Accounting for Wealth in the Measurement of Household Income

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Accounting for Wealth in the Measurement of Household Income

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Accounting for Wealth in the Measurement of Household Income Edward N. Wolff New York University, NBER, and Levy Economics Institute Ajit Zacharias – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Accounting for Wealth in the Measurement of Household Income


1
Accounting for Wealth in the Measurement of
Household Income
  • Edward N. Wolff
  • New York University, NBER, and Levy Economics
    Institute
  • Ajit Zacharias
  • The Levy Economics Institute
  • For Presentation at the 2008 World Congress on
    National Accounts and Economic Performance for
    Nations

2
Summary of Findings
  • 1. We analyze well-being in the US from 1983 to
    2001 using the standard measure, gross money
    income, and one in which income from wealth is
    calculated as the sum of lifetime annuity from
    nonhome wealth and imputed rental-equivalent for
    owner-occupied homes.
  • 2. Over this period, median well-being increases
    faster when these adjustments are made than when
    money income is used.
  • 3. This adjustment also widens the income gap
    between African-Americans and whites but
    increases the relative well-being of the elderly.

3
Summary (continued)
  • 4. Adding imputed rent and annuities from
    household wealth to household income considerably
    increases measured inequality and the share of
    income from wealth in inequality.
  • 5. However, both measures show about the same
    rise in inequality over the period.
  • 6. Our results also give little support to the
    assertion that the working rich has replaced
    rentiers at the top of the economic ladder.

4
Outline of paper
  • 1. Summarize previous attempts to incorporate
    wealth into a measure of well-being.
  • 2. Describe the main sources of data and concepts
    of wealth used in the study.
  • 3. Discuss how we incorporate wealth into a
    combined income-net worth measure.
  • 4. Show results for all households and sub-groups.

5
Outline (continued)
  • 5. Compare our estimates of top income shares and
    those of Piketty and Saez (2003) to assess
    whether rentiers were at the top of the economic
    ladder during this period.
  • 6. Make concluding remarks.

6
A review of previous literature
  • 1. There have been several attempts to combine
    the income and wealth dimension into a single
    index of household well-being. The most common
    technique is to convert the stock of wealth into
    a flow and add that flow to current income. In
    this approach, wealth is converted into a
    lifetime annuity for the expected remaining life
    of the family. The annuity is defined as a
    stream of annual payments which are equal over
    time and which will fully exhaust the stock of
    initial wealth. This annuity is then added to
    obtain an augmented measure of family income
    after property income is first subtracted from
    current money income so that there is no double
    counting of the returns from household wealth.

7
Literature review (continued)
  • 2. Weisbrod and Hansen (1968) used the 1962
    Survey of the Financial Characteristics of
    Consumers (SFCC). They found that the share of
    the top two income classes increased from 5 to 8
    percent at a 4 percent annuity rate and to 10
    percent at a 10 percent rate, while the share of
    the bottom income class fell from 20 percent to
    18 and then to 17 percent.
  • 2. Taussig (1973) made use of the 1967 Survey of
    Economic Opportunity (SEO) database. When 1 6
    annuity is added to current money income, the
    measured Gini coefficient for all families rose
    from 0.36 to 0.39.

8
Literature Review (continued)
  • 4. Wolfson (1979) used the 1970 Canadian Survey
    of Consumer Finances. He found that among all
    households the inclusion of a wealth annuity with
    money income had no effect on the Gini
    coefficient, which remained in the range of 0.36
    to 0.37.
  • 5. The three studies generally found that the
    distribution of income becomes more unequal once
    the returns to wealth are included as part of
    total income. However, the disequalizing effects
    are not great because the annuity payments are
    small relative to current money income, typically
    on the order of 10 percent on average. .

9
SOME MOTIVATION
  • Consider two individuals A and B. A buys a bond
    at par value and receives only interest income. B
    buys the bond at a discount with the SAME yield
    and receives only capital gains. In NIPA only
    interest included in personal income but A and B
    are EQUALLY well-off in terms of well-being.
    (Also compare stocks with same yield but
    different mix of dividends and capital gains).

10
Data and concepts
  • 1. Our basic data source is the Federal Reserve
    Boards Surveys of Consumer Finances (SCF) for
    1983, 1989, 1995, and 2001.
  • 2. We impute rent for owner-occupied housing by
    distributing the total amount of imputed rent in
    the GDP to homeowners in the SCF, based on the
    values of their house. On average, imputed rent
    was 5.6 percent and 5.4 percent (respectively) of
    the total value of houses in 1989 and in 2001.

11
Data and Concepts (continued)
  • 3. Another difference in our approach compared to
    the earlier ones cited above is that we use
    actual historical rates of return in computing
    lifetime annuities. Moreover, we take into
    account the differences in the portfolio
    composition of non-home wealth by computing the
    lifetime annuity as the weighted average of
    annuity flows generated by individual non-home
    wealth components with portfolio shares of these
    six components as weights. The lifetime annuity
    amount calculated is such that (i) it is the same
    for all remaining years of the younger spouses
    life. and (ii) it brings wealth down to zero at
    the end of the expected lifetime.

12
Data and Concepts (continued)
  • 4. The total real rate of return of each non-home
    wealth component is the average of annual rates
    over a relatively long period of time, varying
    from 14 to 40 years, depending on the asset. The
    rationale for employing this method, instead of
    using the rate of return in an arbitrarily chosen
    year, is that the annuity value estimated this
    way is a better indicator of the resources
    available to the household on a sustainable basis
    over its lifetime. The total rates of return data
    we use are inclusive of both the capital gains
    and the income generated by the assets. In order
    to avoid double counting, we net out from the
    total income measure any property income already
    included in money income.

13
Table 1. Family Income by Alternative Definitions
(2001)

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