind
    must increase to maintain thermal wind balance
  • Accelerations in along-front wind are accompanied
    by ageostrophic motions in the cross-front plane

http//www.aos.wisc.edu/aalopez/aos101/wk12.html
46
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • Secondary circulation equation for a 2D front

sum of terms involving ageostrophic motions
sum of frontogenetical processes
forcing ageostrophic motions
47
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • Secondary circulation equation for a 2D front

frontogenesis due to geostrophic motions
frontogenesis due to the effect of friction
frontogenesis due to cross-front gradients in
diabatic heating
48
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • LHS of Eq (1)
  • Ageostrophic flow CCW about positive center
  • Maximum in frontal zone at 700 mb results largely
    from second term on LHS of Eq (1)
  • Minimum ahead of front at 900 mb results largely
    from third term on LHS of Eq (1)

49
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • RHS of Eq (1) geostrophic forcing
  • Correspondence between Figs 6 7 indicates
    degree to which secondary circulations can be
    attributed to geostrophic forcing
  • Absence of strong geostrophic forcing near the
    surface isotherms parallel to front in Fig 2(c)

50
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • RHS of Eq (1) effect of turbulent stresses
  • Estimated from the results of Fleagle and Nuss
    (1985)
  • Assumed a linear stress profile from the surface
    to zero at 900 mb

http//faculty.eas.ualberta.ca/jdwilson/jdw46.html
51
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • RHS of Eq (1) cross-front gradient in diabatic
    heating, considered two processes
  • Turbulent flux of sensible heat in the boundary
    layer
  • Taken from Fleagle and Nuss (1985)
  • Condensation or evaporation
  • Determined from the change in mixing ratio
    following a parcel

http//www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/noor/au99op/dh306
0S.gif
52
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • RHS of Eq (1) sum
  • Friction term is dominant at the low-level
    negative max. at 900 mb
  • Condensational heating and cooling above the
    boundary layer accounts for the greater value of
    the positive center at 700 mb over the
    corresponding center in Fig. 7

53
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • RHS of Eq (1) sum
  • Boundary layer turbulent heat fluxes had a
    minimal effect on the synoptic-scale secondary
    circulation
  • 40 underestimate of intensity of negative
    maximum in circulation at 900 mb (Fig. 6)

Potential error sources obs. errors, poor data
coverage, bad parameterizations, finite
difference errors, poor assumptions, along-front
winds not in complete geostrophic balance
54
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Synoptic-scale frontogenesis
  • General agreement between Figs. 6 8
  • indicates that the dominant features of the
    synoptic-scale ageostrophic circulation at a
    strong front can be accounted for by the
    geostrophic forcing, plus the diabatic and
    frictional effects

55
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Flight-level pressure measurements indicate
    significant variations within a few kilometers of
    the front
  • Appear to be non-hydrostatic
  • Correlated with large vertical accelerations
  • Assumptions required in applying Eq (1) are not
    valid on the mesoscale near the front

56
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Flight-level pressure measurements indicate
    significant variations within a few kilometers of
    the front
  • Assumptions required in applying Eq (1) are not
    valid on the mesoscale near the front
  • Restrict mesoscale analyses to a kinematical and
    thermodynamical description rather than to a
    dynamical equation

57
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Equivalent potential temperature (qe) is used to
    represent a quasi-conservative thermodynamic
    variable
  • Air in the cross section is nearly saturated
  • Zero point on horizontal scale is set at the
    intersection of the surface with the 307 K qe
    contour

58
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Strongest horizontal gradients of q and qe were
    at 900 mb level
  • General pattern of qe suggests a gravity current
    (a.k.a. density current), propagation speed
  • calculation 14 to 18 m s-1
  • measured 17 m s-1

59
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Coordinate system moving with the front
    (front-relative)
  • Greatest inflow at low levels from warm side
  • Conv drops off rapidly with height above the nose
    of the front
  • Div found between 850 and 700 mb directly above
    sfc conv

cross-front wind
60
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Max. velocities greater than 40 m s-1 in warm air
    near 850 mb
  • Less prominent prefrontal low-level jet than in
    other studies
  • Relatively low velocities (30 m s-1) above and
    to the left of the nose of the front

along-front wind
61
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Max. updraft velocity at 875 mb, wider than in
    other studies
  • Downdraft of 1 m s-1 found 2 km behind the main
    updraft
  • Large discrepancy between estimated (using
    kinematic method) and measured vertical
    velocities

measured vertical velocities (m s-1)
62
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Large discrepancy between estimated (using
    kinematic method) and measured vertical
    velocities, caused by ??
  • Change in velocity field between successive
    crossing of the front
  • Mesoscale variation in the parallel wind
    component in the along-front direction
  • Frontal precipitation cores??

http//www.atmos.washington.edu/houze/improve2_su
mmaries/011128-011129images/ppi_rf_0111281803.gif
63
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • qe and streamlines relative to front

64
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Within the boundary layer, air flows toward the
    front from both the cold and warm sides
  • Warm air approaches more rapidly than the cold
    air
  • Converging cold and warm streams form an updraft
    within and east of region of greatest horizontal
    gradient of qe

