Title: IMPACTS OF NATURAL DISASTERS ON WATER, WASTE-WATER, AND WATER-DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS
1IMPACTS OF NATURAL DISASTERS ONWATER,
WASTE-WATER, AND WATER-DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster
Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA
22012 7 BILLION PEOPLE DEPEND ON THE AVAILABILITY
OF WATER
3(No Transcript)
4IN 2020, AS NOW, THE GLOBAL WATER SUPPLY
- Should be available, without interruption, in
sufficient QUANTITY to meet the primary needs of
the people - Should be of good QUALITY (i.e., CLEAN) to
sustain life
5KEY FACTORS
- WATER, WASTE- WATER, AND WATER DISTRUBUTION
SYSTEMS
6WATER, WASTE- WATER, AND WATER DISTRUBUTION
SYSTEMS
- Have POINT-SENSITIVE and AREA-SENSITIVE
components, - Have varying vulnerabilities in their exposure
to the TIME and SPACE- DEPENDENT potential
disaster agents of natural hazards.
7WATER, WASTE-WATER, AND WATER-DISTRUBUTION
SYSTEMS
- Above-ground siting makes water- and waste-water
systems more vulnerable to earthquake ground
shaking inundation during, tsunamis, floods,
and severe windstorms and permanent deformation
during landslides.
8WATER, WASTE- WATER, AND WATER DISTRUBUTION
SYSTEMS
- Below-ground siting makes water distribution
systems more nvulnerable to permanent deformation
caused by earthquake-induced liquefaction.
9WATER, WASTE- WATER, AND WATER DISTRUBUTION
SYSTEMS
- Vulnerability is a function of materials, age,
maintenance, and the systems exposure as a
site-specific, or a spatially- distributed
above-or-below-ground system.
10OVERVIEW OF RISK
- WATER, WASTE-WATER, AND WATER DISTRIBUTION
SYSTEMS FACE DIFFERENT RISKS FROM DIFFERENT
NATURAL HAZARDS
11ELEMENTS OF RISK
RISK
12WATER, WASTE WATER, AD DUSTRIBION SYSTEMS
DATA BASES AND INFORMATION
HAZARDS GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE
SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN
UP AFTERSHOCKS
13ELEMENTS OF UNACCEPTABLE RISK
RISK
14RISK MODELING
RISK NAT. HAZARD x EXPOSURE NOTE X
CONVOLUTION SPECIFIC HAZARD EXPOSURE
PEOPLE BUILDING STOCK WATER
SYSTEMS GOVERNMENT BUSINESSES
15INSURERS MODEL THE RISK DISTRIBUTION FOR ALL
EXPOSURES AND ALL EVENTS
Total Area Under Curve EAL for Entire
Portfolio of Risks Layers Slices Retentions
and Transferred Amounts
Individual Modeled Events
Event Probability
Individual Modeled Events
1 Tail of the Distribution
1
Dollars of Loss
1/100 Threshold Event
16DISASTER RISK LABORATORIES
- CONSIDER ALL PAST LOCAL-SCALE AND
REGIONAL-SCALE EVENTS AS DISASTER RISK
LABORATORIES
17EARTHQUAKES
18An Earthquake Can Cause A Disaster (Japan 2011)
19CAUSES OF DAMAGE
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SURFACE FAULTING,
LIQUE-FACTION LANDSLIDES)
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN, AND ROUTE
EARTHQUAKES
TSUNAMI IMPACTS
DISASTER LABORATORIES
POOR DETAILING AND WEAK CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
FRAGILITY OF NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
20TSUNAMIS
21A TSUNAMI CAN CAUSE A DISASTER(Thailand 2004)
22CAUSES OF DAMAGE
HIGH VELOCITY IMPACT OF INCOMING WAVES
INLAND DISTANCE OF WAVE RUNUP
VERTICAL HEIGHT OF WAVE RUNUP
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF BUILDINGS
TSUNAMIS
INUNDATION
DISASTER LABORATORIES
INADEQUATE HORIZONTAL AND VERTICAL EVACUATION
PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF TSUNAMI
23FLOODS
24A FLOOD CAN CAUSE A DISASTER (China 2007)
25CAUSES OF RISK
LOSS OF FUNCTION OF STRUCTURES IN FLOODPLAIN
INUNDATION
INTERACTION WITH HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
STRUCTURE CONTENTS DAMAGED BY WATER
FLOODS
WATER BORNE DISEASES (HEALTH PROBLEMS)
DISASTER LABORATORIES
EROSION AND MUDFLOWS
CONTAMINATION OF GROUND WATER
26SEVERE WINDSTORMS
27A SEVERE WINDSTORM CAN CAUSE A DISASTER
28CAUSES OF DAMAGE
WIND PENETRATING BUILDING ENVELOPE
UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM
INUNDATION AND MUDFLOWS
STORM SURGE
SEVERE WINDSTORMS
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN
DISASTER LABORATORIES
SITING PROBLEMS
FLYING DEBRIS
29DATA BASES AND INFORMATION
Gradient Wind
Ocean
COMMUNITY
30LANDSLIDES
31 A MAJOR LANDSLIDE CAN CAUSE A DISASTER
32CAUSES OF DAMAGE
SITING AND BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS
LANDSLIDES
SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS
DISASTER LABORATORIES
PRECIPITATION THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
SHAKING
GROUND SHAKING THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
33DISASTER RESILEINCEA GLOBAL GOAL FOR WATER-,
WASTE-WATER, AND WATER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS
34TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE
35DISASTERS OCCUR WHEN--- WATER-, WASTE-WATER,
AND WATER-DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS ARE LEFT
- UNPROTECTED
- AGAINST THE POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS OF NATURAL
HAZARDS
36TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE
37EARTHQUAKES
38CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SOIL FAILURE AND SURFACE
FAULTING )
IRREGULARITIES IN MASS, STRENGTH, AND STIFFNESS
EARTHQUAKES
FLOODING FROM TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP AND SEICHE
CASE HISTORIES
POOR DETAILING OF STRUCTURALSYSTEM
FAILURE OF NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
39INADEQUATE SEISMIC DESIGN PROVISIONS
(I.E., BUILDING CODES AND LIFELINE STANDARDS)
- MEAN
- 1) INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND
SHAKING - 2) COLLAPSE OF BUILDINGS AND LOSS OF FUNCTION OF
LIFELINES
40SICHUAN, CHINA BUILDINGS NEED PROTECTION IN AN
EARTHQUAKE
41HAITI BUILDINGS NEED PROTECTION IN AN
EARTHQUAKE
42TURKEY BUILDINGS NEED PROTECTION IN AN EARTHQUAKE
43CHINA DAMS NEED PROTECTION IN AN EARTHQUAKE
44JAPAN NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NEED PROTECION IN AN
EARTHQUAKE
45UNDERGROUND UTILITIES NEED PROTECTION IN AN
EARTHQUAKE
- A UTILITY CORRIDOR IS VULNERABLE TO LOSS OF
FUNCTION WHEN ROUTED THROUGH SOILS THAT ARE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO LIQUEFACTION.