You Have To Watch The US Dollar Chart Right Now…

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Commodity Trading Research
You Have To Watch The US Dollar Chart Right Now
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• Hi, My name is Justin and Im with Commodity
  Trading Research, today were reviewing our
  recently published article

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• You Have To Watch The US Dollar Chart Right Now

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• Without question, deciphering the stock markets
  next move has become a bit more challenging the
  past few months. A continuation of the
  multi-year equity market rally has been thrown
  into doubt

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• now that indices are sharply off the all-time
  highs set a few months ago. Of course, much of
  the recent pullback in stocks has been due to
  fear of rising interest rates

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• But with the US Federal Reserves rate
  guidancegettingmurkier by the day, investors
  simply have no idea if a raise is coming soon or
  not.

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• Trouble is, the US Dollar has risen dramatically
  the past year and a half on the premise the Fed
  would eventually send rates to higher ground.
• Take a look

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• As you can see, the US Dollar index rose sharply
  from mid-2014 to early 2015. But also notice that
  since April of this year the worlds reserve
  currency has traded in a rather choppy, sideways
  fashion.

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• And thats whatsreally catching my eye

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• Notice the compelling technical pattern
  developing in the US Dollar index. The green
  resistance trend line is declining towards the
  red support line at 94. Most technical analysts
  will agree this is a bullish continuation
  pattern.

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• If the Dollar were to break above the green
  resistance line, it would likely continue the
  uptrend from the 2014 breakout (purple line).
• Heres the deal

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• The rally scenario I just described will likely
  only happen if the Fed follows through on their
  plan to raise rates. But since global growth is
  currently showing signs of significant weakness,
  the odds

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• are growing quickly that the Fed will delay
  liftoff by a few months- and possibly longer.
  That means the Dollars continuation pattern
  above may morph into a topping pattern.

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• In other words, a break below the red line and
  the greenback could come quickly crashing back to
  earth.

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• If the dollar suffers a big downturn, it will
  have a huge impact on precious metals and other
  commodities

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• Gold has already jumped 60 an ounce in October
  as investors pile into the rate sensitive asset
  on hopes of delayed Fed action. Silver,
  platinum, and palladium are seeing similar price
  revivals.

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• And dont count out an end of year oil price
  rally if the dollar careens lower.
•  Bottom line

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• The US Dollar is getting close to a big move.
  And the direction it takes over the next six
  months will have a big impact on commodities.

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• In my mind, the US Dollar chart above is the most
  important thing commodity investors should watch
  in coming weeks!

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