AMSDA PROPOSAL FOR LINKING CLIMATE CHANGE RESPONSES AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE OKANAGAN REGI

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AMSD--A PROPOSAL FOR LINKING CLIMATE CHANGE
RESPONSES AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE
OKANAGAN REGION

• Stewart Cohen Tina Neale
• Adaptation Impacts Research Division (AIRD),
  Environment Canada
• stewart.cohen_at_ec.gc.ca
• Institute for Resources Environment
  Sustainability
• University of British Columbia, Vancouver
• scohen_at_ires.ubc.ca
• Presentation to Okanagan GeoConnections, Kelowna,
  December 15, 2006.

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2004-2006 Study From Impacts to
Adaptationparticipatory integrated assessment
(PIA) decision support.

• New system model (Stacy Langsdale et al., many
  Okanagan participants external advisorsCraig
  Forster et al.)
• Group-based research local knowledge
• Scenarios--previous studies (EC/AAFC/UBC/BCMOE)
• Link--Okanagan Fish Water Management Tool (OK
  Technical Working Group)
• Link--ongoing groundwater studies (GSC/BCMOE, SFU)

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Average-year Okanagan Inflows vs.
Demands(source Stacy Langsdale)
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(No Transcript)
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2040-2069 case Agriculture supply-demand
balance (1) No adaptation (2) supplement with
Okanagan Lake no other adaptation
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2040-2069 case Okanagan Lake stage (1) No
adaptation (2) supplement with Okanagan Lake
no other adaptation
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?
From climate impacts assessment to
water resources practice Okanagan, Canada
1990s
2006
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AMSD Study Objectives

• Assess climate change and sustainable development
  options for different scenarios and regional
  contexts
• Test methods that can assist in conducting AMSD
  case studies
• Apply these methods in case studies, initially in
  BC
• Foster collaboration at national and
  international level to create additional case
  studies and exchange experiences

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Integrated framework for AMSD local case studies
(Bizikova et al., submitted)

• Linking
• development
• and climate
• change

• Defining baseline
• development scenario

Local Sustainable Development Scenario
Integration of the Baseline scenario
Adaptation needs mitigation

• Integrated AMSD
• scenario

• Assessing the relationship
• between adaptation
• mitigation

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Okanagan AMSD Proposal

• Build on previous Okanagan climate change
  research, ongoing development dialogue and
  emergence of new tools
• STELLA
• FWMT
• OK-QUEST
• Groundwater
• GeoConnections web portal (Water Bucket,
  PATHWAYS, etc.)?
• Use 4-step approach to explore opportunities to
  link tools dialogue for assessing response
  options within alternative Okanagan development
  scenarios

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AMSD Proposalnext steps

• Discussions initiated at AMSD workshops in
  October 2005 and April 2006
• Draft proposal now being circulated to research
  partners
• Exploring linkages with upcoming groundwater
  proposal to CWN (Diana Allen)
• Exploratory workshop to prepare full proposal for
  submission to potential funding sources
• Spreading the word

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For further information

• stewart.cohen_at_ec.gc.ca
• scohen_at_ires.ubc.ca
• tneale_at_ires.ubc.ca
• www.ires.ubc.ca

Draft