65
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Converging cold and warm streams form an updraft
    within and east of region of greatest horizontal
    gradient of qe
  • Mass of water vapor carried upward from boundary
    layer by the updraft is equivalent to
    precipitation of 1 mm h-1 extending over a
    west-east span of 580 km

66
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Mass of water vapor carried upward from boundary
    layer by the updraft is equivalent to
    precipitation of 1 mm h-1 extending over a
    west-east span of 580 km
  • Frictional convergence accounted for nearly the
    entire updraft mass flux

67
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Above 875 mb the updraft undergoes strong
    horizontal div
  • Part of warm air flows eastward and continues
    slowly upward
  • Another part flows westward along sloping frontal
    surface
  • Gravity waves generated by Kelvin-Helmholtz
    instability in and above frontal zone?

68
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Two vortices in cold air behind front
  • Implies divergence in along-front direction
  • Cold air between vortices
  • Result of diabatic effects
  • Variations in qe in the along-frontal direction

69
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Converging boundary layer flow convective
    instability stronger on cold air side
  • Features similar to other frontal studies
  • Browning and Harold (1970)
  • Carbone (1982)
  • Shapiro (1984)

70
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Is qe conserved by individual air parcels?
  • If so, streamlines would be everywhere parallel
    to qe isotherms
  • Tend to be parallel in Fig. 13
  • Regions where they are not parallel

71
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
freezing level
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Regions where streamlines are not parallel to qe
    isotherms
  • Just below the freezing level
  • Cooling due to melting of ice crystals Carbone
    1982?
  • Near two cold air vortices
  • Turbulent mixing
  • Changes with respect to time
  • Variations in the y direction

72
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Regions where streamlines are not parallel to qe
    isotherms
  • Turbulent mixing
  • Not strong enough to account for all of the
    Lagrangian change in qe, especially in the
    regions of greatest gradients of qe
  • Other potential causes
  • Radiation, cooling by melting, warming or cooling
    by falling rain, obs and analysis errors,
    along-front variation (advection)

73
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale structure
  • Streamlines and qe isotherms are similar in their
    major features
  • Each of the fields provides confirmation of the
    other
  • Although (1) effects of change w/ time and (2)
    variation along the front have not been
    explicitly accounted for, they do not appear to
    have invalidated this analysis

74
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale frontogenesis
  • Frontogenesis (in the Lagrangian sense) for the
    case of uniformity along the front

confluence
tilting
diabatic processes other than condensation and
evaporation
describes the changes experienced by a parcel
and does not yield an estimate of the local
change in the strength of the front
75
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale frontogenesis
  • RHS Eq. (7), first term
  • No obvious pattern (noisy)
  • Third order derivatives

( frontogenesis)
76
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale frontogenesis
  • RHS Eq. (7), second term
  • Large positive values at 900 mb
  • Forced by maximum wind conv in boundary layer
    below 900 mb, on warm side of largest temperature
    gradient

( frontogenesis)
77
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale frontogenesis
  • RHS Eq. (7), third term
  • Negative on cold side of updraft core
  • Positive on warm side of updraft core
  • Sign is reversed at lower levels where the
    atmosphere was convectively unstable
  • Frontolysis in very stably stratified frontal
    inversion at 875 mb

( frontogenesis)
78
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale frontogenesis
  • RHS Eq. (7), sum
  • Confluence and tilting terms contribute equally
    to strong frontogenesis in the boundary layer
  • Tilting term is responsible for strong
    frontolysis above 900 mb
  • Turbulent mixing is the only strongly frontolytic
    process in the boundary layer near the front

( frontogenesis)
boundary layer mixing may be the primary process
which limits the sharpness of the front
79
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Mesoscale frontogenesis
  • Comparison to other studies

80
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Conclusions
  • Synoptic-scale analysis
  • Friction, condensational heating, and geostrophic
    forcing are all important in creating the
    ageostrophic circulation near the front
  • Friction is important in the boundary layer

81
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Conclusions
  • Mesoscale analysis
  • Vertical mass transport was highly concentrated
    within a zone about 2 km wide at the leading edge
    of the front
  • Gradients of temperature and humidity and
    associated frontogenetical processes were also
    concentrated near the leading edge of the front

82
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Conclusions
  • Mesoscale analysis
  • Frictional convergence in the boundary layer
    accounted for 80 of the observed updraft
  • Disclosed frontal features similar to gravity
    currents in the laboratory
  • Extension of the cold, dense air ahead of the
    cold air at the surface
  • Vertical undulations of the frontal surface
    behind the surface front

83
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Conclusions
  • Mesoscale analysis
  • Low-level frontal zone 2 km wide, width largely
    determined by
  • Confluent flow
  • Turbulent mixing
  • Tilting has a secondary effect in the surface
    layer stronger impact above the surface layer

84
ATMS 316- Cold Fronts
  • Which scenario?
  • Scenario1 synoptic scale forcing alone
  • Scenario2 synoptic scale dominates mesoscale
    forcing
  • Scenario3 weak synoptic scale forcing

http//www.jeffsweather.com/archives/2006/02/
17 February 2006 Cold front passage
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