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Immigration Reform and Agriculture

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Collapsing middle, wedge politics (whether a good idea or not... Economic Analysis: inform the debate by developing analysis of risks of inaction ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Immigration Reform and Agriculture


1
Immigration Reform and Agriculture
  • Craig J. Regelbrugge, Co-chair
  • Agriculture Coalition for Immigration Reform
  • V.P. Govt Relations, Amer. Nursery Landscape
    Assn
  • cregelbrugge_at_anla.org

2
Goals
  • Offer a national perspective on immigration
    reform and the realities facing labor-intensive
    agriculture
  • Explore nature and scope of the challenge, and
    implications
  • Provide an outlook for both meaningful reform,
    negative developments
  • Discuss how farm credit community can help

3
What is ACIR?
  • Agriculture Coalition for Immigration Reform
  • Formed in 2001 to lead effort to negotiate, enact
    bipartisan reform legislation
  • Over 300 national, regional, state groups whose
    members are engaged in all facets of
    labor-intensive agriculture fruit, vegetable,
    dairy and livestock, nursery greenhouse

4
Hired Farm Workforce in U.S.
  • 1.6 million serious farmworkers
  • 80 foreign born
  • 70 unauthorized
  • IRCA-1986
  • Legalized 1.2 million farmworkers
  • Launched statistical gathering
  • We know more about demographics of farm labor
    force than remainder of economy

5
We Didnt Get Here Overnight
  • 1989 7 of farmworkers admitted in govt
    surveys that they were not authorized to work in
    the U.S.
  • 1994 34
  • 1998 52
  • Each year, 1 in 6 farmworkers new to the sector,
    and 99 are unauthorized
  • Lack of legal channels has led to the crisis

6
(No Transcript)
7
Why Do Farmworkers Leave?
  • Wages? Not so much
  • Nature of work
  • Entry level, seasonal, intermittent
  • Physically demanding, difficult
  • Tighter border has had opposite of intended
    effect by encouraging long-term settlement,
    search for year-round work
  • See Backfire at the Border by Douglas Massey,
    Princeton Univ.

8
Are Foreign Workers Taking Jobs from Americans?
  • Through 1990s, American economy produced
    hundreds of thousands of jobs each year in excess
    of Americans entering job market and legal
    immigration
  • Domestic workers and many foreign workers
    were sucked out of agriculture
  • Foreign workers filled the void
  • Only legal channelH-2Afills less than 2 of
    farm jobs (4.6 in NY)

9
The Rest of the Story
  • Employers meet requirements of the law at time of
    hiring (I-9 process)
  • Over time, best workers promoted into key
    positions, year-round jobs. Backbone of industry
  • Any reform solution must address this aspect of
    the workforce or agriculture will be devastated

10
Is There A Labor Shortage?
11
Labor Shortage?
  • Some superficial reports say no
  • Anecdotal evidence suggests otherwise
  • Quarter of NoCal pear crop lost 2006
  • 1 million lbs asparagus in MI lost 2007
  • Labor force triage
  • Broader analysis (1990-2002) shows
  • 29 increase in labor productivity in crop
    production
  • 15.4 increase in output
  • 9.2 decrease in labor input

12
And
  • Considering global picture, U.S. is steadily
    losing market share in specialty crops
  • Nearly one third of fresh fruit and one fifth of
    fresh vegetables consumed in U.S. are now
    imported
  • This is double to more than double the market
    share of imports in 1990
  • Growing market overall is masking erosion of U.S.
    producers market share

13
Risks to the Sector NY Study
  • NY Farm Credit Associations studied risks of
    enforcement-only approach. At high risk are
  • Over 800 dairy, nursery, fruit, vegetable farms
    with at least 700 million in sales
  • 750,000 acres of farmland subject to conversion
    to less profitable crops or taken out of
    production altogether
  • Almost 16,000 non-farm but farm-dependent jobs,
    especially in rural areas

14
Outlook for Reform
  • Unique Ag history, position
  • Ag first to admit problem, seek solution
  • Commitment to bipartisan approach after
    guest-worker-only efforts failed
  • Successful negotiation of landmark AgJOBS bills
    in 2003
  • AgJOBS passed Senate in 2006, was feature of
    comprehensive bill in 2007, still pending as
    S.340 and H.R. 371

15
Ags Position in the Debate
  • Many policymakers see ag as different
  • Jobs Americans least likely to fill
  • Food security, national security
  • Longstanding bipartisan agreement vs. hasty
    closed negotiation
  • Some support incremental or pilot approach
  • Addressing agriculture would allow for testing of
    approaches, distribution of workload

16
AgJOBS in Brief
  • Long-term solution by reforming H-2A
  • Streamline, simplify process
  • Legal reform, Wage relief
  • Bridge or transition via Blue Card
  • experienced workers could earn eventual status
    subject to strict conditions
  • 800,000 workers expected to qualify
  • Especially attractive for dairy industry
  • Structure important politically, substantively

17
High Hopes, High Hurdles
  • Post-Senate failure, many see immigration as off
    the table
  • Collapsing middle, wedge politics (whether a good
    idea or not)
  • Complications of wide-open presidential contest

18
Yet, We Have Assets
  • Considerable support, highly motivated champions
  • Chance to move as pilot ahead of comprehensive
    reform
  • Some potential for rifle-shot or smart, lean
    bill early in 2008

19
Other Dynamics
  • Social Security No-Match Rule
  • Bush Admin Regulatory Reform of H-2A
  • Enforcement-only bills
  • H.R. 4088 now has over 130 cosponsors
  • Raids, even rumor of raids
  • Epidemic of state and local laws
  • Innovation labs or race to the bottom?

20
Needs
  • Grassroots action/political education
  • Economic impact insights
  • Favorable media
  • Community outreach

21
Where Is the American Public?
  • Most polls, evidence suggest
  • Small but vocal minority (20)
  • Concerned but pragmatic majority (60 to 75)
  • Key challenge sound bytes easier for
    seal-the-border and deport restrictionists
  • Key issues sense of fair play, real solutions

22
How Can Farm Credit Help?
  • Economic Analysis inform the debate by
    developing analysis of risks of inaction or
    unwise action (e.g., enforcement only)
  • NY Farm Credit methodology
  • Media Who can speak out? Farm Credit well
    positioned to organize press outreach, position
    spokespeople
  • Grassroots Inform networks about
    www.saveUSfarms.org

23
Ronald Reagan Radio Address
  • One thing is certain in this hungry world no
    regulation or law should be allowed if it results
    in crops rotting in the fields for a lack of
    harvesters

24
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