Title: The Future Cost of Power Generation- Market Research Report.
1The Future Cost of Power Generation.
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2Summary
Chapter 1 Electricity and fuel cost trends the
signature of the past and signs for the
future. The power generation and supply
industries are facing unparalleled changes as
renewable generating technologies are promoted to
reduce atmospheric carbon emissions, challenging
the dominance of fossil fuel based technologies
in the process. Grid operation is beginning to
change to accommodate these new resources and the
structure of grid systems is beginning to
fragment as distributed generation grows.
Meanwhile a revolution in oil and gas production
in the USA is having ramifications for gas and
coal costs that has already spread to other
regions. Even so, fossil fuel generation,
primarily based on coal, still dominates global
generation. However this is much more pronounced
in the developing world than in the developed
where renewable generation is growing faster than
other types. The Asia-Pacific region now has the
largest global electricity production, followed
by Europe and then North America.
3Chapter 2 The capital cost of power generation
technologies. The capital cost of a power plant
is, along with the cost of fuel, one of the key
determinants of the cost of electricity. Capital
cost trends are therefore one of the most
important indicators of the changing balance
between different technologies. For renewable
technologies the capital cost is the main cost
determinant since there is no fuel cost.
Renewable plants generally have lower capacity
factors than conventional and nuclear plants and
this must also be taken into account when
assessing overall economic performance. The
cheapest type of power plant from a capital cost
perspective is a gas turbine based station. The
gas turbine is a globally traded commodity and
price competition is fierce. Best of all is a
combined cycle plant which is both cheap and
highly efficient. A typical pulverised coal fired
plant will cost almost twice as much as the
combined cycle plant.
4- Chapter 3 The future cost of electricity the
levelized cost of power from conventional,
nuclear and renewable technologies - In order to identify the best technology for a
given power development, one of the key
determining factors will be the cost of
electricity from the plant. To determine the
future cost of power an economic model called the
levelized cost of electricity model is used. When
this modelling is carried out the cheapest source
of power in the USA is a combined cycle power
plant burning natural gas. However elsewhere
nuclear and even coal-fired generation can
theoretically be more cost effective. Of the main
renewable technologies, hydropower can be cost
effective in many parts of the world although
opportunities in the developed world are scarce.
Wind and solar generation are becoming
increasingly competitive too and may already have
reached parity in some situations. Adding carbon
capture and storage to a fossil fuel power plant
can push the cost of electricity from such
facilities. -
5- Chapter 4 Global electricity generating capacity
and the cost of power technology growth trends
and prospects - The production of electricity will double,
globally over the next thirty years. Much of this
growth will take place in the developing world
but there will be some increase in capacity
within the developed world too. Trends differ
between the two groups however with fossil fuel
production continuing to grow in the developing
world while across the developed world there is a
more pronounced shift towards renewable
generation. In both regions, however, natural gas
will become increasingly popular for power
generation too and this could accelerate if oil
and gas from shale deposits is exploited in
regions other than the USA. Meanwhile most of the
growth in coal-based generation will be found in
China and India. How fast renewable generation
will increase depends on a range of factors and
predictions differ from a doubling of capacity by
2030 to an increase of more than ten times.
6Table Of Content
- About the author .
- Disclaimer
- Note about authors and sources.
- Table of contents .
- Table of tables.
- Table of figures .
- Executive summary.
- Chapter 1 Electricity and fuel cost trends the
signature of the past and signs for the future. - Chapter 2 The capital cost of electricity
generating technologies . - Chapter 3 The future cost of electricity the
levelized cost of power . - Chapter 4 Global electricity generating capacity
and the cost of power.
7- To know more
- The Future Cost of Power Generation.
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