Census 2000 Migration Data, Products, and Reports

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Census 2000 Migration Data, Products, and Reports

• Jason P. Schachter
• Marc J. Perry
• Population Division
• U.S. Census Bureau
• September 18, 2003

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Outline of Talk

• Explanation of Census 2000 migration data
• Review of data, reports already released
• Discussion of upcoming reports and data
  productsincluding a DVD product
• Review of migration findings from Census 2000
• Questions and answers

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Census 2000 Migration Data

• Derived from the Long Form question asking where
  respondent lived in 1995

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• Census 2000 migration timeframe 1995 to 2000
• Migration data from Summary File 3 available on
  American Fact Finder (AFF)
• AFFs migration tables generally limited to
  inmigrants to an area, however.

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• Census 2000 Migration Web Page
• Tables include both inmigrants and outmigrants
  for each area
• Some tables will include matrices with specific
  origins and destinations for movers.

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• Reports and tables available at the Census 2000
  Migration Web Page http//www.census.gov/populatio
  n/www/cen2000/migration.html
• Navigate to this new migration web page from the
  Census 2000 Gateway web page

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Reports Released August,2003

• Domestic Migration Across Regions, Divisions, and
  States 1995 to 2000
• State-to-State Migration Flows 1995 to 2000
• Migration and Geographic Mobility in Metropolitan
  and Nonmetropolitan America 1995 to 2000

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Reports Released (cont.)

• Internal Migration of the Older Population 1995
  to 2000
• Migration of Natives and the Foreign Born 1995
  to 2000

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Internet Tables Released in August

• General mobility characteristics for various
  geographic levels
• Gross and net migration for regions, divisions,
  states, counties, minor civil divisions (in New
  England), and metropolitan areas (1999
  definition)
• Limited geography by sex and age

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Data Sets Released in August (cont.)

• State-to-state migration flow matrices for
• Total population
• Under and over 65 years of age
• Natives and foreign born
• County-to-County Migration Flow File (total
  migrants onlyno characteristics)

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Upcoming Reports

• Migration of the Young, Single, and
  College-Educated 1995 to 2000 (October, 2003)
• Migration by Race and Hispanic Origin 1995 to
  2000 (October, 2003)

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Upcoming Data Releases on the Census 2000
Migration Website

• Gross and Net Migration Data by Race and Hispanic
  Origin
• (Region, division, and state level only)
• Released concurrently with upcoming report on
  race and Hispanic origin)

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Upcoming data releases (cont.)

• State-to-state migration flow matrices for
• -White alone, not Hispanic
• -Black alone
• -Asian alone
• -Hispanic

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Upcoming Migration DVD

• Target audience more advanced users of migration
  data
• Files will be in ASCII format
• Will contain additional migration data
  tabulations not found on web site
• Due to confidentiality considerations, limited
  availability of two-way cross-tabulations and
  some rounding restrictions

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Migration DVD (cont.)

• Gross and net migration, to the county and
  MCD-level, for a variety of characteristics (see
  handout)
• County-to-county migration flows by single
  characteristics
• County-to-county migration flow cross-tabulations
  (two characteristics only)
• MCD-to-MCD/County migration by limited
  characteristics

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Migration DVD (cont.)

• Anticipated release October 2003

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Migration Findings from Census 2000

• 120 million moved between 1995 and 2000
• Overall mobility rate was 45 percent.
• This compares with 47 percent (108 million
  movers) for 1985-90
• 40 million moved to another state
• Most moves continue to be local versus long
  distance

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Net Domestic Migration by Region

• Northeast -1,271,000 -25.5
• Midwest -541,000 -9.1
• South 1,800,000 20.2
• West 12,000 0.2

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Net Domestic Inmigration

• Largest net domestic inmigration
• Florida 607,000
• Georgia 341,000
• North Carolina 338,000
• Arizona 316,000
• Nevada 234,000

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Net Domestic Inmigration

• Largest net inmigration rates (per 1000)
• Nevada 151.5
• Arizona 74.3
• Georgia 48.6
• North Carolina 48.4
• Florida 44.0
• Colorado 43.8

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Net Domestic Outmigration

• Largest net domestic outmigration
• New York -874,000
• California -756,000
• Illinois -343,000
• New Jersey -183,000
• Pennsylvania -131,000

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Net Domestic Outmigration

• Largest net outmigration rates (per 1000)
• District of Columbia -81.7
• Hawaii -65.4
• Alaska -51.0
• New York -48.8
• North Dakota -40.6

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State-to-State Migration

• Largest net flow
• New York to Florida 238,000
• Most similar flows
• WI to MN 51,512
• MN to WI 51,692
• Most lopsided large flows
• HI to NV 12,079 reverse flow 1,853
• NY to NC 100,727 reverse flow 20,262

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Pennsylvania Results

• Largest outflows were to Florida (92,000) and New
  Jersey (88,000)
• Largest inflows were from New York (112,000) and
  New Jersey (110,000)

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New destinationsand origins

• The new Sunbelt (Nevada, Georgia, North
  Carolina) gains from both the Frostbelt and the
  old Sunbelt (California, Florida)
• Diverging patterns in the old Sunbelt Florida
  vs California
• Net outmigration from California to nearly all
  other states

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Migration for Cities and Metropolitan areas

• Most large metro areas had net domestic migration
  loss (offset by movers from abroad)
• In some metro areas (New York, Phoenix-Mesa),
  migrants from abroad generally moved to the
  central cities
• In other metro areas (Washington-Baltimore,
  Miami-Fort Lauderdale, Atlanta) they moved to the
  suburbs

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Nonmetro Territory Continued to Gain Migrants
from Metro Areas

• Nonmetro territory had net gain of 510,000 from
  metro areas between 1995 and 2000
• By comparison, nonmetro gains for
• 1985-90 51,000 (turnaround of turnaround)
• 1975-80 996,000 (nonmetro turnaround)

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Migration by Age

• Elderly less mobile than younger age groups
• Within the elderly population, the 85 population
  is most mobile
• Elderly migration small numbers, but can have a
  big impact in the retirement areas in which they
  concentrate.

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• Largest net migration gains in Florida (149,000),
  Arizona (53,000), and Nevada (22,000)
• Largest net losses in New York (-114,000),
  Illinois (-43,000), California (-34,000)
• Pennsylvania ranked 6th among states in terms of
  net migration loss of the over 65 population
  (16,000).

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• Some states with overall net outmigration of
  older migrants contain counties with net
  inmigration of older migrants.
• Examples of net inmigration counties
• Ocean County, NJ
• Barnstable County, MA (Cape Cod)

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Natives and the Foreign Born

• Most immigrants initially settle in one of six
  gateway states New York, California,Texas,
  Florida, Illinois, and New Jersey
• Most gateways also have sizeable net domestic
  outmigration to other states (exceptions Florida
  and Texas)

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• Much of the outmigration from gateway states is
  of the foreign born (in California, one-third of
  total net domestic outmigration was of
  foreign-born migrants)
• Result significant redistribution of the
  foreign-born population from gateway states to
  other areas (Georgia, Arkansas, Nevada, rural
  Midwest, etc.)

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• Many counties had net outmigration of natives but
  net domestic inmigration of the foreign-born
• (Examples counties in Iowa, Nebraska)

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Conclusion

• Census 2000 migration reports and data tables
  available at
• http//www.census.gov/population/www/cen2000/migra
  tion.html
• (links from the Census 2000 Gateway and the
  Geographic Mobility web page)
• Other Census 2000 migration data available in AFF

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Questions?