LOOKING TO THE FUTURE

1

• LOOKING TO THE FUTURE
• OF AMERICA

by DONALD J. HERNANDEZ, Ph.D.
Professor of Sociology and Center for Social
Demographic Analysis University at Albany,
SUNY Email DonH_at_albany.edu Phone (518)
442-4668 Crossing the Great Divide Creating
Communities for All Ages 2005 Annual
Conference Grantmakers for Children, Youth
Families Denver, Colorado, September 26,
2005 Opening Plenary The State of the Union
Children, Youth, and Families in the 21st
Century Acknowledgements Suzanne Macartney
2
OVERVIEW Diverse Social and
Economic Realities of Race-Ethnic, Immigrant, and
Cultural Groups


? Children The Leading Edge of the
New American Majority ? Family Strengths ?
Major Challenges ? Education, Housing, Health
Insurance ? Local Child Indicators
3
Slide 3. Projected Percent of U.S. Children in
Specified Race/Ethnic Groups.
4
Slide 4. Estimates and Projected Percent of
Non-Hispanic Whites by Age 2000 and 2030
Presented by Donald J. Hernandez. Data is from
the Population Projections Program, Population
Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Issued March 18,
2004.
5
Slide 5. Percent of Children in Immigrant
Families 1910, 1960, 1990 and 2000
4/5 Citizens
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
the U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000, 5 Public
Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
6
Slide 6. Percent of Children in Immigrant
Families by Region of Origin, 2000
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
the U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000, 5 Public
Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
7
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
the U.S. Bureau of the Census, Censuses 1990 and
2000, 5 Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
8
Slide 8. Percent of U.S. Children in Native-Born
Families Living in Official Poverty, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
9
Slide 9. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living in Official Poverty, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
10
Slide 10. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Living in Basic Budget
Poverty, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
11
Slide 11. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living in Basic Budget Poverty, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
12
Figure 2. Basic Budget Poverty Rates for
Children in Mexican, Central American, and
Dominican Families, U.S. 2000
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
the U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000, 5 Public
Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
13
Slide 13. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Living with Two-Parents,
2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
14
Slide 14. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living with Two-Parents, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
15
Slide 15. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Living with a Grandparent,
2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
16
Slide 16. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living with a Grandparent, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
17
Slide 17. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Living with Four or More
Siblings in the Home, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
18
Slide 18. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living with Four or More Siblings in
the Home, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
19
Slide 19. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Living with Other Persons,
2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
20
Slide 20. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living with Other Persons, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
21
Slide 21. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Living with Working
Fathers, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
22
Slide 22. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living with Working Fathers, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
23
Slide 23. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Living with Working
Mothers, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
24
Slide 24. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Living with Working Mothers, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
25
Slide 25. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families with Another Worker in the
Home, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
26
Slide 26. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families with Another Worker in the Home, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
27
Slide 27. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families with Father Not a H.S.
Graduate, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
28
Slide 28. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families with Father Not a H.S. Graduate, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
29
Slide 29. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families with Father 0-8 Years of
School, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
30
Slide 30. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families with Father 0-8 Years of School, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
31
Slide 31. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families with Fathers Not Working
Full-Time, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
32
Slide 32. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families with Fathers Not Working Full-Time, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
33
Slide 33. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families with Father Limited English
Proficient (LEP), 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
34
Slide 34. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families with Father Limited English Proficient
(LEP), 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
35
Slide 35. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Who Are Limited English
Proficient (LEP), 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
36
Slide 36. Percent of U.S. Children in Native-Born
Families Who Speak English Very Well and Speak
Another Language at Home, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
37
Slide 37. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Who Are Limited English Proficient
(LEP), 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
38
Slide 38. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Who Speak English Very Well, and Speak
Another Language at Home, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
39
Slide 39. Percent of U.S. Children in in
Native-Born Families in Linguistically Isolated
Households, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
40
Slide 40. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families in Linguistically Isolated Households,
2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
41
Slide 41. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Who Are Members of Mixed-Citizen-Status
Nuclear Families, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
42
Slide 42. Percent of U.S. Four-Year-Olds in
Native-Born Families Enrolled in Pre-k/Nursery
School, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
43
Slide 43. Percent of U.S. Four-Year-Olds in
Immigrant Families Enrolled in Pre-k/Nursery
School, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
44
Slide 44. Percent of U.S. 20-24 Year-Olds, in
Native-Born Families Who are High School
Graduates, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population
Survey, 1998-2002.
45
Slide 45. Percent of U.S. 20-24 Year-Olds, in
Immigrant Families Who are High School
Graduates, 2000
50 100
H.S. Grad
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population
Survey, 1998-2002.
46
Slide 46. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families with Home Owned by Parents
or Relatives, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
47
Slide 47. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families with Home Owned by Parents or
Relatives, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
48
Slide 48. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families with Moderate or Severe
Housing Cost Burden, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
49
Slide 49. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families with Moderate or Severe Housing Cost
Burden, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
50
Slide 50. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Who Live in Overcrowded
Housing, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
51
Slide 51. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Who Live in Overcrowded Housing, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2000, 5pct
Public Use Microdata (PUMS) files.
52
Slide 52. Percent of U.S. Children in
Native-Born Families Not Covered by Health
Insurance, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population
Survey, 1998-2002.
53
Slide 53. Percent of U.S. Children in Immigrant
Families Not Covered by Health Insurance, 2000
50 100
Source Calculated by Donald J. Hernandez from
U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population
Survey, 1998-2002.
54

• Slide 54. New Child Indicators for
• Public Policy, Advocacy, and Philanthropy

Children in Americas Newcomer Families Local
Area Results from Census 2000 conducted by
Donald J. Hernandez Nancy A. Denton funded
by The William and Flora Hewlett Foundation
55

• Slide 55. WE ARE PRODUCING
• 200 CHILD INDICATORS
• FOR LOCAL AREAS

Topics include Immigrant Generation, Country of
Origin, Language Proficiency, Citizenship,
Race-Ethnicity and Family, Economic, Educational,
Housing, and Neighborhood Situations
56

• LOOKING TO THE FUTURE
• OF AMERICA

by DONALD J. HERNANDEZ, Ph.D.
Professor of Sociology and Center for Social
Demographic Analysis University at Albany,
SUNY Email DonH_at_albany.edu Phone (518)
442-4668 Crossing the Great Divide Creating
Communities for All Ages 2005 Annual
Conference Grantmakers for Children, Youth
Families Denver, Colorado, September 26,
2005 Opening Plenary The State of the Union
Children, Youth, and Families in the 21st
Century Acknowledgements Suzanne Macartney