Where is Nano Going

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Where is Nano Going?
RD Profiling with a Focus on Nanophotonics

• Alan Porter and Jayesh Patil
• Technology Policy and Assessment Center
• School of Public Policy, Georgia Institute of
  Technology
• Atlanta, GA 30332-0345, USA
• Prepared for Presentation at Nano and Giga
  Challenges in Electronics and Photonics, Phoenix,
  AZ, March16, 2007.
• Acknowledgements This presentation draws on
  research directed by Philip Shapira, Alan Porter,
  and Jan Youtie at Georgia Tech, with research
  assistance provided by Jayesh Patil, David J.
  Schoeneck, Li Tang, Sharyn Finney, and Luke
  McCloud. Supported through the Center for
  Nanotechnology in Society CNS-ASU, at Arizona
  State University by National Science Foundation
  (Award No. 0531194), and the National
  Partnership for Managing Upstream Innovation The
  Case of Nanoscience and Technology North
  Carolina State University, NSF award
  EEC-0438684.

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Where is Nano Going?RD Profiling with a Focus
on Nanophotonics

• Outline
• Scope Nano RD Profiling Process
• Nano Descriptive Results
• Nanophotonics Profiling

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Key Research Questions that drive RD Profiling

• What?
• Core nano thrusts emergent sub-topics
  interconnections
• Frontier activity assessment
• Emerging applications (esp. with privacy
  human identity implications)
• Who?
• Leading research institutions researchers
• Leading companies
• Emergence of knowledge networks
• Where?
• Regional concentrations (clustering) in the US
• International comparisons US vs. China, Japan,
  EU publishing patenting
• When?
• Projections topical emphases industrial
  outcomes
• How?
• Tech Mining (e.g. bibliometric and patent
  analyses) using VantagePoint
• Complementary expert reviews perspectives

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The Nanotechnology Enterprise(Schematic!)
Federal Government
Policy
Business Associations
Foundations, Other Research Sponsors
Research
Federal Research Sponsors
State Agencies
Social Groups, e.g. Env, Ethics
RD Publications Patents
National Labs
Universities
MNCs
Commercialization
Local Development Agencies
Economic Development
Finance Sources
Venture Startups
Existing SMEs
Adapted from S. Kuhlmans multi-actor RD arena
concept
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Commercialization Targets

• Target Industries for Companies Involved in RD,
  Manufacture, Sale and Use of Nanotechnology in
  2004 (N599)

Source EnTech Research, cited in The National
Nanotechnology Initiative at Five Years, PCAST,
Washington DC, 2005.
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Present v. Promise?

• Current nano products include
• Super-bounce tennis balls, fine cosmetics,
  stain-resistant pants, penetrating sunscreen
• Future developments
• Nanotechnology will affect every aspect of our
  lives, from the medicines we use, to the power of
  our computers, the energy supplies we require,
  the food we eat, the cars we drive, the buildings
  we live in, and the clothes we wear.
• Tim Harper, European NanoBusiness Association
• Our survey

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NGC Survey Early Results 18 respondents

• 78 Researchers 22 Industrial Interests
• Diverse Areas of interest with strong
  semiconductors/electronics (10/18) photonics
  (7/18) 17 other topics mentioned
• Leading research centers in ones area MIT (4),
  IBM (3)
• Leading companies in area IBM (5), Intel (3)
• Regions/States Bay Area (7), NY (4), MA (3),
  Southern CA (3)

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Nano Searching

• Developed a pilot field scope
• Decided to use composite, modular Boolean search
• Search for nano-related term occurrence in key
  fields
• Sometimes require co-occurrence with moledular
  domain terms
• Use with index (classification) codes for patents
• Asked multiple nanotechnology experts to review
• received recommendations to delete, modify, add,
  or confirm terms
• Further evaluated candidate terms
• by testing and assessing results against the
  publication and patent data.

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Nanotechnology Research Foci Key Concepts
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Multi-step Search, Retrieval and Cleaning
Processes
Search terms to include for data download
Develop thesauri Geo IDs
Data download
Search terms to exclude in data mining
Raw data
Cleaning and consolidation
Cleaned data
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Searches 1990-2006 (partial year)

• ISI Web of Science Science Citation Index - SCI
  407,000 articles(Representing 2.7 of SCI
  over the period and 4.1 of SCI for the 2005-06
  period)
• EI Compendex 381,000 articles conference
  papers
• INSPEC Engineering Village 2 website 334,000
  articles conference papers
• EKMS searched MicroPatent, INPADOC, and their
  proprietary U.S. Patent Citation database61,000
  patent families from 70 patent authorities

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Nano publications 1990-2006 (est.)
Georgia Tech TPAC / CNS-ASU Analysis of SCI
Publications refined nano definition results
subject to revision
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Global Nano Patent (Awards)1990 2006
(estimated) Micropatents INPADOC data
Georgia Tech TPAC / CNS-ASU patent analysis
refined nano definition results subject to
revision
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Nano Districts
Georgia Tech TPAC / CNS-ASU Analysis of SCI
Publications refined nano definition results
subject to revision
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GeographicalDistribution(US, 1995-2004)
Analysis of nano publications (by US first
authors) and US nano patents, (by assignee
location), 1995-2004
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Nanophotonics Profiling Articles indexed in SCI
INSPEC Compendex
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Nanophotonics RD Papers Profiling
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Nanophotonics Profiling RD Publication SCI
INSPEC EI Compendex
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Nanophotonics RD Papers Profiling
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Nanophotonics RD Papers Profiling Leading
Researchers250 authors with 10 or more!
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Nanophotonics Profiling3 Selected Subtopics
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Nanophotonics Patent Profiling first in 1995
114 families located
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Nanophotonics Patent Profiling Inventor
Knowledge Network for Lucent
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Payoffs and Outputs of Tech Mining to Map Nano ST

• Inform construction of developmental scenarios
• Research paths likelihoods implications
• Development paths likelihoods implications
• Support RD or commercialization endeavors
• Strive to support particular inquiries e.g.,
  who is particularly active on topic X?
• Inform decision-making
• Identify concentrations of nano capabilities
• Explore policy issues

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Follow-up

• At NGC Exhibition NGC Survey, Papers, live
  searching for you
• //cns.asu.edu
• Tech Mining www.theVantagePoint.com and
  technology opportunities analysis at
  //tpac.gatech.edu
• Alan.porter_at_isye.gatech.edu