PS 12 Factoid

1
PS 12 Factoid According to exit polling data, 23
million voters under the age of 30 voted in the
2008 election. This accounted for 18 of the
total vote and accounted for 60 of the total
increase in voting since 2004. However, only
54 of people under the age of 30 who could vote
actually voted.
2
(No Transcript)
3

• Question Are our elections the best way to elect
  our officials?
• LECTURE 21 OUTLINE
• The Primaries
• The 2008 Campaigns
• The Popular Vote and Electoral College
• Political Participation in 2008

4

• The Primary System
• Indirect elections
• Pledged Delegates
• Unpledged or Superdelegates
• Open Primaries
• Semi-Closed Primaries
• Closed Primaries

2,117
1,191
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

5
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

6
The Republican Primaries
Mike Huckabee Fmr. Governor -- AK
Rudy Guiliani Fmr. Mayor -- NY
Duncan Hunter Congressman -- CA
John McCain Senator -- AZ
Mitt Romney Fmr. Governor -- MA
Fred Thompson Fmr. Senator -- TN
Ron Paul Congressman -- TX
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

7
The Democratic Primaries
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
Dennis Kucinich Congressman -- OH
Joe Biden Senator -- DE
Barack Obama Senator -- IL
John Edwards Fmr. Senator -- NC
Bill Richardson Governor -- NM
Chris Dodd Senator -- CT
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

8
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

9
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

10
The Democratic Primaries
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
Dennis Kucinich Congressman -- OH
Joe Biden Senator -- DE
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Barack Obama Senator -- IL
John Edwards Fmr. Senator -- NC
Bill Richardson Governor -- NM
Chris Dodd Senator -- CT
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

11
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

12
The Democratic Primaries
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
Dennis Kucinich Congressman -- OH
Joe Biden Senator -- DE
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Drops Out New Hampshire 1/10/08
Barack Obama Senator -- IL
John Edwards Fmr. Senator -- NC
Bill Richardson Governor -- NM
Chris Dodd Senator -- CT
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

13
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

14
The Republican Primaries
Drops Out Nevada/SC 1/19/08
Mike Huckabee Fmr. Governor -- AK
Rudy Guiliani Fmr. Mayor -- NY
Duncan Hunter Congressman -- CA
Drops Out Nevada/SC 1/22/08
John McCain Senator -- AZ
Mitt Romney Fmr. Governor -- MA
Fred Thompson Fmr. Senator -- TN
Ron Paul Congressman -- TX
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

15
The Democratic Primaries
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Drops Out Nevada 1/24/08
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
Dennis Kucinich Congressman -- OH
Joe Biden Senator -- DE
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Drops Out New Hampshire 1/10/08
Barack Obama Senator -- IL
John Edwards Fmr. Senator -- NC
Bill Richardson Governor -- NM
Chris Dodd Senator -- CT
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

16
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

17
The Democratic Primaries
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Drops Out Nevada 1/24/08
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
Dennis Kucinich Congressman -- OH
Joe Biden Senator -- DE
Drops Out Iowa 1/3/08
Drops Out New Hampshire 1/10/08
Drops Out South Carolina 1/30/08
Barack Obama Senator -- IL
John Edwards Fmr. Senator -- NC
Bill Richardson Governor -- NM
Chris Dodd Senator -- CT
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

18
The Republican Primaries
Drops Out Nevada/SC 1/19/08
Drops Out Florida 1/30/08
Mike Huckabee Fmr. Governor -- AK
Rudy Guiliani Fmr. Mayor -- NY
Duncan Hunter Congressman -- CA
Drops Out Nevada/SC 1/22/08
John McCain Senator -- AZ
Mitt Romney Fmr. Governor -- MA
Fred Thompson Fmr. Senator -- TN
Ron Paul Congressman -- TX
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

19
Super Tuesday February 8, 2008
Alabama, Alaska, American Samoa (D), Arizona,
Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut,
Delaware, Georgia, idaho (D), Illinois, Kansas
(D), Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana
(R), New Jersey, New Mexico (D), New York, North
Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia
(R)
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

20
Super Tuesday February 8, 2008
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

21
Mike Huckabee Fmr. Governor -- AK
Mitt Romney Fmr. Governor -- MA
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

22
Mike Huckabee Fmr. Governor -- AK
Drops Out Super Tuesday 2/9/08
Mitt Romney Fmr. Governor -- MA
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

23
Drops Out 3/4/08
On March 4, delegate totals McCain --
1,289 Huckabee -- 267 Romney -- 255 1,191
delegates are need to become to presumptive
nominee.
Mike Huckabee Fmr. Governor -- AK
Drops Out Super Tuesday 2/9/08
John McCain becomes the presumptive nominee for
the Republican Party.
Mitt Romney Fmr. Governor -- MA
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

24
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

25
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

26
On June 6, estimated delegate totals Obama
2,307 1/2 Clinton 1,972 1/2 Edwards 4
1/2 2,117 delegates are need to become to
presumptive nominee.
Drops Out After Primaries 6/6/08
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
Barack Obama becomes the presumptive nominee for
the Democratic Party.
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

27
Drops Out After Primaries 6/6/08
Consider the popular vote for the Democratic
Primaries
Hillary Clinton Senator -- NY
Including caucus estimates and both Michigan and
Florida Hillary Clinton 18,045,829 Barack
Obama 17,869.419
Barack Obama becomes the presumptive nominee for
the Democratic Party.
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

28
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

29
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

30
III. The Electoral College
270
435 of Representatives in the House
100 of Senators in the Senate
3 For DC


538 Electoral Votes
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

31
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

32
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

33
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

34
II. The 2008 Campaigns
III. The Popular Vote Electoral College
IV. Political Participation in 08

• The
• Primaries

35

• Election 2008
• Is this the best way to conduct elections?
• Primaries Duration, Frequency, Complexity and
  Who Gets to Pick the Winners
• The 2008 Campaigns Candidate Characteristics are
  Key!
• The Electoral College isnt the Popular
• Vote
• Political Participation Are we there yet?